***Official Early Vote Tracking***

219,879 Views | 1658 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by txags92
LMCane
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really want Trump to win the national election and to crush in Iowa

so that Selzer is humiliated into retirement and the propaganda media lose their power to set narratives through polling
aggiehawg
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AG
LMCane said:

really want Trump to win the national election and to crush in Iowa

so that Selzer is humiliated into retirement and the propaganda media lose their power to set narratives through polling
If her boss watched that interview with Halperin, she may be fired anyway.
SwigAg11
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AG
aggiehawg
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AG
will25u
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jr15aggie
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David_Puddy said:

boulderaggie said:

Agreed. Well done, trackers

Another job well done from me as well. I've been refreshing this thread like crazy and not getting much work done.
LOL. Here!

Last week I was less productive than usual, but today has been mostly non productive. It's once every 4 years and this is fascinating stuff.
aggiehawg
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AG
We posted at exactly the same time.
FTAG 2000
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will25u said:


Why is someone leaking this?
SwigAg11
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aggiehawg said:

We posted at exactly the same time.
Mine was first!
SwigAg11
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AG
FTAG 2000 said:

will25u said:


Why is someone leaking this?
I believe that is coming from state SoS data, so both parties have access to it. Depending on the state, they will post that information to the internet, so you can go look it up yourself.
normalhorn
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David_Puddy said:

boulderaggie said:

Agreed. Well done, trackers

Another job well done from me as well. I've been refreshing this thread like crazy and not getting much work done.


There needs to be a general fund, like the EPA superfund, to replace F5 buttons across this forum's users
...take it easy on me, I'm a normal horn
will25u
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From the other side... and a swat down.

LMCane
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some more good news

aggiehawg
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AG


tweet continues:

Quote:

I can tell you that I've talked to people who have been on the ground in places like Philadelphia, Detroit, New Orleans, and they have all said the same thing. There's zero enthusiasm on the ground for Kamala Harris in the demographics that they need.

IF we show up, we win.
FTAG 2000
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SwigAg11 said:

FTAG 2000 said:

will25u said:


Why is someone leaking this?
I believe that is coming from state SoS data, so both parties have access to it. Depending on the state, they will post that information to the internet, so you can go look it up yourself.
I'm talking about the leaked Trump campaign memo in the tweet.

will25u
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will25u
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LMCane
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I did a car rally through PA saturday with my Trump posters and stickers on the inside of my vehicle

from Gettysburg to York, to Hanover, to Lancaster, to Washington Crossing north of Philly

did not see a single democrat operative walking around or holding signs

lots of Trump signage across Route 30 for 15 miles.

most of the Harris signs were in public spaces while the Trump stuff was in people's yards

some great large electronic billboards had Trump ads close to Philly and in Bucks county

New Jersey is a hellhole as soon as you cross the Delaware were signs for abortion "ROE ROE ROE your boat" everywhere.
LMCane
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aggiehawg
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The rest:
Quote:

Dixville Notch - 6 residents will be voting and all 6 will vote for Harris. If Trump wins over one it will be a miracle.. However look to see how many votes Ayotte gets in the Governor race and the congressional race as a sign to see how Republicans are doing down ballot

Millsfield - will be won by Trump and larger in number of voters than Dixville. Trump should win by 5 votes and any more than that is a good sign for him in rural NH

Harts Location - The "largest" midnight vote area and always a 50:50 result.. Biden won narrowly in 2020 so Harris will want to do the same if trump wins here it will be the best early sign that Rural areas of the state are swinging to him..

Ultimately these are all tiny areas so nobody should read too much into anything but it's nice to have some actual votes to obsess over when they are known

Follow and I will post the results when I have them
SwigAg11
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I don't think that was a leak. Doesn't Eric work for the Trump campaign?
2023NCAggies
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will25u said:


And there is no way all those people vote on election day.
LMCane
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Uh.. Joe Concha just did a shout out to the Polymarket

anyone checked?!?!

they must be seeing some of this early voting data...
txags92
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2023NCAggies said:

will25u said:


And there is no way all those people vote on election day.
That is why I say they may be able to call PA right after the polls close. If there are not 2+ hour long lines at the polling places in Philly all day, there is no way they will get the number of votes they need. Their exit polling will tell them right away if Ds got the turnout they needed, and if they don't the race will be easy to call early.
nortex97
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It's fat lady warming up time as Ralston himself referenced yesterday:



LOL:
TheEternalOptimist
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Can someone find the best California turnout numbers and estimates?

Would like Orange Man to win the popular vote, but need Cali GOP voters to turn up, even if they know they will lose at state level.
LMCane
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txags92 said:

2023NCAggies said:

will25u said:


And there is no way all those people vote on election day.
That is why I say they may be able to call PA right after the polls close. If there are not 2+ hour long lines at the polling places in Philly all day, there is no way they will get the number of votes they need. Their exit polling will tell them right away if Ds got the turnout they needed, and if they don't the race will be easy to call early.

the ultimate irony would be if a few thousand democrats go to the Lady Gaga concert at Kamala's final rally in Philly tomorrow

and then dont' vote because they were listening to the rally all day.
txags92
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LMCane said:

txags92 said:

2023NCAggies said:

will25u said:


And there is no way all those people vote on election day.
That is why I say they may be able to call PA right after the polls close. If there are not 2+ hour long lines at the polling places in Philly all day, there is no way they will get the number of votes they need. Their exit polling will tell them right away if Ds got the turnout they needed, and if they don't the race will be easy to call early.

the ultimate irony would be if a few thousand democrats go to the Lady Gaga concert at Kamala's final rally in Philly tomorrow

and then dont' vote because they were listening to the rally all day.
Will be even more hilarious if they show up for the concert and LG talks for 4-5 minutes and leaves without singing a single song like Beyonce did in Houston. Even better if the pissed off crowd leaves and goes to vote Trump in a fit of anger.
nortex97
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aggiehawg
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LMCane said:

some more good news


And he lost to Youngkin in 2021. If that is the election they are referring to.
2023NCAggies
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txags92 said:

2023NCAggies said:

will25u said:


And there is no way all those people vote on election day.
That is why I say they may be able to call PA right after the polls close. If there are not 2+ hour long lines at the polling places in Philly all day, there is no way they will get the number of votes they need. Their exit polling will tell them right away if Ds got the turnout they needed, and if they don't the race will be easy to call early.
This is what I am hoping, that the number will be too big for cheating to overcome and they will just call the state.
SwigAg11
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aggiehawg said:

LMCane said:

some more good news


And he lost to Youngkin in 2021. If that is the election they are referring to.
Does NOVA typically vote more predominately with EV'ing or on ED?
4stringAg
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I don't think it will happen but it would be very cool for NH to be called early for Trump. Again, doubt it happens but if it did, that would basically assure Trump wouldn't have to win a rust belt state to win the election. He'd only have to take NC, GA, AZ, and NV
SwigAg11
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4stringAg said:

I don't think it will happen but it would be very cool for NH to be called early for Trump. Again, doubt it happens but if it did, that would basically assure Trump wouldn't have to win a rust belt state to win the election. He'd only have to take NC, GA, AZ, and NV
NH is the most interesting state to me this year. Reps outnumber Dems by registration for the first time, but the Indies I think lean Dem.

Also, NH is at the center of Trans stuff right now with new laws, documented cases of dominance in high school sports, and lawsuits everywhere. Do Dems and left leaning Indies who are against that vote Trump this time or just abstain?
aggiehawg
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SwigAg11 said:

aggiehawg said:

LMCane said:

some more good news


And he lost to Youngkin in 2021. If that is the election they are referring to.
Does NOVA typically vote more predominately with EV'ing or on ED?
More early vote in past elections, is my understanding. Hence the firewall that area affords.
 
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