🚨 In Georgia, there are currently 85% less mail-in ballot requests than at this same point 2020. pic.twitter.com/sTlAjOVNXf
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 20, 2024
🚨 In Georgia, there are currently 85% less mail-in ballot requests than at this same point 2020. pic.twitter.com/sTlAjOVNXf
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 20, 2024
North Carolina mail-in requests got redder today. Again.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 20, 2024
Table from @MichaelPruser really does a good job showing this trend by day. Check that out: R+2, and D-2, in a two-week time frame. pic.twitter.com/SyIOiNPNiG
HIGH turnout in Virginia early voting today.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 20, 2024
Poll today had the state within 1 point. https://t.co/rAAlfeD4C3
BARIS: Gov. Glenn Youngkin has been going around, legitimately telling everybody that Virginia is in play for Trump.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 20, 2024
👀👀
Early voting is officially underway in the great Commonwealth of Virginia.
— Team Trump (Text TRUMP to 88022) (@TeamTrump) September 20, 2024
Check out the scene at a polling location in Fairfax this morning.👀
Total MAGA domination.
Make sure you register to vote early by going to https://t.co/dh5K9rlL29. pic.twitter.com/vx9XuBKDVS
North Carolina Democrats are down 12 POINTS, Republicans up 5 points from this same point in 2020 in mail-in requests... wow. https://t.co/yQnHywe24i
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 20, 2024
North Carolina Early Voting Update - 09.21
— Michael Pruser (@MichaelPruser) September 21, 2024
This morning, NC updated its voter registration totals, and these are the net changes over the last seven days:
🔴Republicans: +4,788
🔵Democrats: +3,289
🟡Others: +11,004
As far as absentee requests go, we continue to get a little… pic.twitter.com/MEmr7ZKiNN
🚨 NORTH CAROLINA mail-in requests trend red again today
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 21, 2024
🔵 Democratic: 37.3% [-11.7]
🔴 Republican: 23.5% [+5.5]
[+/- from Sept. 2020]
Democrats are headed the wrong direction. Can they turn it around in-person...?
Data: @WinWithJMC & @MichaelPruser
🚨EARLY ELECTION NEWS🚨
— America First Insight (@AF_Insight) September 21, 2024
Virginia had its first day of Early Voting 55k people voted. Below is a map of counties above the state average turnout of 1.15% and below.
Highest Turnout %:
Lexington City - 3.20% (D+32 in 2020)
Lowest Turnout %:
Amelia - 0.05% (R+38 in 2020) pic.twitter.com/QpGtET7Uwn
🚨 JUST IN: Pennsylvania, Florida and North Carolina all have seen a rightward trend in mail-in voting requests compared to this same point in 2020.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 21, 2024
The Democratic lead has declined in all three. pic.twitter.com/E2CZo6Z0Np
🚨 BREAKING: Pro-Trump VIRGINIA counties see a 19-POINT ENTHUSIASM ADVANTAGE over Democratic-leaning counties compared to 2020 for the first day of early voting
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 22, 2024
This includes the 17 largest counties in Virginia (Fairfax, Virginia Beach, Loudon included).
An early sign?
Credit… pic.twitter.com/cBgrbqrpqy
Virginia -- Early votes by district
— Frankie Lee and Iron Maiden (@laurent_fourier) September 22, 2024
District/Early Votes/CookPVI
D1 7,541 R+6
D6 6,350 R+14
D5 5,803 R+7
D9 5,466 R+23
D4 4,817 D+16
D10 4,817 D+6
D8 4,720 D+26
D7 3,846 D+1
D2 3,825 R+2
D11 3,536 D+18
D3 2,765 D+17
Donald Trump Truth Social 05:08 PM EST 09/22/24 @realDonaldTrump pic.twitter.com/CKQOtlc1Fk
— Donald J. Trump Posts From His Truth Social (@TrumpDailyPosts) September 22, 2024
‼️NEW PA DATA DROP‼️
— Cliff Maloney (@Maloney) September 23, 2024
#1 takeaway: Kamala is not even close to keeping pace with Biden mail-in requests
She is down 360,101 Dem mail-in requests compared to this time in 2020
GOP requests are only down 69,963
Remember, Biden only won by 80k votes
This is HUGE for Trump 🇺🇸
Guys. The trend everywhere is just RED. Mail-in requests and EVing. Virginia. Pennsylvania. North Carolina. Florida.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 23, 2024
These things don't just happen in a vacuum. Rurals in VA are blowing up in turnout compared to blue counties.
Not gonna just happen in one state...
🚨 BREAKING: Elon Musk’s Pro-Trump PAC Is Hiring Door-Knockers in Key States - Bloomberg
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 23, 2024
One city mentioned is Grand Rapids, Michigan.
"The plan to hire door-knockers across 16 states is part of what has so far been a $63 million effort by Musk’s PAC to elect Trump."
I agree. If a lot of the typical election day votes are shifting to early voting, then it's not really a net change either direction for Republicans. It does help ameliorate election day issues we've seen in the past though.sam callahan said:
I hope all these early voting trends based on party pan out...but it seems like I heard a ton of that in 2022, only to be severely disappointed on election night.
So as of this morning Luzerne County is now a Republican registered voter County majority by 87 votes.
— ZitoSalena (@ZitoSalena) September 23, 2024
Last Monday Democrats were holding on by a thread at + 200.
Just a couple years ago Democrats had 34,000 more registered voters over Republicans in Luzerne #Pennsylvania https://t.co/MIHTXbExvJ
nortex97 said:So as of this morning Luzerne County is now a Republican registered voter County majority by 87 votes.
— ZitoSalena (@ZitoSalena) September 23, 2024
Last Monday Democrats were holding on by a thread at + 200.
Just a couple years ago Democrats had 34,000 more registered voters over Republicans in Luzerne #Pennsylvania https://t.co/MIHTXbExvJ
LETS GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO pic.twitter.com/ggg9lSsCvT
— Lil Gustav (The Leftist Annihilator)😎👊 (@gustav_lil) September 23, 2024
The election is going to come down to Amber Rose doing a rally with Trump in Philly.billydean05 said:
Pennsylvania is really all about turnout in Philadelphia. If democrat can bank enough votes with reasonably high turnout in Philly that margin is challenging to overcome especially if you also struggle in the suburbs.
Virginia Early Voting Summary To Date (comparison to 2020)
— Election2024 Updates (@MadAboutSkin01) September 24, 2024
Strong Trump Counties +63%
Weak Trump Counties +58%
Competitive Counties +36%
Weak Harris Counties +23%
Strong Harris Counties +26%
This trend should seriously worry Dems #Election2024 #trump2024 #HarrisWalz2024
Captn_Ag05 said:Virginia Early Voting Summary To Date (comparison to 2020)
— Election2024 Updates (@MadAboutSkin01) September 24, 2024
Strong Trump Counties +63%
Weak Trump Counties +58%
Competitive Counties +36%
Weak Harris Counties +23%
Strong Harris Counties +26%
This trend should seriously worry Dems #Election2024 #trump2024 #HarrisWalz2024
Spotted Ag said:
Mail in voting needs to stop. If you can't find the time or give the effort to vote in person than it's not that important to you.
Virginia Early Voting Surge
— Election2024 Updates (@MadAboutSkin01) September 24, 2024
Many comment that the rise in GOP turnout in VA early vote is just cannibalising the Election Day vote.. Not the case as currently 22.3% of EVs in strong Trump counties are infrequent or new voters. In Dem counties this is 20.5%
Info from @WWRKDS
3. Presently, only FL/NC/PA have comparative 2020 partisan data at this point
— John Couvillon (@WinWithJMC) September 25, 2024
3a:FL:4.79M requests(46-31% D/R) in https://t.co/MR6Y2yRfXx 2024, 2.45M(43-36% D/R) (2024 updates have stagnated-for now)
3b: NC:1152K requests (48-18% D/R) in 20. In 24, 218K(37-24% D/R)
(2/)
sellthefarm said:
Your situation is more accurately described as absentee voting, correct? No one has a problem with that.
This is even more pronounced in SW VA (strong area for Trump) where in some counties 40% of people voting early are infrequent or new voters!!
— Election2024 Updates (@MadAboutSkin01) September 24, 2024
These are not just Election Day voters voting early these are newly registered or infrequent voters turning out
Info from @WWRKDS
The man behind the Virginia data I post, @WWRKDS, was kind enough to create a voter frequency score to help us identify additional value in the EV data set.
— Michael Pruser (@MichaelPruser) September 24, 2024
I've added this data to the VA sheet, which will be updated daily with the requests/returns we see.
The idea is simple.… pic.twitter.com/Sy8YY0jRCZ
🚨 JUST IN: North Carolina mail-in ballot requests continued getting more Republican today, and the GOP is now situated 17 points better than at this point in the 2020 election pic.twitter.com/SahoaJmXzZ
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 25, 2024