Joker98 said:

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I heard LSU guy is a former BP employee who won a big settlement. Not sure if it is related to the Deepwater Horizon event or something else.

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spadilly said:

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Quote:

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Very interesting...got this email from a betting site this morning.

Sometimes in the news biz stories develop at a trickle's pace. A nugget here links to a nugget three months later and boom, you get a nice narrative. But on Monday afternoon, in my very small and self-centered world, the World Series mushroomed into the most exciting betting story since the Mayweather-McGregor fight this past summer. You may remember that in yesterday's newsletter we had a short note about Jim "Mattress Mack" McIngvale, a Houston millionaire mattress magnate who offered refunds to anyone who bought a $3,000 mattress if the Astros won the World Series. He is hedging his bets with insurance and, as he noted in the Las Vegas Review Journal piece, some bets in Vegas.

Well, yesterday afternoon I was taping The Buffet podcast with Scooch and the World Series betting action was all we could discuss. The lines have been moving like mad, the action has been as big as Sunday football games, and ticket counts have been increasing every game. It's an event that, rightfully so, has captured sports fans' attention in the best possible way with drama, heroes, goats, and young stars with unbridled enthusiasm. Plus Yasiel Puig doing NSFW things with his bat. During the pod I pressed Scooch on where all the action was coming from and why lines were moving so aggressively and he was very circumspect.

"It's really strange," he said. "A lot of the action is coming from a big bettor all over town and all the bookmakers are talking about it."

"You mean the mattress king," I asked.

"Well, I can't really speculate, but"

Mattress Mack really is spreading cash all over town and, every time the books get some Dodgers money to balance out their rolls, it seems he's coming in and making the line go cuckoo.

But wait. As I was recording with Scooch, Darren Rovell of ESPN fame texted me with a link that read, "Here's something for your newsletter."

I clicked, and it was this gem from Rovell and ESPN's David Purdum, reporting that ticket brokers are unloading on the Astros, to hedge against any potential Game 7 losses. In total, they wrote, "there is more than $20 million in profits on the line in Game 6." Johnny Avello, bookmaker at The Wynn, said in the story that brokers have been betting $200,000-$300,000 on past games in the series. "And that's just me," he said. "I assume they are spreading it all over town."

So, aside from the game-clinching storylines, you have a whole lot of hedges to talk about with your friends. And, for the record, Scooch also noted that the bettors have been on the right side of every game so far in this series. And, tonight, they are on the Astros and ace Justin Verlander.

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David_Puddy said:

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I haven't been able to get s done today, which is bad since I work from home. On that same token, I can pretty much say "f it I'm going to the bar now" at any time today here in a couple of hours.

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Charlie Murphy said:

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I assume he had been doing this or something similar from the get-go. Quite frankly, i think it would be irresponsible for him not to hedge.

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chilimuybueno said:

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I was at a breakfast with Mack last week. Most of his hedging has been done through Lloyd's of London. I suspect he's done some additional maneuvering as he's sold more furniture and the positions have changed.

By the way, he is a very good speaker. Talked about the beginnings of his business and the experience with Hurricane Harvey. Very inspirational guy.

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sts7049 said:

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https://gph.is/2cF75Uu

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The Wonderer said:

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AgLA06 said:

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BMX Bandit said:

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if you don't have a manager thats thinking about what he's seeing, just get a computer that tells you what to do based on pitch counts.

(every manager, including Hinch, has a plan with options based on contingencies, etc. like you described)

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Sure, if he'd employ it instead of the mastered deer in headlights while pitching implodes move instead it would be great. Which is exactly what I said before you tried to be cute.

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He has a masters in psychology from Stanford and took the Astros from 100+ losses to 100+ wins in just three years. I think I'll trust him.

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Bondag said:

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AgLA06 said:

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The Wonderer said:

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AgLA06 said:

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BMX Bandit said:

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if you don't have a manager thats thinking about what he's seeing, just get a computer that tells you what to do based on pitch counts.

(every manager, including Hinch, has a plan with options based on contingencies, etc. like you described)

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Sure, if he'd employ it instead of the mastered deer in headlights while pitching implodes move instead it would be great. Which is exactly what I said before you tried to be cute.

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He has a masters in psychology from Stanford and took the Astros from 100+ losses to 100+ wins in just three years. I think I'll trust him.

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That manager with his psychology degree just cost this team runs. Second and third with no out and 8 and 9 in the order up you squeeze until they stop you. Bad baseball there.

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McCann was "running" at third

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