TRUMP

Americans react to the video of Biden freezing up and wandering as Johnny hits the streets pic.twitter.com/6wIkKmE8zg

— Jesse Watters (@JesseBWatters) June 21, 2024

Not even the ******s like RoboJoe.

And even these stupid useful ******s will vote for him, en masse, in November. And then complain about how our country sucks.

agsalaska said:

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aggiehawg said:

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texagbeliever said:

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Back to Polls

Siena College poll has Biden up +8 in NY. For reference during the 2020 cycle that was 18.6 margin at its smallest and the last polls had Biden up +30. Actual results were Biden 60.7%, Trump 37.7% so Bident +23.

I'm not saying NY is going Red but that is just another confirmation of major alarm bells. That means Trump has to be getting close to 100% republicans and 100% independents.

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I was thinking the other day if Trump won the popular vote but lost in the EC?

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In the abstract that would not be the worst thing in the world.(other than four more years of Biden). The electoral college is one of if not the most important institution this country has. And it has been attacked for years by the Democrats. Other than the dumb dumb 'muh fraud' idiots, the rest of the Republicans would not delegitimize the winner of the electoral college because of a win in the popular vote like the Dems have. At least I don't think so.

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Not trying to jab you here bc I respect you and your posting. And agree with your comment.

But L O effing L if you have any brain cell thinking this place wouldn't burn to the ground and prob never recover (likely just get axed by Brandon/staff) if that were to happen.

This place can already be insufferable for a guy that has zero liberal slants just doesn't go in lock step with the echo chamber.

Seriously though, this place would spark like a matchstick house and never be seen again if that happened haha

WestHoustonAg79 said:

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agsalaska said:

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aggiehawg said:

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texagbeliever said:

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Back to Polls

Siena College poll has Biden up +8 in NY. For reference during the 2020 cycle that was 18.6 margin at its smallest and the last polls had Biden up +30. Actual results were Biden 60.7%, Trump 37.7% so Bident +23.

I'm not saying NY is going Red but that is just another confirmation of major alarm bells. That means Trump has to be getting close to 100% republicans and 100% independents.

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I was thinking the other day if Trump won the popular vote but lost in the EC?

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In the abstract that would not be the worst thing in the world.(other than four more years of Biden). The electoral college is one of if not the most important institution this country has. And it has been attacked for years by the Democrats. Other than the dumb dumb 'muh fraud' idiots, the rest of the Republicans would not delegitimize the winner of the electoral college because of a win in the popular vote like the Dems have. At least I don't think so.

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Not trying to jab you here bc I respect you and your posting. And agree with your comment.

But L O effing L if you have any brain cell thinking this place wouldn't burn to the ground and prob never recover (likely just get axed by Brandon/staff) if that were to happen.

This place can already be insufferable for a guy that has zero liberal slants just doesn't go in lock step with the echo chamber.

Seriously though, this place would spark like a matchstick house and never be seen again if that happened haha

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Maybe. I have said since this all started in 2020 that MAGA doesn't really care if they win or lose as long as they get to vote for Trump. And nothing has happened in the last three years that has changed that view.

So, to your point, if Trump won the popular vote and lost the elecotral college MAGA would predictably lose their collective minds about 'muh fraud.' I have zero doubt that they would cause mass hysteria.

So, fair enough. You are probably right. MAGA couldnt handle losing in any way. That I agree with. There is a 0% chance MAGA believes that they lose in 2024.

Here is a nice poll. Lol

Trump could cure world hunger, or bring world peace and Democrats would hate it because it is Trump. Lol

Also proves TDS.

This one graphic proves that Democrats have been so propagandized by the legacy news that even when they love a policy, they're willing to hate it if Trump's name is included.

Not taxing tips sees a 50 point swing for Dems once Trump's name is included. TDS is real. pic.twitter.com/Y7MwA2muMI

— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) June 21, 2024

will25u said:

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Trump could cure world hunger, or bring world peace and Democrats would hate it because it is Trump. Lol

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Yep

Remember, before June of 2015, Trump was an award winning ally of both the black community and the LGBT+ community. He's still the most pro-gay/trans President we have had. Biden would be if he had even a lone, working brain cell.

Since announcing back then, he's "literally Hitler".

Kari Lake pulls even (or ahead 1??) in Arizona? Wow, if true, but I am skeptical. McCain angry widow gonna have to really spend some beer money to stop the GOP this cycle. I wonder if they'll have her cry at the DNC again this year about how mean Trump is.

Trump is in a much better position than a lot of people are giving him credit for.

hoov said:

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Trump is in a much better position than a lot of people are giving him credit for.

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Pray and hope you're right.

With the popular vote looking close I wanted to see what are the deltas between 2020 actual poll results and 2024 polls (with some adjustment to bias of polls and undecideds clouding things up). I downloaded data from 538 (very easy to do) and also pulled 2020 actual results including votes cast by state. Those values are how i got the estimated voter number change impact below.

I define the Swing states as: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania & Wisconsin.

The rest of the states i defined as R = Trump won in 2020 and D = Biden won in 2020.

Based on current polls here is what the impact of the current 2024 state polls means for total votes by State category (R, D, & Swing) versus 2020 results. So -1MM means forecasted 1 MM less votes across all the states in 2020 vs 2024.

Candidate_____Swing________R________D
Trump________-0.03MM____-1.8MM____-0.6MM = -2.5MM fewer votes then in 2020 (likely Kennedy impact & undecided voters still)

Biden________-1.7MM____-4.2MM____-5.1MM = -11.3MM fewer votes then in 2020. Similar things as Trump but at a much higher rate.

Obviously the ones that jump out are Trump's Swing & D vs Biden's Swing & D state poll implications.
In the swing states here is what Biden poll results imply (value is what Biden won 2020 election by):
Arizona: -370k votes (Biden won 10k votes)
Georgia: -181k votes (Biden won 12k votes)
Michigan: -208k votes (Biden won 154k votes)
Minnesota: -173k votes (Biden won 233k votes).
Nevada: -39k votes (Biden won 33.5k votes)
North Carolina: -420k votes (Biden lost 74k votes). Only state Trump is polling less votes, 25k less.
Pennsylvania: -240k votes (Biden won 81k votes)
Wisconsin: -108k votes (Biden won 21k votes)
Trump currently is polling to flip every swing state except for Minnesota. And hold North Carolina too.

If you look at the bigger picture the only people who don't seem to like Trump more in 2024 is really just the republican strongholds. Likely voters who are conservative but have the luxury of not voting for Trump and knowing that there is no penalty for such a vote in the EC outcome.

Hold fast onto hope. Good things are on the horizon!

Is Rasmussen a Republican polling company?

Their latest poll shows Trump up 9 & 10 pts

I think this election is either gonna be a blowout by Trump or it's close again.

I have a feeling this is going to be a blowout and going to make Dem heads blowup.

Trump up 10 in mid June won't mean much once the candidate swap occurs.

2023NCAggies said:

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Is Rasmussen a Republican polling company?

Their latest poll shows Trump up 9 & 10 pts

I think this election is either gonna be a blowout by Trump or it's close again.

I have a feeling this is going to be a blowout and going to make Dem heads blowup.

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Rasmussen favors Republicans, yes.

oh no said:

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Trump up 10 in mid June won't mean much once the candidate swap occurs.

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I think they planned the debate so early to see if Biden can turn the tide. But if he blows it big time than the Dems pull him

2023NCAggies said:

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oh no said:

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Trump up 10 in mid June won't mean much once the candidate swap occurs.

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I think they planned the debate so early to see if Biden can turn the tide. But if he blows it big time than the Dems pull him

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Define blow it? Lie out his old ass? Talk in circles? I honestly don't see how Biden doesn't fail, even if they think he succeeds

If polls indicate the regime is still within rigging distance after the debate, maybe they roll with the same empty suit puppet. Otherwise, they payoff the geriatric's family for him to step away for "health" reasons. Convention delegates will know who the next chosen puppet is.

Interesting that Trump is doing what a lot of other GOP presidential candidates have not done in the past. He's going straight to the heart of Democrat-land and really focusing on the cities in blue states. He's reaching out directly to the democrat base. He's not going to win the vote in those cities but all he really has to do is shave off something like 5-10% of the Dem vote in blue counties.

Zeldin thinks New York could be surprisingly close.

And it's only possible for him to do this because the lowly plebes in the electorate aren't all quite as stupid as the elitists in the regime and their Pravda media arm think they are. People can see that Joe Biden is the worst president in our nearly 250 year history.

there was a poll in New York that had Biden +8

if that happens then Trump wins the Presidency

on the other hand, last night's rally in Philly was in literally HALF the arena, the entire upper decks were closed off. so Trump was bragging in 2016 about how every arena he went to was lines outside in the snow with extra attendees who couldn't get in.

that may be an ominous sign. It was a philly crowd once again 95% white.

LMCane said:

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there was a poll in New York that had Biden +8

if that happens then Trump wins the Presidency

on the other hand, last night's rally in Philly was in literally HALF the arena, the entire upper decks were closed off. so Trump was bragging in 2016 about how every arena he went to was lines outside in the snow with extra attendees who couldn't get in.

that may be an ominous sign. It was a philly crowd once again 95% white.

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this is what a real Philly crowd looks like for the hometown hero Joe Biden



Edit: compare hometown Joe's gym visit to Philly to Trump's Philly visit:

🔥🚨DEVELOPING: President Trump has filled the arena in Philly in yet another record breaking rally. There has never been a presidential candidate with this much support. pic.twitter.com/TWht5zxoM5

— Dom Lucre | Breaker of Narratives (@dom_lucre) June 22, 2024

95% white. Sure thing.



Slotkin up only a couple in Michigan is again portentous of the battleground states offering a lot of room for Trump to over-perform if he is doing better with black voters this cycle. RCP has Democrats needing to run the table on all 9 toss ups to hold the senate right now.

They list Texas as a toss-up LOL what

Probably a simple matter of their criteria in net spread being right around what the polling is.

Teamsters leader to speak at RNC? Trump is definitely going after the 'blue collar' vote more than most Republicans do. Jimmy Hoffa could not be reached for comment.

Minnesota in the bag for Trump? I wouldn't say it's a given (lazy headline), but it's trending toward red, seriously.

4 years ago today Biden led by 10, and never really dropped below a consensus 5 or 7 point lead, before the frauds in Philly, Detroit, Atlanta, and Maricopa county put him across the line after the lights went out. Today, Trump leads in all battlegrounds and is up 1.1 nationally. It's never about a single poll/state, imho, but overall the electorate has shifted around 11 points toward Trump is the 'reality.'

I'll play

CNN grilling Biden apologist senator on polls;

CNN Host Grills Dem Senator On Polls Showing Trump Blowing Biden Out Of The Water On Key Issues pic.twitter.com/BaeyxyasBC

— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) June 24, 2024

I would throw out the Rasmussen poll as an anomaly. It happens.

And this very well could be razor thin in the end. And Biden could very well win.

But if the election was held today, which obviously it is not, the outcome would not be close. In other words, if the polling on Nov 1 looks like it does today all the people in the prediction business won't be questioning who will win, just by how much.

Don't worry. I'm sure all the polls have all these variables built into their models to account for the difference between how the people really feel vs how the ballots will be counted

#democracy(tm)

How this BS was ever allowed to stand, is beyond me! pic.twitter.com/hkUmqWC2hy

— luluHru (@luluHru) June 22, 2024

Decision Desk HQ forecasts that the Republicans have an 81% chance of gaining control of the US Senate this November, reflecting a +2% increase from last month.

See our full 2024 Forecast here: https://t.co/zJo5yQrMbO

— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) June 24, 2024

nortex97 said:

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CNN grilling Biden apologist senator on polls;

CNN Host Grills Dem Senator On Polls Showing Trump Blowing Biden Out Of The Water On Key Issues pic.twitter.com/BaeyxyasBC

— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) June 24, 2024

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That chick, Klobuchar, is delusional as hell. Biden was a bumble**** tard for decades, before ever showing the signs of being DEEEEEEEP into dementia.

Lord if Trump has the Senate and House he will go hog wild! Maybe he can even turn this dang thing around. There will be no pulling of punches this time around if he wins.

ts5641 said:

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Lord if Trump has the Senate and House he will go hog wild! Maybe he can even turn this dang thing around. There will be no pulling of punches this time around if he wins.

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Maybe you missed how many republicans refused to work with him on key issues last time. Many do not want to solve problems and they certainly don't want a turn to the right.

will25u said:

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Decision Desk HQ forecasts that the Republicans have an 81% chance of gaining control of the US Senate this November, reflecting a +2% increase from last month.

See our full 2024 Forecast here: https://t.co/zJo5yQrMbO

— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) June 24, 2024

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THIS IS HUGE for two reasons

either to replace a leftist SCOTUS Justice or Clarence Thomas

or to block Joe Biden from wreaking more damage to the country.

need to win the Senate!!

Hung Cao in Virginia and Larry Hogan in Maryland

she's not delusional

just a well practiced gaslighting liar

like most politicians.

Not sure if that's sarcasm or not, but while I would love to see it your link shows Hung Cao with a 10 percent chance to win Virginia. I love the guy, again, but find it implausible he carries Virginia, even though Trump has managed to make the state a battle ground at the top.

Maybe, just maybe, if Trump picks Youngkin as his running mate, this race could be interesting, but Kaine runs so moderate I would still favor him.

Thank you Governor! https://t.co/QnX2FqLAd1

— Hung Cao (@HungCao_VA) June 18, 2024

RNC investing in Arizona, Nevada and Michigan (senate) races is encouraging;

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I know that is a lot, but if you want Trump to win here and have a chance at electing a United States senator with an R after their name for the first time in 30 years, it is time for us to be honest with the past.
So I'm pleased that it is looking hopeful in Michigan.[url=https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2024/06/21/senate-gop-reserves-nearly-10m-for-ads-in-michigan-race/74163318007/][/url]

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Ahead of the fall election, Senate Republicans' political arm is making nearly $10 million in TV and digital ad reservations in Michigan, where it's supporting former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers of Brighton for U.S. Senate, according to a GOP source familiar with the total.

The sum is part of the first round of independent expenditures by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which said it begin placing the reservations Thursday in four states: Michigan, Ohio, Nevada and Arizona. The ads would begin running in August, the source said.The move is another signal national Republicans are serious about investing in Michigan's Senate race this fall, even though the state isn't considered a top-tier contest. Earlier this month, the NRSC announced it's spending a seven-figure sum of money on a field programin the state to knock doors.

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This is better news than I was hoping for as I was looking at the landscape six months ago. Usually, money promised to candidates in Michigan running for statewide office fails to materialize and the Republican candidate winds up losing by between five to seven points. That they are already reserving $10 million worth of ads for the fall is promising, given that is more than we typically get in the Great Lake State.

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