Florida Early Voting

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black_ice
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In reply to Gigemags382 • 6:20a, 11/3/20
Gigemags382 said:
7:02 update

Rep 65
Dem 28





LETS FINg GO!!!!!!!
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Gigemags382
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6:31a, 11/3/20
AG
7:22 update

Rep 35822
Dem 14864
Unaf 13657
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GCP12
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In reply to Gigemags382 • 6:32a, 11/3/20
AG
Gigemags382 said:
7:22 update

Rep 35822
Dem 14864
Unaf 13657
I've seen enough. Trump wins Florida
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policywonk98
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In reply to GCP12 • 6:41a, 11/3/20
AG
GCP12 said:
I have no clue what this means


I'm gonna need to see their model methodology. So far I can't find it.

What it tells me is that Bloomberg News wants people to beleive Trump stole the election if he ends up winning Florida. This is Bloomberg misinformation. After spending hundreds of millions in Florida against Trump hes now pushing his media company to do his bidding on election day.

I've seen nowhere else with that big of a gap. Polling of people already voted doesn't even have a gap like that for Florida. Not that I've seen.
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Twice an Aggie
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In reply to policywonk98 • 6:53a, 11/3/20
AG
Agreed. This is pure modeling that assumes Republicans cross vote in a huge number and that independents break heavily for Biden. It is an attempt to get Floridians to give up and not vote today...good luck with that
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Gigemags382
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6:56a, 11/3/20
AG
7:45 update

Dem 28735
Rep 65790
Unaf 26592

Reps have gained about 37k already today. There is a note on the page that Miami-Dade and Sarasota will have to be updated manually, is it looks like there's no Election Day numbers for those counties yet. I'm not sure how large of an impact that might be. But the panhandle also isn't even open yet.
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Gigemags382
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7:45a, 11/3/20
AG
8:30 update

Rep 117154
Dem 53107
Unaf 49555

Is this just a before-work turnout thing or is this going to continue throughout today?...
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TRM
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In reply to Gigemags382 • 7:48a, 11/3/20
AG
Where are these updates from?
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Gigemags382
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In reply to TRM • 7:49a, 11/3/20
AG
https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

I'm posting only the Election Day results. The site defaults to all votes including VBM and early vote.
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akm91
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7:51a, 11/3/20
AG
So far it's D-80K but way early. Miami-Dade hasn't posted update yet. Broward is D+4 so far but still waaaaaay early.

Essentially overall, it is D+30K if you count EV.
"And liberals, being liberals, will double down on failure." - dedgod
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Gigemags382
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In reply to akm91 • 7:55a, 11/3/20
AG
akm91 said:
So far it's D-80K but way early. Miami-Dade hasn't posted update yet. Broward is D+4 so far but still waaaaaay early.

Essentially overall, it is D+30K if you count EV.


But 1.5 hours ago it was D+112k lol
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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In reply to akm91 • 7:55a, 11/3/20
akm91 said:
So far it's D-80K but way early. Miami-Dade hasn't posted update yet. Broward is D+4 so far but still waaaaaay early.

Essentially overall, it is D+30K if you count EV.


Wait until the panhandle opens in 5
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aginresearch
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In reply to Gigemags382 • 7:56a, 11/3/20
AG
Hard to say. We'll need a few more hours to know but I wouldn't put it out of the realm of possibility that this rate continues. Also remember that the Panhandle just came online since they are in the Central timezone.

As of now things looks real good and projections of a heavy republican day are materializing. However, past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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aginresearch
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In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 7:57a, 11/3/20
AG
Already open. Polls opened at 7am CT.
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agsalaska
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8:01a, 11/3/20
black_ice
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8:04a, 11/3/20
will25u
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8:05a, 11/3/20
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black_ice
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8:05a, 11/3/20
LANDSLIDE!!!!!!!!
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will25u
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8:06a, 11/3/20
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Barnyard96
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In reply to black_ice • 8:07a, 11/3/20
AG
black_ice said:
LANDSLIDE!!!!!!!!
You are the most positive poster on Texags.

Here's to you.
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oneeyedag
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8:12a, 11/3/20
I'm here in Jacksonville, not many mask nazis and and haven't seen a whole lot of biden signs.

Dang rental car company gave me a car with NY plates, the looks are not welcoming.
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nortex97
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8:13a, 11/3/20
AG
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0708aggie
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8:15a, 11/3/20
AG
+23k. Let's GO!
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rgag12
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In reply to will25u • 8:19a, 11/3/20
AG
will25u said:


Lol you can just feel the optimism from the Dems creep in on that dead cat bounce on Sunday, then their lead jumped off a cliff!
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will25u
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8:21a, 11/3/20
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Readzilla
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8:24a, 11/3/20
AG


Is this significant at all? I know its not factoring in NPA votes yet but does it look like this is a good way to see any potential crossover votes?
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bmks270
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8:24a, 11/3/20
AG
FL 4/4 super voter here, casting vote today.
Red Wave MAGA!
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akm91
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In reply to Gigemags382 • 8:25a, 11/3/20
AG
Miami-Dade is the most populous county in FL and was +26 for GCF in '16 and still lost. D's underperformed there in early voting so Biden will have to significantly exceed +26 to have a shot.
"And liberals, being liberals, will double down on failure." - dedgod
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FbgTxAg
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8:27a, 11/3/20
AG
Anyone paying attention knew Florida wasn't gonna be close.

But I guess I'll enjoy watching the true believers in real-time as the finally start to come to grips with what's actually happening. The tears may start flowing by lunchtime.
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
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Mostly Foggy Recollection
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In reply to FbgTxAg • 8:28a, 11/3/20
FbgTxAg said:
Anyone paying attention knew Florida wasn't gonna be close.

But I guess I'll enjoy watching the true believers in real-time as the finally start to come to grips with what's actually happening. The tears may start flowing by lunchtime.


It will be close because it's Florida. But it may go outside the 2 point MOV this year. No more than 3 IMO.
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0708aggie
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8:29a, 11/3/20
AG
5k as of the latest update. Hello FLORIDA!
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Silvertaps
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8:31a, 11/3/20
AG
The manual counting in Miami-Dade is irritating...just delays the inevitable
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aggiehawg
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In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 8:32a, 11/3/20
AG
Mostly Foggy Recollection said:
FbgTxAg said:
Anyone paying attention knew Florida wasn't gonna be close.

But I guess I'll enjoy watching the true believers in real-time as the finally start to come to grips with what's actually happening. The tears may start flowing by lunchtime.


It will be close because it's Florida. But it may go outside the 2 point MOV this year. No more than 3 IMO.
If it does go over 3 points, it is the Latino vote and a larger share of the Black vote went to Trump.
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rgag12
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In reply to Mostly Foggy Recollection • 8:32a, 11/3/20
AG
Mostly Foggy Recollection said:
FbgTxAg said:
Anyone paying attention knew Florida wasn't gonna be close.

But I guess I'll enjoy watching the true believers in real-time as the finally start to come to grips with what's actually happening. The tears may start flowing by lunchtime.


It will be close because it's Florida. But it may go outside the 2 point MOV this year. No more than 3 IMO.


Agree, I think between a 2 to three point win for Trump is likely. A single point is probably going to represent a little over 100,000 votes in FL
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Cepe
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8:37a, 11/3/20
AG
What is the predicted break for NPAs? Wasn't it like 60-65% for Trump 2016?
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