Kansas Kid said:
So what is your point other than your own map shows they have a pipeline to BC that you previously claimed doesn't exist? Yes, Enbridge runs through the US to their Eastern refineries. If those pipelines were shut down, their Eastern refineries can import oil via water along with moving Alberta oil via rail cars as well. It isn't as cost effective but it isn't a case of gasoline will go to US$20/gal.
Now, can you tell me how the Montana, Minnesota, and other Northern tier refineries that import oil from Canada will get all of their requirements met if Canada is no longer exporting to the US? Once again I will state, the Canadian will absolutely be hurt but so with the US.
ETA. If you think the US doesn't need Canadian imported oil, please explain to me why Trump has exempted the largest import from Canada, oil, from his tariffs.
Canada can keep the lights on in the East but it will be very, very expensive without those US pipelines. The pipe to the West Coast isn't big enough to do any significant exporting and it still has to provide for BC.
The strategy for Trump is to divide AB/SK from their Ottawa masters. We are happy to take their oil at a discount and they are happy to sell it. AB/SK is very conservative unlike Ontario. This would be like DC telling Texas we can't ship out of the Port of Houston only far worse, Texas has a diverse economy but AB/SK doesn't. AB/SK secedes and the rest of Canada becomes a 3rd world country (which it is already pacing towards, Mexico is passing it in GDP).
Canada has assumed they can use their biggest sticks on the US and thinks we won't retaliate in kind. In the end this is about Carney being a globalist stooge owned by the WTO. He is looking out for Europe and China and is convincing Canadians to commit suicide. China and the EU are happy to trade with Canada, one way. Problem is all of them are export markets. The only thing of value Canada exports are O&G which they can't get to the coast in volume to export, along with potash, and maybe lumber. They can't sell their cars or industrial products to them and that's the entire Eastern Canadian economy.
"The most terrifying words in the English language are: I'm from the government and I'm here to help."
Ronald Reagan