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bad weather coming tomorrow

375,483 Views | 2494 Replies | Last: 8 yr ago by RC_57
CDUB98
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AG
And, of course, jetch is enjoying himself too much.

Zemira
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quote:
Current radar



All moving E/NE
Dan Scott
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The west side is about to get pounded
Cromagnum
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Weather.com just has the entire system going *poof* on their future cast. We all know what that means...
shano0603
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quote:
These will help clear up traffic on I-45.


I can confirm this. I was there. I seent it.
T Durden
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Weather.com just has the entire system going *poof* on their future cast. We all know what that means...


It means Frank is going to kick poor Radar out of frustration...
Diggity
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He's done worse
Sugar_Land_Wes
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From Jeff Linder - doesn't sound promising


***Significant flash flood and river flood threat across TX***

***Potentially dangerous flash flood event for TX next several days***

Hydro situation across this state is dire and additional potentially excessive rainfall is going to push area river systems and lakes to beyond their breaking point. The systems are just overloaded and given what has transpired this afternoon across the Hill Country (4-6 inches of rainfall) flooding is almost ineveitable across this state over the next 5 days.

I am extremely concerned with the potential of this system to drop copious rainfall leading to devastating flooding.

Discussion:
Upper level system will move into TX on Wednesday and park over the state for the next 5 days. Very high tropical moisture levels will surround this upper level feature and there is the increasing potential for this system to begin to take on tropical warm core charateristics which is deeply concerning. Such slow moving systems in the past across this state in the warm season summer months have produced devastating flood events even with dry conditions before onset. Warm core systems generally like to focus extreme rainfall near their circulation cores during the overnight hours and these rains can be extraordinaryTS AllisonTS CharleyTS Frances. Such systems have produced some of the greatest floods this state has ever experienced.

Expect numerous rounds of thunderstorms to onset by Wednesday afternoon. Storm motions really begin to slow down into Wednesday night through Friday with less than 20kts of forward motion. 850mb inflow of 20-30kts is really favorable for providing a rich low level flow of moisturecombine that with strong and near continuous upper level divergence and you have another classic flash flood setup over this state.

Will go with widespread rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches through Fridaybut am almost certain there is going to be significantly higher amounts. Confidence is poor to where these large totals may occurbut right now will favor areas W of I-45 and N of I-10, or the area that has been devastated over the last 6 weeks with flooding. This also highly impacts the Brazos and Colorado basins which are already dealing with devastating flooding. Think storm totals of 10-15 inches are certainly possible in isolated locations especially over our western counties into central TX. Where such rainfall occurs on already very saturated grounds will result in catastrophic flooding. There is just no skill at this range of predicting where these really big totals may occur.

Residents across the entire region should be prepared for significant flash flooding and watershed flooding over the next 5 days. React immediately to rising water and expect flooded roadways. Never drive into high waterlet me say this again NEVER DRIVE INTO HIGH WATER!!!

Brazos River:

Brazos River has risen past the expected forecast today of 53.5 ft and is currently at 54.3 ft this evening and still rising which is smashing the old 1994 record. Flooding across Fort Bend into Brazoria County is devastating. Water is against all the levees in Fort Bend County and back water flooding is starting to cut-off some subdivisions. Large sections of Fort Bend County are flooded with water in parts of Rosenberg and Valley Lodge many feet deep in homes. The river is across the basin divide into Oyster Creek. This situation is Fort Bend and Brazoria Counties moving forward is dire with additional heavy rainfall forecast. Levee protected subdivisions will have to pump additional rainfall as gravity flow into the river is not possible at this time due to the very high levels which could lead to flooding within these subdivisions if rainfall rates exceed to pumping capabilities.
Satellite of Love
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Hope this sheat goes away tomorrow! I am coming back in the country from Amsterdam and don't want any delays after a 9 hour flight!!!
Cromagnum
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AgLA06
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Hope this sheat goes away tomorrow! I am coming back in the country from Amsterdam and don't want any delays after a 9 hour flight!!!


Poor thing.
MAS444
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I saw it on our neighborhood nextdoor site directly linked (I'm talking verbatim) from someone's friend on facebook. So yeah...it's pretty much first hand info and therefore must be legit.
plowboy1065
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S
Would like to get on this list as well
hockeyag
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Thanks for posting. Oyster Creek is the highest I've ever seen it. Friends have street flooding behind Lowes on HWY 6.
spadilly
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Cromagnum
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When is the craziness supposed to start this time? Last night's storms fizzled out and it hasn't really gotten going today yet.
07fta07
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When is the craziness supposed to start this time? Last night's storms fizzled out and it hasn't really gotten going today yet.

Hopefully never. Ready to dry out.
Ag_07
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That radar is current and that yellow/red blob over the bay is heading onshore.

Shlt fidda get real...0-100 real quick
randy828
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quote:
Along with daytime heating we may see additional development of heavy rain later today, but the upper-level low pressure system that's really going to drive the potential for flooding later this week is still off to the west. So we might also see a mostly dry day.

After today we are going to have a similar set up that has driven large rainmakers during April and May: large low-pressure systems in the atmosphere moving in from the west, pulling in moist air off the Gulf of Mexico, and being recharged continually by this flow of warm, moist air. In the image below we see this upper-level low over the southwestern United States and Mexico. However in this configuration it is lacking the moisture (reddish hues indicate drier air). This will change as the system moves into Texas over the next couple of days.




Space City Weather
RK
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That radar is current and that yellow/red blob over the bay is heading onshore.

Shlt fidda get real...0-100 real quick
only if you live in the ship channel.
randy828
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quote:
quote:
Current radar



All moving E/NE



AgLA06
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Welcome to yesterday?!?
randy828
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Welcome to yesterday?!?
Sarcasm much?
shano0603
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Damnit, Randy. You made me spill my juice box.
The Collective
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Rustys-Beef-o-Reeno
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foiesfsdngkjnvdz;klnvsd;fnsiodvn
jh0400
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jetch17
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AgLA06
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quote:
quote:
Welcome to yesterday?!?
bad sarcasm much?


FIFY
Sazerac
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Dumped Hard for about 10 min in west Houston. Instant flooding as everything is so saturated.
Martin Q. Blank
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Dumped Hard for about 10 min in west Houston. Instant flooding as everything is concrete.
FIFY
Bonfired
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Rosenberg PD facebook page has some astounding views of the flooding there...
Dan Scott
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Street flooding in the woodlands
TX scallywAG
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Are Riley fuzzel and Rayford open? I'm about to head that way
---
Class of '10 - A&M Undergrad & Master's Alum
 
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