Yeah I go to apple weather and it shows 0% here

Don't ignore storm potential this evening - severe weather threat is increasing.

There may be just a few storms, but they will pose a significant hail threat, as well as the possibility for tornadoes. Latest SPC Day 1 Outlook has expanded the Enhanced Risk area to include the entire metroplex with high probabilities for large hail.

Things should develop quickly late this afternoon into early evening (say 5pm onwards). Make sure you have a way to get weather information and warnings if you have activities planned for tonight.

Delkus went from "no big deal" to "enhanced risk" in 13 hours....

planoaggie123 said:

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Delkus went from "no big deal" to "enhanced risk" in 13 hours....

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Baseball size hail and tornadoes are possible late today and tonight!! Stay alert!! https://t.co/CMKhJ0b6E0

— Pete Delkus (@wfaaweather) May 3, 2021

1130AM UPDATE: Trends continue to look more favorable for severe weather this afternoon/evening.

Storms are possible as early as around 5PM west of DFW that would move east through the Metroplex. Large hail, damaging wind gusts, and isolated tornadoes are possible. #dfwwx #txwx pic.twitter.com/BeSsL7D8hJ

— NWS Fort Worth (@NWSFortWorth) May 3, 2021

...what happened to small/normal size hail? Does Texas not do that anymore?

planoaggie123 said:

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...what happened to small/normal size hail? Does Texas not do that anymore?

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Everything's bigger in Texas

....i will take Rick's....

A cold front will move into N TX this afternoon and evening with the chance of storms. Some could be severe with large hail and damaging winds. Low tornado threat mainly NE TX. Storm time window in N TX: 5pm-3am. https://t.co/m2JVBbCPID #NBCDFWWeather pic.twitter.com/V6eXNVvQps

— Rick Mitchell (@RickMitchellWX) May 3, 2021

Quiet the change in the forecast. Looks like another high end type event unfolding. There are going to be some very intense storms fire somewhere around I35 today.

That graphic is outdated - this is the current one:

Didn't pay attention to the time stamp...ugh.


So i can't just pick what looks best???

planoaggie123 said:

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....i will take Rick's....

A cold front will move into N TX this afternoon and evening with the chance of storms. Some could be severe with large hail and damaging winds. Low tornado threat mainly NE TX. Storm time window in N TX: 5pm-3am. https://t.co/m2JVBbCPID #NBCDFWWeather pic.twitter.com/V6eXNVvQps

— Rick Mitchell (@RickMitchellWX) May 3, 2021

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Maybe that is the case but that graphic is about 5 hrs old... As any texan knows that is an eternity by weather standards. Hope he is right though. Regardless looks like I'll be getting mulch bags ready.

My house needs some hail damage on the other side to even it out

Hot and humid as a MF out there. Storm food.

zwhag2010 said:

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planoaggie123 said:

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....i will take Rick's....

A cold front will move into N TX this afternoon and evening with the chance of storms. Some could be severe with large hail and damaging winds. Low tornado threat mainly NE TX. Storm time window in N TX: 5pm-3am. https://t.co/m2JVBbCPID #NBCDFWWeather pic.twitter.com/V6eXNVvQps

— Rick Mitchell (@RickMitchellWX) May 3, 2021

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Maybe that is the case but that graphic is about 5 hrs old... As any texan knows that is an eternity by weather standards. Hope he is right though. Regardless looks like I'll be getting mulch bags ready.

My house needs some hail damage on the other side to even it out

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Working in the roofing business now I endorse this statement.

Update:

12:30 Update: Here's the updated timing for today/tonight.

Storms could develop as early as around 5PM along the cold front, then move across North Texas this evening. The threat then expands into Central and East Texas tonight. #txwx #dfwwx pic.twitter.com/3bkKyxR5aw

— NWS Fort Worth (@NWSFortWorth) May 3, 2021

Sometimes we see the ingredients for severe weather coming together days in advance. Other times (like today) it's only hours.

What's going on today? The culprit is this cold front being 6 hours slower. Now a more volatile combo of instability & lift occurs over us.#dfwwx #ctxwx pic.twitter.com/qAnX4UhXrw

— NWS Fort Worth (@NWSFortWorth) May 3, 2021

New model

This graphic sucks!

Delkus telling mama he's going to home late

I have a 9pm flight......awesome.

With sunny skies and increasing moisture, instability is increasing along and west of the I-35 corridor. From the GOES-16 satellite, the increasing and darkening green colors show where the atmosphere is becoming most unstable. The cap continues to hold...for now. #dfwwx #ctxwx pic.twitter.com/atBAQLZ8Qn

— NWS Fort Worth (@NWSFortWorth) May 3, 2021

If it hits 90, it's gonna be an interesting evening.

Straight line winds. Yuck. We've had more damage from that than anything in the past few years.

If you aren't following Texas Storm Chasers on Facebook do yourself a favor and do it now. They are great with severe weather

A watch will be coming shortly with first storms likely popping just west of DFW. All modes of severe weather likely. The further north/northeast you go the higher the risk of severe weather.

EwingBarnes said:

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A watch will be coming shortly with first storms likely popping just west of DFW. All modes of severe weather likely. The further north/northeast you go the higher the risk of severe weather.

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already got the tornado watch

EwingBarnes said:

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A watch will be coming shortly with first storms likely popping just west of DFW. All modes of severe weather likely. The further north/northeast you go the higher the risk of severe weather.

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I can't lose more deer stands again

Storms developing over Parker county.

...seems like those are just random pop-ups? From what I see on the "future cast" most of the line develops around 6/630...

This is the main event starting now

Expect warnings for Hood and Parker counties soon.

Fronts converging

We want a uniform storm front line, right? No isolated cells which can get all tornadoey...

I don't think we want any of this.