Look at the polls from 2020 in Maine. Collins was getting beat easily, then wins by 8+

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2020/maine/collins-vs-gideon

Will it be the same in 2026?

Similar to Trump now with all his ai slop content.

And just like that, Republicans lead combined mail+early voting in Kansas. Ballots yesterday were R+13.0%.

Kansas is R+19. The next drop today will likely be R+15, and so on until Election Day is a blowout.

There are still 800,000 votes left to go and people ignore simple… pic.twitter.com/3oOki1QUca

— Seth Keshel (@RealSKeshel) October 30, 2026

So, is WaPo telling us their poll is bad?

I happen to think that Hamilton is a very strong candidate in these strongly anti-Trump times, so I'm not sure how off that poll is.

He is an older version of Talarico.

AxelFoley85 said:

---

Similar to Trump now with all his ai slop content.

---

Trump does not pretend to be unbiased and respectable news journos or organization. So other than that, I guess?

Big get by @TheMaineWire: 140 hours of Lewiston City Hall video showing NGO "interpreters" guiding 200+ voters, at times appearing to point at choices and fill out ballots. The U.S. Attorney for Maine is reviewing it. H/T @SteveRob pic.twitter.com/Aqb6i3Hrrz

— Greg Mueller (@gregmcrc) October 30, 2026

VaterAg said:

---

flown-the-coop said:

---

VaterAg said:

---

flown-the-coop said:

---

VaterAg said:

---

flown-the-coop said:

---

He did have a reporter ask him about his health on the tarmac yesterday and he snapped at them and told the reporter they looked like hell and should take care of themselves better.

Go Trump.

---

The list of GOPers impressed by Trump's angry, childish outbursts is getting smaller by the day. It's not going to take too many GOP Senators to reach 67. It's going to be in the teens.

---

67 for what? Removal?

Also, if the Dems have the same numbers they have now it's already in the "teens" per math and such.

But if you believe Trump fading away, I encourage your delusion. It's helpful in battling the crazy libs who Hate America.

---

I'm just saying Trump needs to be careful here. He doesn't have nearly the same political clout he once had.

And no, I don't think he is "fading away". Trump is the same imbecile he's always been, the difference now is the list of people who champion him or put up with his antics is getting smaller. People are now casting him aside because association with him is now more toxic to them than it is beneficial.

---

Nothing you wrote is true. HTH.

---

Your thought provoking rebuttal is appreciated.

---

Honestly, and I say this with all the respect I can. Provoking more thought from you is not the desired outcome.

Serious disconnect

Kansas Senate, Already Voted:

🔵 Hamilton 66% (+24)
🔴 Marshall 32%@EmersonPolling, LV, 10/26-28 https://t.co/W9K50VWOtv

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) October 30, 2026

Not that what I think matters, but these are the states that have shown with early voting thus far and my thoughts.

At this point the only thing that matters is keeping the Senate for R's at 51+. House is 95% D. Governors, beside locals doesn't really matter too much at national level.

AK - Tilt R - I am still 50/50 here but will give the incumbent an ever so slight tilt. Will the decoy Dan confuse some voters? Ranked Choice should be outlawed in the US.
FL - is RED!
GA - Lean D - GA has been moving left for a while. Sucks because I live here and despise most liberal policies.
IA - Lean R - Closer than normal, but Rs will win.
KS - Lean R - Same as IA
ME - Lean R - Collins ALWAYS overperforms. Don't think it will be different this time, but Ds are getting closer.
MI(FLIP) - Tilt R - MAYBE Lean R. El-Sayed has turned off a lot of Ds, and is the worst candidate Ds could have picked. Radical candidates usually underperform.
MN - Lean D - Don't see any surprises here.
NC(FLIP) - Lean D - D voters are WAY overperforming.
NE - Lean R - Close but no cigar for Ds.
NH - Lean D - Maybe a little closer than Ds want.
OH - Tilt R - Going to be close. But Husted should pull it out.
SC - Lean R - Lady Graham not the draw as Mr. Graham.
TX - Lean R - Texans vote R pretty reliably and Talarico is NOT Beto.

So by my count that would be... 53R/47D

October Surprise in Kansas. Republican Senator in close race sued by former patient for charging too high interest rates.

Quote:

---

A former patient of Senator Roger Marshall, Republican of Kansas, on Thursday filed a class-action lawsuit against him and his former medical practice, contending that he charged illegally high interest rates in pursuing patients over outstanding bills.

Mr. Marshall, who had a 25-year career as an obstetrician-gynecologist, sued more than 700 patients over unpaid bills, The New York Times found in an investigation last month. In at least 81 of those cases, patients were arrested after missing court dates.

Mr. Marshall, a first-term senator, is facing an unexpectedly tight race to keep his seat, with recent polls showing him neck-and-neck with his Democratic challenger, Adam Hamilton, in a state that hasn't elected a Democratic senator since 1932.

The lawsuit, filed in Kansas state court, focuses on the 18 percent interest rate that Mr. Marshall and the medical practice he co-owned, Heartland OBGYN, often charged patients.

It argues that the high rate was "egregious conduct" that may have violated Kansas law.

---

The early voting is interesting discussion fodder, but for a Dem to win in a deep red state a lot of republicans would have to vote for them. So hard to say what the turnout really means

OldArmy71 said:

---

October Surprise in Kansas. Republican Senator in close race sued by former patient for charging too high interest rates.

Quote:

---

A former patient of Senator Roger Marshall, Republican of Kansas, on Thursday filed a class-action lawsuit against him and his former medical practice, contending that he charged illegally high interest rates in pursuing patients over outstanding bills.

Mr. Marshall, who had a 25-year career as an obstetrician-gynecologist, sued more than 700 patients over unpaid bills, The New York Times found in an investigation last month. In at least 81 of those cases, patients were arrested after missing court dates.

Mr. Marshall, a first-term senator, is facing an unexpectedly tight race to keep his seat, with recent polls showing him neck-and-neck with his Democratic challenger, Adam Hamilton, in a state that hasn't elected a Democratic senator since 1932.

The lawsuit, filed in Kansas state court, focuses on the 18 percent interest rate that Mr. Marshall and the medical practice he co-owned, Heartland OBGYN, often charged patients.

It argues that the high rate was "egregious conduct" that may have violated Kansas law.

---

---

Old news and previously discussed. The NYT article is misleading at best.

Also, in 81 of those cases arrest warrants were issued by a judge for FAILING TO APPEAR IN COURT. In only 13 of those cases were the attorneys representing Marshall's business involved, indicating they may have agreed with the judge issuing the warrants.

Per the NYT story, they found NO EVIDENCE OF ANY ACTUAL ARRESTS.

The 700 claims cover over 20 years of a regional hospital operations, of which Marshall was founder and part owner.

Red Fishing Ag93 said:

---

VaterAg said:

---

flown-the-coop said:

---

VaterAg said:

---

flown-the-coop said:

---

VaterAg said:

---

flown-the-coop said:

---

He did have a reporter ask him about his health on the tarmac yesterday and he snapped at them and told the reporter they looked like hell and should take care of themselves better.

Go Trump.

---

The list of GOPers impressed by Trump's angry, childish outbursts is getting smaller by the day. It's not going to take too many GOP Senators to reach 67. It's going to be in the teens.

---

67 for what? Removal?

Also, if the Dems have the same numbers they have now it's already in the "teens" per math and such.

But if you believe Trump fading away, I encourage your delusion. It's helpful in battling the crazy libs who Hate America.

---

I'm just saying Trump needs to be careful here. He doesn't have nearly the same political clout he once had.

And no, I don't think he is "fading away". Trump is the same imbecile he's always been, the difference now is the list of people who champion him or put up with his antics is getting smaller. People are now casting him aside because association with him is now more toxic to them than it is beneficial.

---

Nothing you wrote is true. HTH.

---

Your thought provoking rebuttal is appreciated.

---

Honestly, and I say this with all the respect I can. Provoking more thought from you is not the desired outcome.

---

If that is true, why on earth would you respond to me over a discussion that didnt involve you?

I'm puzzled here.

Genius

Let's remind ourselves of how much Dems are committed to cheating on elections.

WOW.