***Official Final 100 Days to 2026 Midterms Countdown/Discussion Thread***

81,537 Views | 1197 Replies | Last: 1 min ago by TRM
YouBet
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AG
Ag with kids said:

t_J_e_C_x said:

samurai_science said:

ErnestEndeavor said:

The issue in this case is that the Democrats appear to have hired another guy named Dan Sullivan to appear on the ballot and his name is actually listed before the incumbent Dan Sullivan.

The random Sullivan ran as a Republican in the primary and got 1.5% of the vote, meaning the vast majority of those people were confused and voted for the wrong Sullivan. It was enough to get him on the general election ballot in fourth place.

Alaska uses ranked choice voting. The question is whether voters will be confused and vote for the wrong Sullivan and/or believe there may be a duplicate Sullivan on the ballot and leave the real Sullivan off when they do their ranked choice.

Exactly. Lawfare it is


This will appear exactly as it seems as an attempt to subvert the will of the people, of whom you've stated above you don't care about, and will only do more to harm Republican elections nation wide. Well done.

The Dems, by putting this guy on the ballot, are the ones who are attempting to subvert the will of the people. They want the Republican majority to split their vote through confusion so their candidate can win.

So don't get all high and mighty about subversion when it's your side that did it first. The lawsuit is just the Republican response to the dirty game the left played.


As a leftist, he doesn't understand what a logical fallacy is. Democrats knowingly and purposely create confusion and chaos and then blame Republicans for responding to it.
K2-HMFIC
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Tracking rural turnout is going to be a huge indicator for how this election is going to go…if it's lagging then Paxton has a huge problem.
YouBet
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AG
Saw detailed report elsewhere. It's lagging pretty significantly.

Gonna be unfortunate to have a far left wing Senator in Texas.
K2-HMFIC
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YouBet said:

Saw detailed report elsewhere. It's lagging pretty significantly.

Gonna be unfortunate to have a far left wing Senator in Texas.


As they say, it's a long way to Tipperary, but it's a big signal.

Also looks like Hispanic Districts are continuing to turn out in early voting…I'm guessing they are making up the preponderance of the "no primary history" voters.
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nortex97
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AG
outofstateaggie said:

The Hill and Politico have started to shift the narrative away from a Dem sweep. I have seen multiple tweets from both backpedaling from where they have been all election cycle.

I have some dim hope the x election hub project is real and will be useful vs. fake news crap/polls shortly before election day.


It would still primarily be a data/news aggregator, imho, so nothing is going to be 'ideal' but I favor ending reliance on leftist garbage like decision desk, votehub, cook, NBC/ABC/CBS/Fox et al. But they might also just keep it internal to beta trial it this round to release in 2028.

Supposedly musk took a 3 percent stake in Skydance recently (CNN, CBS 'News', CNBC...). The fake/legacy news media market is absolutely ripe for massive changes, in political coverage/analytics etc. A lot of the legacy dinosaur anchors/talking heads are headed for the exit before 2028 anyway.
Isosceles_Kramer
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this may be the best and most brutal ad yet in this cycle. Bravo. Spot on with politicians saying it out loud

OldArmy71
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AG
I just saw this ad. Probably too late, but it's a great ad.
YouBet
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AG
OldArmy71 said:

I just saw this ad. Probably too late, but it's a great ad.


It's great because it's 100% true.
Tex100
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AG
Talarico now down to the kitchen sink of all his claims rolled into one ad
ErnestEndeavor
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They'd be competing with the very good NYT election page which does most of this this quite well.
Rapier108
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"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
TRM
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AG
The far right has been interesting - hating Rogers because he supports Israel and supporting fellow Jew hater in El-Sayed, but supporting Acton, a Jew, over Ramaswamy
Old McDonald
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ev analysis is mostly bull****, but i wonder what it says that republicans' favorite data analyst influencer isn't sharing what she's seeing. too depressing?
PaulsBunions
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AG
Old McDonald said:

ev analysis is mostly bull****, but i wonder what it says that republicans' favorite data analyst influencer isn't sharing what she's seeing. too depressing?



Do people really care what she says now that she's been outted as a fed
K2-HMFIC
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PaulsBunions said:

Old McDonald said:

ev analysis is mostly bull****, but i wonder what it says that republicans' favorite data analyst influencer isn't sharing what she's seeing. too depressing?



Do people really care what she says now that she's been outted as a fed



MAGA respects her when she posts data they like.

They call her a fed when she posts data they don't like.
OldArmy71
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AG
I appreciate the variety of views and polls on this thread.

In the past (Romney; Trump 2020) I felt overly optimistic having read some of the prognostications on here (not by Texags members, but by professionals who were cited here), and I felt really blindsided when the results came in.

I feel quite pessimistic about R's chances nationwide and in Texas, and especially with that lying SOB Talarico, and the evidence on this thread certainly allows for that.

It sickens me, but I have to just accept that I did what I could.
K2-HMFIC
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OldArmy71 said:

I appreciate the variety of views and polls on this thread.

In the past (Romney; Trump 2020) I felt overly optimistic having read some of the prognostications on here (not by Texags members, but by professionals who were cited here), and I felt really betrayed when the results came in.

I feel quite pessimistic about R's chances nationwide and in Texas, and especially with that lying SOB Talarico, and the evidence on this thread certainly allows for that.

It sickens me, but I have to just accept that I did what I could.



The reasons are simple, people just don't like them.
outofstateaggie
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AG
This is incredible.

nortex97
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AG
Great admission:
TRM
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AG
amercer
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AG
That's a lot of deep red states in play. Will be interesting to see how this looks in 2 years
Ag with kids
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AG
outofstateaggie said:

This is incredible.



This is an example of an evil person.

The sad thing is that he portrays himself as someone that knows economics...
You can turn off signatures, btw
aggiebymarriage88
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TRM said:




Of course things will change in two years but this was supposed to be a favorable Senate map for the GOP. If we're sitting here in 2028 with a total drag on the GOP and the dems get the White House with 60 in the Senate Trumps prediction about being the last republican president may come true.
The Brazos Kid
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nortex97 said:

Great admission:



Not gonna lie: thought she was the girl from "24".
TRM
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AG
Where Trump and Vance are campaigning this week:

Mississippi: Trump +23
Texas: Trump +14
Ohio: Trump +11
Florida: Trump +13
Iowa: Trump +13
Montana: Trump +20
Kansas: Trump +16
Michigan: Trump +1
nortex97
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AG
Jihadist sitting at 47 with black voters is pretty comical, given the Kenyan One's recent attempt to stump up support for him/sharia law.

(Caveat, it's Insider Advantage which is, in kind terms, pure crap most of the time.)

Young and dumb voters are critical to DSA Dem plans/hopes in every state, and in none of them are they turning out statistically.

Trump slamming Murk just because he can:
Quote:

"The Republicans' Worst Senator, by far, Lisa Murkowski, of the Great State of Alaska (A State for which I produced, on a continuing basis, Billions and Billions of Dollars, and which Crooked Joe Biden and the Dumocrats had totally shut down Then I came back, and delivered even more!), who only got elected because of Corrupt Ranked Choice Voting, is upset because I revealed what everyone knows, that the Ranked Choice Voting Ballot is a TOTAL DEMOCRAT SCAM meant to confuse the Voter," Trump wrote.

Trump argued that the voting system in Alaska could hurt current GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan against "a man who has never participated in politics before, named Daniel J. Sullivan, Jr."

Trump said Sullivan, the Democrat, is "only there because the Democrats want to steal the election, and Murkowski probably wants that to happen, which is why she is against the DOJ filing a lawsuit in order to stop this impending crime and tragedy."

TRM
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nortex97
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That's a poll I can believe.

I am a little surprised at this positive, unifying message from El Sayed.

/sarcasm.
flown-the-coop
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Another gem of an ad that seems to be getting regular play in the last couple of days.

Message is dead on. Liberals are the new racists. And the HATE America.

OldArmy71
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AG
Wow.

That ad and the anti-Semitism need to be a major news story.
YouBet
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AG
Equality is #1. lol. Something that was achieved long ago and is now arguably in minority and women's favor.
will25u
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But doesn't happen...

outofstateaggie
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AG

Republicans sitting on their hands and staying home this election cycle has to be one of the more galactically stupid things I have ever witnessed.
TRM
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outofstateaggie
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I will have what he's having.

 
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