***Official Final 100 Days to 2026 Midterms Countdown/Discussion Thread***

9,328 Views | 144 Replies | Last: 16 hrs ago by flown-the-coop
Ag with kids
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DeschutesAg said:

YouBet said:

Yeah, when he said fiscal health I automatically go to the debt which is a disaster and all are to blame for that. He consistently only blames Republicans and sometimes just Reagan for our $40T debt which is obviously stupid and false.

I don't blame Ronnie. He was duped just like you have been. You Rs and your dogmatic belief and adherence to the principles of the scam that became known in the 1980s as "Reaganomics" is why we're $40T in debt. It has been your party's fundamental economic policy and philosophy since the early 1980s.

The biggest driver of the debt has been the MANDATORY spending put in place by FDR and LBJ - Social Security and Medicare.

And because of that, now the BIGGEST driver is interest on the debt...
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Ag with kids
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YokelRidesAgain said:

Silent For Too Long said:

ETA: Tax revenues increased under Reagan, despite the very necessary at the time tax cuts. So if thats what you are blaiming it on it just proves you are incredibly ill-informed.

1) If you are speaking in terms of gross, tax revenues increased under every administration over the past 50 years, simply on the basis of population/economic growth, so this is not a very meaningful statement.

2) Tax revenue actually declined from 1982 to 1983; since 1980, this only happened from 2001-3 (Bush tax cuts), 2008-9 (financial crisis); and 2019-2020 (COVID obviously).

3) The more relevant measure (tax revenue as a percentage of GDP) declined substantially under Reagan. The 1981 value (18.69%) would not be reached again until 1998.

It is simply a fiction that the Reagan tax cuts increased the revenue flowing to the government more than would have occurred by leaving the tax rates alone, and the supply-siders didn't think that would be the case, either. Their prediction was that the loss of revenue wouldn't be as bad as predicted by liberal economists, due to tax cuts stimulating economic growth.

In re: Reagan, I think you could argue that they were right. The Bush 43 tax cuts were much less justifiable without spending restraint.

Looks like those tax cuts DID stimulate economic growth since GDP grew quite a bit during his term...
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Ag with kids
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YokelRidesAgain said:

Silent For Too Long said:

The fact that tax revenues decreased as a perecent of GDP is a good thing. "Oh no, our government is less of a burden on our economy, whatever shall we do!"

You could argue that if there had been a commensurate decrease in spending as a percentage of GDP.

Narrator: There was not.

Federal revenues grew 65%, federal spending rose 69%, and yet the percentage of GDP for the federal spending DROPPED from 22.9% to 21.2%

So, that means the private economy grew more than the government did...
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nortex97
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Plausible senate judiciary chair promises endless witch hunt investigations of Scotus justices if Dems win.
YouBet
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Communists: gotta break the system before you can save it with communism.
nortex97
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How is this guy even still in the running for a purple state? I suspect he isn't, in reality. As with Talarico, all that has to happen is people pay a smidgen of attention to what DSA Dem candidates have said over the past few years.
flown-the-coop
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Does the thing on his face keep his vest inflated? or does it translate arabic to engrish?
nortex97
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LOL, 'Stop the sabotage, Democrats!' Funny lamentation about party fractures/fissions harming their chances on the communist side;
Quote:

Finally, the vague, floating, and hard-to-dispel antisemitism accusation being lodged at El-Sayed (and Zohran Mamdani last year) should be dropped. If there are specific comments or policies that pro-Israel and/or Jewish Democrats want El-Sayed to address, that's legitimate. El-Sayed rightly apologized this weekend for a remark that he made in March, in which he said "hurt people hurt people" when discussing an attack on a synagogue in the Detroit suburbs.

But much of this criticism is falsely implying that a strong critic of the Israeli government's treatment of Palestinians has malice toward American Jews.

What connects the Michigan and Texas cases is the kind of racial and identity politics that Democrats desperately need to move on from. There are legitimate questions about the role of Black women in Democratic politics and what the party's stances on Israel-Palestine issues should be. But the way to debate those questions isn't to lodge vague accusations that Talarico can't connect with Black people or that El-Sayed hates Jewish ones and use those as wedge issues to tank the party's Senate candidates. I welcome an extended conversation about the role of Black women in the party and its Middle East policies in Novemberand I would assume Talarico and El-Sayed would as well.

Let me close with my own accusation. It's fairly obvious that suggesting that a white candidate doesn't connect with Black voters or that a Muslim candidate is antisemitic might hurt those candidates in a general election. I worry that Crockett doesn't actually want Talarico to win; same for Gottheimer, Scholten, and Nessel in El-Sayed's case. They would prefer a pro-Trump senator to one from a rival faction of their own party. That's a strong accusation, but it's pretty in line with their recent behavior. These politicians have two months to prove me wrong. I hope they do.

YouBet
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Quote:

There are legitimate questions about the role of Black women in Democratic politics


Yes, the Democrats need fewer of them. As a group, they are the lowest IQ elected officials they have. Almost every example we can name is a borderline tard, if not every example.
flown-the-coop
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Was thinking yesterday we had not heard from Fetterman in a minute…

He was on Hannity last night offering $25k to Al Sayeds campaign each time he holds a rally with Piker. He also evidently let Al Sayed have it. Savage.


nortex97
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This is really just who democrats are, but I don't think the jihadist will win in Michigan this cycle. He's just been too open about wanting to kill others/civilians. Then again, Jeh Johnson won in a purplish state last cycle after wanting to murder his opponent and his kids.
nortex97
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After 400K purge, Democrats voter registration lead in NV has dropped tremendously to a mere 700-ish voters (from 87K).

Senate Leadership fund and Trump alike are dumping money into a tightening NC race fwiw.

I think pro-criminal Roy Cooper is not in fact as 'ahead' as the public garbage polls indicate.

ETA: NM swing district in statistical tie.

I wonder if Trump will hold a rally in NM/NV.
Quote:

The poll showed the race splitting along familiar lines. Vasquez ran up his margins with women and Latino voters, leading by 13 and 20 points. Cunningham countered with men and white voters, up 5 and 11. A Marine combat veteran who later worked as an Albuquerque police detective, Cunningham wants to eat into the Latino number. "Hispanic culture is at its core a conservative culture," he told Fox News.
The survey also measured President Donald Trump's standing in the district, finding 39 percent viewed him favorably and 51 percent unfavorably.
Vasquez defeated former Rep. Yvette Herrell 52.1 percent to 47.9 percent in 2024, the same year Trump carried the district 49.9 percent to 48.1 percent. Ballotpedia lists the seat among 23 Trump-won districts Democrats are defending this year.
National Republicans have poured attention into the race. House Speaker Mike Johnson campaigned for Cunningham in New Mexico last week. The NRCC listed the district among five where its internal surveys showed the party leading or tied inside the margin of error.
Republicans have posted similar numbers in other targeted races, with an NRSC survey last week showing former Sen. John Sununu ahead by a point in New Hampshire's Senate contest.



nortex97
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Ohio Democrat Governor nominee is a lunatic drunkard.

USAFAg
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nortex97 said:

Ohio Democrat Governor nominee is a lunatic drunkard.




LOL...from the replies

"They have already identified the men that attacked her. 3 white males.

Jack Daniels
Johnny walker
Jim Beam

The men were assisted by ice"
flown-the-coop
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Even those men are tired of her babbling obnoxiousness.
YouBet
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Good lord Democrats are just openly insane now.
BQ78
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Holy moley, hide the children and exercise bands
jt2hunt
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amercer
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I assume that F16 has snapped up all those midterm convention ticket for this week. It's local and only 25k to get in!

A two day Trump rally is really what the candidates need to get all those independents motivated.
nortex97
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A midterm election is all about turning out the base, and Trump is incredibly popular with Republicans, much more so than the lame traitors such as John Thune or his outgoing pal Cornyn who...will not be speaking.

Democrats campaigning on gas prices absolutely crack me up.
nortex97
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Not that anyone was under the impression Austin was something resembling 'red' but this is aggravating to see so visually clear.
YouBet
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Just another big city now.
flown-the-coop
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YouBet said:

Just another big city now.

Actually, if one wanted to use the "K-shape" term appropriately for once, you could say that Austin Metro had a K-shaped population growth of affluent liberals (not just H1-B, that boogeyman is beyond tired already) and then their favorite tagalongs the government teat-sucking entitlement leeches of society.

Housing growth in Austin has been in the high-rise and in the slums / camping under freeways. The problem compounds when the freeway campers vote at 100% participation and 100% blue.

They drove out the middle class hence the K.
YouBet
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flown-the-coop said:

YouBet said:

Just another big city now.

Actually, if one wanted to use the "K-shape" term appropriately for once, you could say that Austin Metro had a K-shaped population growth of affluent liberals (not just H1-B, that boogeyman is beyond tired already) and then their favorite tagalongs the government teat-sucking entitlement leeches of society.

Housing growth in Austin has been in the high-rise and in the slums / camping under freeways. The problem compounds when the freeway campers vote at 100% participation and 100% blue.

They drove out the middle class hence the K.


I would agree and that's every big city.
flown-the-coop
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Correct.

Thank GOD certain founding fathers fought quite hard for things like the senate and electoral college.

Else the politics of blue cities would be the law of the nation.

Nope, no thank you.
nortex97
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Would love to see her being correct on this.
flown-the-coop
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WolfCall
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amercer said:

I assume that F16 has snapped up all those midterm convention ticket for this week. It's local and only 25k to get in!

A two day Trump rally is really what the candidates need to get all those independents motivated.

Have you seen the two day agenda or the list of speakers? Tell us how unimpressive the topics and speakers will be to Independents......

And, while you are at it, tell us about the Democrats' midterm convention and how its agenda and speakers will wow Independents.
LMCane
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can someone explain how it is that Sununu in New Hampshire

was reported on CNN TODAY that he is in good position to flip a blue senate to red

and Mike Rogers has been leading some polls in Michigan to flip a blue seat to red

and Tafoya closing to a few points in MN

and Whatley closing to a few points in NC

but suddenly the overwhelming sentiment is the GOP is collapsing?!?!
nortex97
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We are near/at peak fake poll season. The fake propaganda polls generally stop releasing new public ones in the last month so they can escape post-election scrutiny and claim some shift toward the right/red. So they've come out with some analyses/message that 'undecideds' basically hate Trump, trying to obviate the clear threat of '30 rallies in 30 days.'


The MSM eats that crap up.

Keep in mind that on this day in 2024 the message was that Kamala was up 16 in the battleground states.
Quote:

In 2024, Kamala Harris was polling around +16/+17 with Hispanic voters in the battlegrounds. The national (not battleground) result actually ended up Harris +2 or so per Pew's validated voter survey. Exit polling showed it a little more blue. Trump won all swing states and Republicans won the House despite Dem redistricting. Won it with an R+2.7ish result, or better than any presidential election since 2004.

Compare poll to polls and it looks like a mild shift half-back to 2022 levels, when, again, Republicans were R+2.8 and only lost the Senate because they nominated Oz, Masters, and Walker. Not because of the House vote/turnout.

LMCane
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but there are LITERALLY polls showing Mike Rogers beating Abdulrahman to flip a seat in Michigan

and there are LITERALLY polls showing Sununu beating the leftist in New Hampshire to flip another seat

so if the GOP candidates are gaining ground- how is the national party collapsing?

especially with Paxton now leading in Kalshi 53-47 over Talafreako?
Grapesoda2525
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Collins is dunking Ossoffs head into the toilet.
flown-the-coop
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LMCane said:

but there are LITERALLY polls showing Mike Rogers beating Abdulrahman to flip a seat in Michigan

and there are LITERALLY polls showing Sununu beating the leftist in New Hampshire to flip another seat

so if the GOP candidates are gaining ground- how is the national party collapsing?

especially with Paxton now leading in Kalshi 53-47 over Talafreako?

You know the answer, but TDS boners are fully engorged at the moment thinking a D senate is likely and a +10 house majority is all but assured.

Reality…? It's becoming an almost certainty the senate will remain red and Rs could un up the score to +5 to +7 in the Senate… including replacing 3 RINOs. Thune's jaw is going to to need surgery if he hopes continue as senate leader.

House is harder to predict but I think ultimately Rs hold. If anything resolves in the Iran or in the Ukraine in next 30 days, Rs keep house and likely stack a comfortable majority.

The Dems are scattered, disorganized and with a ton of troublesome candidates and near zero voter enthusiasm. Despite massive push by MSM and the socials to make it seem the other way.

f16 has a lot more low information voters who still watch CNN, get their political analysis from the NYT, and their posts from BlueSky.
YouBet
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Quote:

A federal district court judge in Missouri on Tuesday temporarily blocked the Show-Me State from using an older congressional map in the midterm elections, granting Republicans a victory after the Supreme Court declined to take up the case.

The 14-day temporary restraining order issued by District Judge Stephen Clark, an appointee of President Trump, requires Missouri to use the Republican-friendly map approved by the legislature and signed into law by GOP Gov. Mike Kehoe last year while the Eastern District court hears arguments in the case.
Windy City Ag
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Quote:

Trump has been self-enriching his family, his donors, and his GOP cohorts via massive self-dealing and massive corruption schemes while his policies on tariffs, trade, farming, gasoline prices, oil drilling, grocery prices, housing, interest rates, the war with Iran, the Big Beautiful (gigantic spending and national debt increasing) Bill, DOGE, and most of his other initiatives have been failures.


This is one that gets less play than other factors but (big but as always) the opinion polls are showing a pretty big spike in anger at government corruption.

Gallup had this poll the other day. It show a record 10% spike in the view that the federal government is corrupt since Trump took office and it is almost entirely based on dems and independents.

Not good for the GOP in this case.






 
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