The downside to an early election night call on Florida is that it probably makes the MSNBC meltdown a little less dramatic later in the evening.
Just an Ag said:
The downside to an early election night call on Florida is that it probably makes the MSNBC meltdown a little less dramatic later in the evening.
Target Smart is only reporting Mail-In Ballots. Its pretty widely known that most Trump voters will do in person voting (early or election day)2021NCAggies said:
If you go by Target Smart early voting.
States that look good for Trump: Florida, NC, Texas, Ohio, Wisconsin (barely), Minnesota (barely), Nevada and New Mexico
States that look bad: Pennsylvania (real bad), Georgia, Arizona, Iowa, Michigan. All of these look real bad for Trump, minus Michigan which is trending DEM +3%
Granted most of the votes for Dems is in Philly and Allegheny for Pennsylvania. Detroit (Wayne) for Michigan. Atlanta For Georgia
But it makes their suffering much much longer. I'm good with that!Just an Ag said:
The downside to an early election night call on Florida is that it probably makes the MSNBC meltdown a little less dramatic later in the evening.
akm91 said:
Wow, D's total EV advantage is down to about 400K.
No, they are calculating everything, not just mail insclw04 said:Target Smart is only reporting Mail-In Ballots. Its pretty widely known that most Trump voters will do in person voting (early or election day)2021NCAggies said:
If you go by Target Smart early voting.
States that look good for Trump: Florida, NC, Texas, Ohio, Wisconsin (barely), Minnesota (barely), Nevada and New Mexico
States that look bad: Pennsylvania (real bad), Georgia, Arizona, Iowa, Michigan. All of these look real bad for Trump, minus Michigan which is trending DEM +3%
Granted most of the votes for Dems is in Philly and Allegheny for Pennsylvania. Detroit (Wayne) for Michigan. Atlanta For Georgia
Target Smart as of this morning had it 2,107,622 Dem to 1,813,713 RepEKUAg said:akm91 said:
Wow, D's total EV advantage is down to about 400K.
Just went under. 397k
What is not being factored in is there will be a higher percentage of D's the vote Trump than the percentage or R's that vote Biden. You can all but guarantee that it skews a few points more to Trump when just basing off rollcall of registered party votes.2021NCAggies said:No, they are calculating everything, not just mail insclw04 said:Target Smart is only reporting Mail-In Ballots. Its pretty widely known that most Trump voters will do in person voting (early or election day)2021NCAggies said:
If you go by Target Smart early voting.
States that look good for Trump: Florida, NC, Texas, Ohio, Wisconsin (barely), Minnesota (barely), Nevada and New Mexico
States that look bad: Pennsylvania (real bad), Georgia, Arizona, Iowa, Michigan. All of these look real bad for Trump, minus Michigan which is trending DEM +3%
Granted most of the votes for Dems is in Philly and Allegheny for Pennsylvania. Detroit (Wayne) for Michigan. Atlanta For Georgia
Yep.Gyles Marrett said:
Trump event in the Villages here shortly today and I believe another rally in FL tonight. Election night is going to start with Trump kicking the MF'ing door off in FL leaving CNN and MSNBC wetting their studio chairs for the following several hours. You can only imagine the commercial break meltdowns that will be going on off camera
Saw someone earlier question why Joe was having an event near his home in Delaware when he has Delaware locked up by 25+ points. I don't think it's covid fears like many have assumed. I think they actually do know they're beat, that the polls are full of it, and its just not worth the time.aginlakeway said:Yep.Gyles Marrett said:
Trump event in the Villages here shortly today and I believe another rally in FL tonight. Election night is going to start with Trump kicking the MF'ing door off in FL leaving CNN and MSNBC wetting their studio chairs for the following several hours. You can only imagine the commercial break meltdowns that will be going on off camera
Trump has 2 events in Florida today.
Tomorrow: Lumberton, NC, Circleville, OH and Waukesha, WI.
Sunday: Manchester, NH.
Gyles Marrett said:Saw someone earlier question why Joe was having an event near his home in Delaware when he has Delaware locked up by 25+ points. I don't think it's covid fears like many have assumed. I think they actually do know they're beat, that the polls are full of it, and its just not worth the time.aginlakeway said:Yep.Gyles Marrett said:
Trump event in the Villages here shortly today and I believe another rally in FL tonight. Election night is going to start with Trump kicking the MF'ing door off in FL leaving CNN and MSNBC wetting their studio chairs for the following several hours. You can only imagine the commercial break meltdowns that will be going on off camera
Trump has 2 events in Florida today.
Tomorrow: Lumberton, NC, Circleville, OH and Waukesha, WI.
Sunday: Manchester, NH.
Keegan99 said:
For Joe it's less about actually being somewhere but getting his talking points and sound bytes out to his functionaries in the press for favorable editing and free dissemination.
He can't have fire works....might set his pace maker off and also a PTSD episode by Hunter from crack binges2021NCAggies said:
Has Biden cancelled his Firework show yet?
Keegan99 said:
That's the cannibalization theory. It's possible but built into the models.
GOP wins on election day.