*** Official 2025 - 2026 Dallas Mavericks Season Thread ***

175,032 Views | 2152 Replies | Last: 5 hrs ago by Guitarsoup
Tksymm7
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That was an unbelievably embarrassing effort by Portland last night. 25 effing turnovers? 10 alone between Avdjia and Clingon? My god fellas. I am not going to blame the Mavs at all for that one. That was DISGUSTING from the Trailblazers.
Vessel
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Didn't get to watch, but love to see an efficient scoring line from Wagler.
mavsfan4ever
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Yea the more I watched and read about acuff's historically bad defense, I now think I go wagler over him. I think wagler would be my pick at 5-7. And I was convinced afuff was the best guard earlier this year.
Vessel
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Massive win for the Grizz last night.
M.C. Swag
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They won?!
Vessel
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Best anti-tanking idea I've seen yet:


Quote:

Anti-tanking idea I've been kicking around for a while, and came up at Sloan this year: teams aren't allowed to use their own draft picks.

That's it. If you still own your pick when the season starts, it moves to the end of the first round. Nothing else needed.

Bad teams still have a valuable asset. They just have to trade it before the season begins. So hopeless teams (say Kings and Pacers) pair off and swap picks before the season. Both get value back. Neither has any reason to tank in-season. Or your can just trade your pick for players, future assets, etc. Anything you want. You just can't use your own pick.

Eliminates the incentive to lose without eliminating the mechanism that helps bad teams improve. Clean, elegant, easy to explain.

Note it doesn't prevent Hinkie-style tanking. Teams can still build terrible rosters on purpose. But it does prevent the Utah Jazz from this year, where you bench your starters in the 4th Q to chase ping pong balls. The latter is more pernicious and more detrimental imo, but I appreciate there is some disagreement on this.

Something I think the league would like about this idea is that it could also increase viewership/league pass subscriptions because every team's fan base is now invested in the outcome of another team's season. Additionally, it creates a mini-rivalry between two teams in the season. When two bad teams who own the other's pick play against each other, winning the game will be extremely important.
hph6203
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Nukes the opportunity for small market teams to build a durably competitive team.
Tksymm7
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U.G.L.Y.
Guitarsoup
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Vessel said:

Best anti-tanking idea I've seen yet:


Quote:

Anti-tanking idea I've been kicking around for a while, and came up at Sloan this year: teams aren't allowed to use their own draft picks.

That's it. If you still own your pick when the season starts, it moves to the end of the first round. Nothing else needed.

Bad teams still have a valuable asset. They just have to trade it before the season begins. So hopeless teams (say Kings and Pacers) pair off and swap picks before the season. Both get value back. Neither has any reason to tank in-season. Or your can just trade your pick for players, future assets, etc. Anything you want. You just can't use your own pick.

Eliminates the incentive to lose without eliminating the mechanism that helps bad teams improve. Clean, elegant, easy to explain.

Note it doesn't prevent Hinkie-style tanking. Teams can still build terrible rosters on purpose. But it does prevent the Utah Jazz from this year, where you bench your starters in the 4th Q to chase ping pong balls. The latter is more pernicious and more detrimental imo, but I appreciate there is some disagreement on this.

Something I think the league would like about this idea is that it could also increase viewership/league pass subscriptions because every team's fan base is now invested in the outcome of another team's season. Additionally, it creates a mini-rivalry between two teams in the season. When two bad teams who own the other's pick play against each other, winning the game will be extremely important.

But you know Jazz and Kings or whoever are just going to pinky promise to tank and trade each other their picks.

There was another one where the teams draft other team's pick for the following year in inverse order of record, so Pacers draft first and take the Kings pick. Wizards draft second and take the Grizzlies pick. Obviously can't pick yourself. Then you create fun little 1-year rivalries and no one owns their own pick and every is incentivized to win.
jeffdjohnson
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Mavs with two very winnable games left (@MIL, CHI). Grizzlies with two (@MIL, @UTA). Pelicans with two (@SAC, UTA).

I still like the Pelicans to finish 8th. I think they win those two games plus at least one more. Grizzlies I think could lose out, even versus UTA. I think 1 more win is their ceiling. Mavs could win anywhere from 0 to 3. They seem to be trying still (?) and keep finding themselves in clutch games (most in the league). I think these next two are the swing games for the Mavs. If they go 0 - 2 versus @MIL and ORL (who has sucked recently), then they can "try" versus LAL on national TV and lose to Luka to go 0 - 3. At that point they can pull the plug without punishment and sit everyone the last week of the season when all bets are off. If they are dumb though, they could easily win the next two and have to sweat out staying ahead of NO for 8th.
Tksymm7
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It's so hard to predict with the Mavs. They are as bad as it gets on any given night, especially if Coop isn't on. Last night was really, really bad for example. They can lose to anyone in the league with that game. I think we win one of the Mil/Chi games and NO wins both of the Sac/Utah games.
Vessel
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I will be tuning in to the 4th quarter of Memphis-Utah when they play. Not only because it's very relevant to the Mavs, but because it will be comical what those teams are doing to try to lose that game.
500,000ags
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I get the picks are important, but idk how some of yall watch these games. Lol
Tksymm7
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I've been box score following for a bit. Have only tuned in for a national game here and there so watch Coop.
jeffdjohnson
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500,000ags said:

I get the picks are important, but idk how some of yall watch these games. Lol

I haven't watched a Mavs game since Feb. 1st, 2025. I used to watch / follow every game and went to about 10 games a season. I just check box scores every now and then.

If Nico's vision actually played out the way it should have, the Mavs would have no future and there would be no reason to follow this. The fact that it blew up so spectacularly, so quickly is the only reason I'm following the Mavs at all. In the Nico vision, where Kyrie and AD are only hurt a "normal" amount of time, they probably make the playoffs as a low seed last season. Get beat in the first round. Get the 16th pick. Draft Yang Hansen (a real player, not made up). Then each play ~55 to 60 games this season and have the Mavs in the 8th seed right now. They would be staring at the 16th pick again (Morez Johnson or similar) with no control of future picks and the bleakest future in basketball.

Kyrie being the only player left who could dribble last year over-exposed him, leading to a knee injury. Which leads to a lucky Flagg pick. Which leads to Kyrie missing more time this year, combined with AD being hurt even more than normal, should lead to another premium pick in a deep draft. With about a 1/3 shot at suddenly having one the more exciting young cores in the NBA. Pretty wild swing.
Guitarsoup
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Tksymm7
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Yayyyyyy….
Guitarsoup
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Tksymm7
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Why on Gods green Earth is Sam Presti on this list lol
DannyDuberstein
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LOL. I mean, how badly do you want to bring gambling here? Willing to pay a GM $20mm a year? The only way this happens would be a bonkers level of cash
M.C. Swag
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lol Sam Presti is finally behind the wheel of the super car he meticulously built for years and now that the engine is finely purring, we're supposed to believe he'd trade that in for another multi year overhaul with our jalopi?


Unless he's a Zionist of course. Lol
hph6203
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The one thing the Mavs have going for them is a demonstrated history of allowing the GM to do whatever the hell they want without any oversight.
Vessel
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Honestly shocked Morey isn't on that list. He's a big name who seems to be in a situation that isn't exactly rock solid.
Guitarsoup
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Vessel said:

Honestly shocked Morey isn't on that list. He's a big name who seems to be in a situation that isn't exactly rock solid.


Would you hire someone that gave 34yo Paul George coming off a major knee injury a 4y max contract?
Vessel
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Not saying I'd be stoked about it, but he's one of the most well known GMs and he's not in a situation where the future is very bright. Just figured he'd be a guy Dumont has heard of.
Tksymm7
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Six more games until this god forsaken season is over and we can all really move on.
Guitarsoup
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Dallas is 2nd after Indiana
Vessel
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Orlando is getting Franz back, so hopefully that mitigates some potential for winning that game on Friday.
Vessel
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Nate Silver released his new PRISM ratings for the NBA Draft. Here are the rankings according to a reddit post:

[ol]
  • Cameron Boozer - Duke
  • AJ Dybantsa - BYU
  • Kingston Flemings - Houston
  • Keaton Wagler - Illinois
  • Caleb Wilson - North Carolina
  • Darryn Peterson - Kansas
  • Brayden Burries - Arizona
  • Patrick Ngongba - Duke
  • Yaxel Lendeborg - Michigan
  • Darius Acuff Jr. - Arkansas
  • Aday Mara - Michigan
  • Morez Johnson Jr. - Michigan
  • Tyler Tanner - Vanderbilt
  • Dailyn Swain - Texas
  • Nate Ament - Tennessee
  • [/ol]

    Surprised at Flemings and Wagler being in the top 4 and Peterson dropping to 6.

    Link to how the PRISM ratings work: https://www.natesilver.net/p/how-our-prism-nba-draft-model-works
    M.C. Swag
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    Luka hurt his hamstring last night and looks like he might miss the game in Dallas on Sunday. Was really excited to see him and he was basically the last remaining 'draw' for our home games.
    Vessel
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    There's also a non-zero chance that it's LeBron's last game at the AAC, so I'd say that's a draw.

    It does suck about Luka...
    Tksymm7
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    LeBron sounds like he wants to be done with basketball so bad. Idk why he's still doing it honestly.
    Guitarsoup
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    Tksymm7 said:

    LeBron sounds like he wants to be done with basketball so bad. Idk why he's still doing it honestly.

    I think he hates the Lakers got Luka and moved on from him. They aren't including him in front office decisions and they will either S&T him away or renounce him this summer.

    He would be happier if they were an 8th seed and he was the #1 option.
    AggieEP
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    I can't wait to see Lebron's HoF speech, I hope he tops Jordan for the most awkward speech ever.
    M.C. Swag
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    lol not even close to Luka in Dallas.
     
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