*****Official World Cup 2026 Thread*****

76,519 Views | 939 Replies | Last: 29 min ago by zgolfz85
deadbq03
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The Athletic's numbers say the 3 most likely outcomes are:

58% B&H
18% Qatar
6% Senegal

Given that there's 18% not listed, there's a bunch of other teams in the mix at lesser percentages.

But yeah, we really need to root for a winner in the B&H - Qatar match. Either of those would be great.
Zombie Jon Snow
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THE_CHOSEN_ONE said:

Bosnia plays Qatar next, and if either of them wins, then that is who we would play correct?


In most but not all scenarios where a B team qualifies we play them.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_FIFA_World_Cup_knockout_stage#Combinations_of_matches_in_the_round_of_32


There is ONE scenario of the 495 where we would not play them and that is if the eight groups with a 3rd place team are from

B E G H I J K L

then we would play the Group I 3rd place team.

The reason is Group E winner gets 3rd from Group A/B/C/D/F and in that case only B is qualified.

So really we need a winner from Bosnia/Qatar and then anyone from A C D to also qualify in 3rd.
PJYoung
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https://www.expectinggoals.com/p/detailed-knockout-paths-and-projections
wangus12
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Good Lord Argentina is getting an absolute cake walk of a tournament. One of the easiest groups and then sleep walking into Semi-Finals if those results hold
agracer
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Zombie Jon Snow said:

agracer said:

That would be like making football four 4 minute quarters and stopping the clock as soon as the ball is dead on every play b/c despite being 60 minutes, the ball is only actually 'in play' between 11 and 18 minutes per game.


Completely different. In football you have a play clock and that keeps things moving. And every play is a set play with strategy and personnel changes.

It's apples and oranges. Doesnt compare.

And it wouldn't be like that at all. It would just remove the most annoying behaviors that have nothing to do with game play.

But Imagine if football let the players just kick the ball around after a play to waste time. Or on an a punt there was no rush and the punter messed around while the clock was running. Or after an out of bounds play they could take however long they wanted to throw the ball back in. Or the clock kept running while a guy was writhing in agony on the field only to hop up and be fine. It's absurd. And easily fixed.

Football teams milk the play clock all the time. They stay in bounds to keep the clock running when they have a lead. They wait until 1-second on the play clock to snap the ball. Teams have to waste a down to spike the ball when they need to preserve the clock...why is that OK but taking an extra few second the play a goal kick or throw in is the biggest travesty in all of sports?

Are you suggesting that Mond NOT milking the play clock against UCLA was a good thing because it would have been time wasting tactics?
94chem
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What exactly was that trailing defender doing on Messi's goal? Looked like he was jogging out a 2-hopper to second while up 11 runs.
agracer
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YokelRidesAgain said:

fig96 said:

The offside rule was intended to make sure attackers weren't camping out behind the opposing team's defenders and gaining an unfair advantage, not measuring if an attacker leaned past a defender at the moment the ball was played.

Absolutely. There's a clear "plus" to the rule in that promising attacks are much less likely to be halted by bogus offsides calls, but the mathematical precision of an imaginary plane doesn't add anything to the sport. Just because we can determine whether an attacker's hand was an inch farther down the pitch than a defender doesn't mean that we should.

Not off sides, you can't score with your hands...
agracer
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oh no said:



Some idiot talk show host (redundant I know) wanted the US Men to fail because "I don't want them to win because I don't wall all our best athletes playing soccer"....
The Collective
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Never a soccer player. It looks 10x more exhausting to me than football ever was. I totally understand the intentional slow downs considering the pace of play, lack of subs, etc.
A is A
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The Collective said:

Never a soccer player. It looks 10x more exhausting to me than football ever was. I totally understand the intentional slow downs considering the pace of play, lack of subs, etc.


And yet still 1 - 2 hours shorter of a game than other sports. One of the great things is the timing is pretty predictable
AgBQ-00
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The Collective said:

Never a soccer player. It looks 10x more exhausting to me than football ever was. I totally understand the intentional slow downs considering the pace of play, lack of subs, etc.

They are different types of exhausting. Football truly is a sport of collisions. That takes it out of you in a different way than constant motion. But I agree with you. The slow downs are understandable.
God loves you so much He'll meet you where you are. He also loves you too much to allow to stay where you are.

We sing Hallelujah! The Lamb has overcome!
deadbq03
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Yeah, one of the big reasons it's become my favorite sport to watch is knowing it'll be done in <2 hours barring catastrophic injury stoppages or knockout games.
Gordo14
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I don't think Balogun is gonna win the golden boot now that Messi has 5
Mathguy64
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Messi may set the individual goal record in the WC alone. At the rate he's going he could get to 15-16 just in the next 6 games if they go all the way.
Zombie Jon Snow
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agracer said:

Zombie Jon Snow said:

agracer said:

That would be like making football four 4 minute quarters and stopping the clock as soon as the ball is dead on every play b/c despite being 60 minutes, the ball is only actually 'in play' between 11 and 18 minutes per game.


Completely different. In football you have a play clock and that keeps things moving. And every play is a set play with strategy and personnel changes.

It's apples and oranges. Doesnt compare.

And it wouldn't be like that at all. It would just remove the most annoying behaviors that have nothing to do with game play.

But Imagine if football let the players just kick the ball around after a play to waste time. Or on an a punt there was no rush and the punter messed around while the clock was running. Or after an out of bounds play they could take however long they wanted to throw the ball back in. Or the clock kept running while a guy was writhing in agony on the field only to hop up and be fine. It's absurd. And easily fixed.

Football teams milk the play clock all the time. They stay in bounds to keep the clock running when they have a lead. They wait until 1-second on the play clock to snap the ball. Teams have to waste a down to spike the ball when they need to preserve the clock...why is that OK but taking an extra few second the play a goal kick or throw in is the biggest travesty in all of sports?

Are you suggesting that Mond NOT milking the play clock against UCLA was a good thing because it would have been time wasting tactics?

Still completely different because all of that is within the bounds of a play clock. And besides the random regular clock there is no play clock in soccer. Thus they can do those tactics indefinitely unless a ref gets tired of it but it i still not constrained at all except by the refs feeling.

Soccer/football is actually rife with historical examples of biased refs allowing such tactics for their favored team. And there isn't anything to stop it. That's terrible.

Soccer has a long history of such cheating due to gambling. Sure they've cleaned it up some. But why even allow such nebulous things. Other than thats the way it's always been there is no other argument.
Zombie Jon Snow
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Mathguy64 said:

Messi may set the individual goal record in the WC alone. At the rate he's going he could get to 15-16 just in the next 6 games if they go all the way.


I believe the record is 13 in 6 games in 1958. some French guy and they still did not win the WC Pele and Brazil did.

tk for tu juan
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nai06
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Listen a lot of you MFers are going to games and not posting pics. It's like we don't even have rules around here.
The Ex Officio Director
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nai06 said:

Listen a lot of you MFers are going to games and not posting pics. It's like we don't even have rules around here.

My gummy-bear died. My unicorn ran away. My imaginary friend got kidnapped. The voices in my head wont talk to me.
I've got a red bull. So I got that going for me.
gcracker13
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THE_CHOSEN_ONE
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oh no
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AgFrogfan
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Full disclosure, I did not attend today's match but my great friend sent these.

oh no
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nai06
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Hell yeah! These are great!


I am seriously just excited for people to be to attend some matches. It's why I decided to volunteer for the World Cup. It ranks up there with the Olympics for me and I'm just happy people are having a great experience.
The Ex Officio Director
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I can't imagine how exciting and electrifying NRG was during the match.
My gummy-bear died. My unicorn ran away. My imaginary friend got kidnapped. The voices in my head wont talk to me.
I've got a red bull. So I got that going for me.
gcracker13
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It was during the first half. The 17 or so minutes it was tied was as electric as any sporting event I've attended
fig96
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Vox Clamantis
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This Panama vs Croatia match is super exciting
Mathguy64
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Dang it. Wrong thread. Too much distinct sports right now.
oh no
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Lalas mysteriously mostly missing from this skills video

Marvin
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Sorry, I haven't kept up with this thread. Has anyone been to NRG to see a game? Headed there Friday and would really appreciate any gameday recommendations at the stadium or around town. Also, what are your parking suggestions?

TIA!
I love Texas Aggie sports, but I love Texas A&M more.
The Ex Officio Director
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Marvin said:

Sorry, I haven't kept up with this thread. Has anyone been to NRG to see a game? Headed there Friday and would really appreciate any gameday recommendations at the stadium or around town. Also, what are your parking suggestions?

TIA!

Parking is stupid expensive, park some where near the medical center or up near midtown and take the train.
My gummy-bear died. My unicorn ran away. My imaginary friend got kidnapped. The voices in my head wont talk to me.
I've got a red bull. So I got that going for me.
AgBQ-00
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smooth enough it almost looks fake. that was pretty cool
God loves you so much He'll meet you where you are. He also loves you too much to allow to stay where you are.

We sing Hallelujah! The Lamb has overcome!
Marvin
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The Ex Officio Director said:

Marvin said:

Sorry, I haven't kept up with this thread. Has anyone been to NRG to see a game? Headed there Friday and would really appreciate any gameday recommendations at the stadium or around town. Also, what are your parking suggestions?

TIA!

Parking is stupid expensive, park some where near the medical center or up near midtown and take the train.


Thanks for the feedback!
I love Texas Aggie sports, but I love Texas A&M more.
 
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