ErnestEndeavor said:
So if Bosnia wins does that guarantee the matchup with them or are there still some unlikely scenarios which would result in another opponent?
Not guaranteed but pretty damn close.
In every scenario in which a B group team qualifies in the top 8 of 3rd place teams we play them unless A C D F are the non qualifying 3rd place group teams. Because Germany gets the team from ABCDF and it would only be Bosnia in B group in that case.
But A C D and F are all currently in the top 8 of 3rd place teams. They would ALL have to drop out. It would require about 7 specific results to engineer that
F Sweden would need to lose badly
A Czech would need to lose or tie
C Scotland would need to lose
D Algeria would need to lose
K DR Congo would need to win
E Ecuador would need to win
I Senegal would need to win BIG
And then it would depend on some GD tiebreakers.
ALSO a slim possibility that Bosnia would not even qualify in the top 8 with 4 points. But that also would take a lot to engineer. They now lead the 3rd place teams with 4 points and -1 GD and would need 8 teams to pass them meaning 4 points or more and a better GD. It's possible but unlkely.