Enrico Pallazzo said:
Yeah, I'm in the camp that 3rd place is kind of a confusing mess, and GD/GF is kind of arbitrary when no one played the same teams.
Ok but it would still be used even if only taking the top 2 from a group. It would just be between teams in the same group.
Let's say it goes to 64 teams (I hope not) and you have 16 groups of 4.
So top 2 advance.
Now you might have several groups where 2/3 are tied and its decided by GD/GF. Currently for those cases it is true that every team in that scenario would be in as a 3rd place team.
Group B: Canada and Bosnia tied at 4 points and they tied their game 1-1. Bosnia would be left out if it was only top 2. But they are in as a 3rd place team.
Group D: Australia and Paraguay tied at 4 points and they tied their game 0-0. Paraguay would be left out if it was only top 2. But they are in as a 3rd place team.
Now compare those teams to teams being left out as 3rd place teams. Each of those only has 3 points and they got that because they had one really bad team in their group everyone beat. I mean Senegal is in that way but they are the only one and they had a tough group. It does separate with mostly only teams on 4 points getting in.
I like it. It takes out some of the randomness of who you happen to get drawn into a group with. 3 points with a realy bad GD cuz you got your butt kicked innthe other 2 games is not geting you in.