Voting in socialism because you cannot afford gas is not a well considered strategy. HTH.

Dallas82 said:

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I know I promised you no wars in the Middle East and lower food and gas prices but hey, I'm building a nice ballroom and a helipad and an arch and gold plated some statues and paid quite a lot for most of the reflecting pond to get reworked twice and I've almost managed to slap my name on the Kennedy center and we renamed AI and a lake and the Gulf and maybe the Strait of Hormuz and I've got a new hot assistant so what are you folks complaining about after all this stuff I've done for you?

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You are an anti-American communist. You should be loving this!

I think the Democrats will regain control of the House, but Republicans will retain control of the Senate with 51 seats. I think Republicans will hold the Senate seats in Texas, Alaska, and Maine, and lose the Senate seats in North Carolina and Ohio.

This could easily be me.

Maine: Collins is literally winning polls. Jackson isn’t liked.

Michigan: maybe El-Sayed will pull it off but the fact we’re talking about Michigan suggests a close year.

NH: Ayotte is holding up fine.

MN: same as Michigan.

TX: it’s Texas. Oil… https://t.co/4Gno6Zd8KT

— Chris (@chriswithans) October 2, 2026

Interesting to see Halperin flip back from some of his more radical Democrat guesses based on this conversation.

ETA, nsfw language of course, but funny, from another long time democrat voter (as he says), DSA seems to have lost him.

💥 Charles Barkley Says Democrats Are Spewing “Some of the Stupidest Sh*t I've Ever Heard”

“Some of these people are out here talking about no ICE, no prisons, using words like socialism. Like no, I don't believe in that … And we need you need to have ID when you go vote!” pic.twitter.com/MF3HCghL9z

— Chief Nerd (@TheChiefNerd) October 1, 2026

Always entertaining, regardless of politics.

Barkley has always seemed down the middle to me.

republicans throwing in the towel on north carolina

NYT: GOP Pulls Money Out of North Carolina Senate Race

The top super PAC for Senate Republicans is canceling all the remaining ads it had booked in North Carolina as of Friday, shifting away tens of millions of dollars in a move that signals that Republicans no longer see a path…

— Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 (@PollTracker2024) October 2, 2026

Quote:

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republicans throwing in the towel on north carolina

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They had dumped $32 Million to date into the state only to watch Whatley fall further behind Roy Cooper.

They are redirecting to Kansas where Roger Marshall is in danger of losing the seat to Adam Hamilton.

Not just KS (also OH and elsewhere more heavily) but Adam Hamilton (UMC-DSA-Dem) has a bit of a fresh scandal so it makes sense to shore that up.

DISGUSTING.@Hamilton4Kansas shielded a CHILD PREDATOR at his church's boys camp and refused to call police after multiple children reported being sexually abused.

Under Hamilton's watch, the pedophile was welcomed back where he continued abusing kids.https://t.co/MLpW0T2s82

— Senate Leadership Fund (@Senate_Fund) October 2, 2026

Not that Democrat voters care about kids, of course (see: Becerra in CA). The DSA will continue to get outspent and late-breaking/deciding voters favor the GOP imho, where it matters.

Republicans led Democrats in aired Senate battleground spending through 9/30 by $155M.

They also hold the future reservation edge.

Aired Senate battleground spend through 9/30:
🔴$487M 🔵$375M
Future reservations:
🔴$626M 🔵$400M

More: https://t.co/x2zodmageY pic.twitter.com/FLxTnmvHEW

— AdImpact Politics (@AdImpact_Pol) October 1, 2026

You have this messaging on cut and paste at this point.

So, your thesis is that hardcore socialism/communism and open borders policy by the Democrats is not insanely stupid fiscally and economically?

Because that's what you are advocating for.

DeschutesAg said:

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Yet 95%+ of the Rs who are running for office have been doubling down on everything they and the felon in the White House have done.

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they have no choice, this is the consequence of selling the party out to trump. he controls a massive war chest, and his endorsement or indictment can make or break most candidates' campaigns, diminished though that influence is compared to his peak.

tying yourself to trump as a republican is a net negative now, but publicly breaking from him is near suicide.

The RNC announces Vice President JD Vance will hold a midterm rally in Fairbanks, Alaska on Monday

— Julia Manchester (@JuliaManch) October 2, 2026

Insert Baghdad Bob GIF here…

Huh? Vance rallying in Alaska is Baghdad Bob?

Also, Trump is in Alabama today.

The news about Hamilton came out this past spring and didn't seem to move the needle much for anyone.

In Nov 2005 two teen boys reported being abused by an adult counselor at the church's sleepaway camp. Hamilton had two people who were trained in youth abuse protection conduct an internal investigation which was inconclusive in part because the victims didn't actually know who abused them. It was dark and they said they didn't see the person's face.

During this time the camp director gave a camp wide sermon that discouraged campers from "slandering" the name of someone with unsubstantiated rumors essentially in an effort to keep the victims from discussing the fact that someone came into their room and touched them (he did not mention the victims directly).

The camp director was fired and replaced the next year by someone who seemed to be far more competent. In 2006 Scott Moore assaulted another teen and the Church Camp fired him and reported him to the Linn County Sheriff's Office. The Sherriff's office declined to bring charges because they victims couldn't identify Moore as the person who abused them.

I'm a former teacher, assistant Scoutmaster, summer camp counselor, and probably a couple hundred hours of Youth Protection Training. I've also had to report abuse of kids to the proper authorities while a teacher. Even with all of my training, I am not qualified to conduct an internal investigation of something like this and I suspect the church employees were not either.

In general, Youth Protection Training is a series of steps, actions, and preventative measures to take in order to protect kids. Things like 2-1 ratios, how to spot abuse, etc. The second a child reports abuse though, it has to be out of your hands. You have to hand it over to the authorities and people who investigate this stuff full time. Lots of child abuse cases have been ruined because a teacher or well meaning adult tried to do their own investigation or interview the victim without proper training or documentation.

When a student would report something to me, I would sit down immediately after and write out a statement with everything that happened in that moment. Date, time, who was was with me, what the student reported, who I passed the info onto, etc. I still have a folder with all of those "incident reports" in case something is ever needed in the future

This was absolutely a failure in how it was handled by all the adults involved.


Links for background info.
https://nypost.com/2026/10/02/us-news/kansas-senate-dem-nominee-adam-hamilton-accused-of-shielding-child-predator-who-worked-for-his-church-in-mid-2000s/

https://lawrencekstimes.com/2026/05/29/kr-schmidt-campaign-manager-docs/

https://kansasreflector.com/2026/07/22/at-nations-largest-methodist-church-ex-employees-split-on-kansas-pastor-running-for-u-s-senate/

Windy City Ag said:

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Quote:

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republicans throwing in the towel on north carolina

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They had dumped $32 Million to date into the state only to watch Whatley fall further behind Roy Cooper.

They are redirecting to Kansas where Roger Marshall is in danger of losing the seat to Adam Hamilton.

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lmao trafalgar just dropped a D+1 kansas poll

flown-the-coop said:

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Huh? Vance rallying in Alaska is Baghdad Bob?

Also, Trump is in Alabama today.

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My dude…when was the last time we had national folks campaigning in Alaska…like effing never.

This is a sign that things are b-a-d

Old McDonald said:

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Windy City Ag said:

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Quote:

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republicans throwing in the towel on north carolina

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They had dumped $32 Million to date into the state only to watch Whatley fall further behind Roy Cooper.

They are redirecting to Kansas where Roger Marshall is in danger of losing the seat to Adam Hamilton.

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lmao trafalgar just dropped a D+1 kansas poll

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Trafalgar polling **** the bed last midterms in 2022. Trafalgar had the republicans up 8 points in Washington state or something crazy like that.

Mr. Trafalgar had to go on fox news / news max and explain himself.

probably not great for Marshall that one of the strongest R-friendly house effect pollsters has him down in a state trump won by 16 points two years ago

K2-HMFIC said:

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flown-the-coop said:

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Huh? Vance rallying in Alaska is Baghdad Bob?

Also, Trump is in Alabama today.

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My dude…when was the last time we had national folks campaigning in Alaska…like effing never.

This is a sign that things are b-a-d

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No, it's a sign that ranked choice voting, being manipulated by a candidate running with the same name as the R front runner, represents a risk that needs to be addressed.

Second, this is a decidedly new approach to the midterms in an attempt to rock the history of the incumbent party takes it in the shorts in the midterms.

Reading it in the context of how it was done in the passed is the definition of myopathy.

Yeah. They (and most everyone else) missed KS last time they had a senate race as well, RCP avg had Roberts +1.2 and he won by nearly 11. It's a tough race to poll for whatever reason.

Democrats were also massively overestimated for these Class II Senate Seats in 2014. Like in 2020, Republicans ended up winning all Cook Political Tossups that were decided on election day and were shockingly close in some Lean D states (VA in 2014, MI in 2020).

Not shown is… pic.twitter.com/f45Uka44g5

— Chris (@chriswithans) October 2, 2026

This is slightly more than 2024 in person early voting (which averaged 4400 a day) and is 275% more than 2022 per day

I’m skeptical!

Total turnout target to make Brown competitive is 492k total voters in Franklin

— Latinx Adjacent Doctor PhD (@TonerousHyus) October 3, 2026

NYT op ed guy's summary of polls has Dems leading in Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska, Iowa.

I am literally sick to my stomach.

It will be a bloodbath if Rs don't show up to vote. Ds are energized and will cruise to victory. Republicans need to get out and vote. Apathy will end up costing the elections.

Really missing that usaid money?

OldArmy71 said:

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NYT op ed guy's summary of polls has Dems leading in Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska, Iowa.

I am literally sick to my stomach.

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The CIA's outlet is trying to spin it for team blue? Shocker.

Another thing that has GOP campaign professionals concerned is:

-- There are almost zero good objective reasons for Independent voters or the Reagan - Bush - McCain moderate Republican faction of voters in the GOP base to vote for Rs who will go to Congress and continue bowing to Trump and allowing this Administration's madness to continue unchecked.

-- Conversely, there are a lot of very good, objective reasons to vote for Dems to gain control of both sides of Congress. The biggest one is it will create D.C. gridlock and put some brakes on this President and his Administration's rampant corruption and their reckless destruction of our economy.

OldArmy71 said:

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NYT op ed guy's summary of polls has Dems leading in Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Alaska, Iowa.

I am literally sick to my stomach.

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you expect different from the NYT?

DeschutesAg said:

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Another thing that has GOP campaign professionals concerned is:

-- There are almost zero good objective reasons for Independent voters or the Reagan - Bush - McCain moderate Republican faction of voters in the GOP base to vote for Rs who will go to Congress and continue bowing to Trump and allowing this Administration's madness to continue unchecked.

-- Conversely, there are a lot of very good, objective reasons to vote for Dems to gain control of both sides of Congress. The biggest one is it will create D.C. gridlock and put some brakes on this President and his Administration's rampant corruption and their reckless destruction of our economy.

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You're missing widespread fear of Men competing in women's sports. There's been a 200% increase in testicular injuries occurring during Women's sporting events since the year 2008. Very serious stuff.

Pretty ironic post from Mr. MJ

Recession odds plunge to near-zero 🤯

I’m old enough to remember the 2024 election, when no less than 16 Nobel Laureates promised Trump would destroy the economy 🤡 https://t.co/37wd0niWUb

— Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) October 3, 2026

Good to see. I remember...

I saw that far leftist extremists Shaheen and Buttigieg are in NH to try to help Pappas.

🚨 31 DAYS

Reject Chuck Schumer and Democrats’ far-Left agenda: pic.twitter.com/0cViLztwMp

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) October 3, 2026

The DSA Democrat agenda is not going to close well.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6127091-trump-nebraska-senate-rally-ricketts-osborn/

Only 25% of registered voters in Nebraska are Democrats.

Yet the Rs are worried Republican incumbent Pete Ricketts may lose the Senate race there to an Independent.

Just another example of how badly Trump and the Rs have damaged farmers, ranchers, and rural economies.

There is an independent there who came within single digits in 2024 and who the Dems are supporting.

The "independent" promises not to caucus with either party. Everyone knows how that works out.

Trump holding a rally in a state is not an indicator the Dems are headed to victory not matter how much you wish it so.

DeschutesAg said:

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https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6127091-trump-nebraska-senate-rally-ricketts-osborn/

Only 25% of registered voters in Nebraska are Democrats.

Yet the Rs are worried Republican incumbent Pete Ricketts may lose the Senate race there to an Independent.

Just another example of how badly Trump and the Rs have damaged farmers, ranchers, and rural economies.

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Goodness. How much are you being paid?

DeschutesAg said:

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Another thing that has GOP campaign professionals concerned is:

-- There are almost zero good objective reasons for Independent voters or the Reagan - Bush - McCain moderate Republican faction of voters in the GOP base to vote for Rs who will go to Congress and continue bowing to Trump and allowing this Administration's madness to continue unchecked.

-- Conversely, there are a lot of very good, objective reasons to vote for Dems to gain control of both sides of Congress. The biggest one is it will create D.C. gridlock and put some brakes on this President and his Administration's rampant corruption and their reckless destruction of our economy.

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"Rampant corruption and their reckless destruction of our economy"

That's some serious projection and, in reality, an apt description of the Biden administration.

Quote:

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and, in reality, an apt description of the Biden administration.

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This mental tic defense mechanism is so incredibly tired. Biden is gone, brain dead, and totally irrelevant to the current state of affairs.

Address the issues at hand. If you don't think Trump is corrupt, address that. STFU about Biden as it is just a dodge.

Windy City Ag said:

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Quote:

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and, in reality, an apt description of the Biden administration.

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This mental tic defense mechanism is so incredibly tired. Biden is gone, brain dead, and totally irrelevant to the current state of affairs.

Address the issues at hand. If you don't think Trump is corrupt, address that. STFU about Biden as it is just a dodge.

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Trump is not corrupt.

There. Either prove he is or STFU about it. Fair?