Philip J Fry said:
Jesus ****ing Christ. Wake up. We will be LUCKY if it's only a few hundred thousand dead. LUCKY.
Bunk Moreland said:Yelnick McWawa said:Infection_Ag11 said:
Already 14k new US cases since yesterday and by the end of the day we'll have more or less doubled in 24 hours (24k to 45-48k estimate).
Worldwide we'll surpass 500k by tomorrow morning and hit a million sometime early Wednesday. We're still at least a week away from curbing the exconential growth internationally if our current measures work and it's essentially a mathematical and medical certainty we'll hit 10 million cases world wide by the start of next week.
A lot of people are about to get a very disturbing math lesson.
I'm so tired of the few of you on this site that appear to be just reveling in this crap.
Can't post about the issue without some sort of self congratulatory pat on the back. So disgusting.
Nobody is reviling in this. It's the opposite. We're shocked, saddened and scared that so many can't even come close to grasping what's going on.
If you are trying to cause me to panic you have to do much better.The_Fox said:Not as much as $1200 per adult and $500 per child every two weeks for the duration of this ******edness.Wife of Chas Satterfield said:Unless as some people suggest that everybody should be tested. That plan would be idiotic and costly.The_Fox said:What is the daily economic cost of this lockdown? Testing costs would not even be a blip on the radar.Wife of Chas Satterfield said:Testing is not the issue. Testing should be used for quarantine purposes.will25u said:
The cases are skyrocketing, BUT the death rate is plummeting.
38,757 cases
396 deaths
1.02% death rate.
March 20th - 1.3%
March 21st - 1.19%
March 22nd - 1.02%
What is the cost for a test?
$200 per test for each American would add up. A waste of perfectly good money.
Test! Let us see what the real numbers say about the mortality rate. Anything under 0.5 and this lockdown is a freaking joke.
Social Distanced said:
Freeeeee
Good. There is zero reason to panic over the Wuhan Flu. I am glad we agree.Wife of Chas Satterfield said:If you are trying to cause me to panic you have to do much better.The_Fox said:Not as much as $1200 per adult and $500 per child every two weeks for the duration of this ******edness.Wife of Chas Satterfield said:Unless as some people suggest that everybody should be tested. That plan would be idiotic and costly.The_Fox said:What is the daily economic cost of this lockdown? Testing costs would not even be a blip on the radar.Wife of Chas Satterfield said:Testing is not the issue. Testing should be used for quarantine purposes.will25u said:
The cases are skyrocketing, BUT the death rate is plummeting.
38,757 cases
396 deaths
1.02% death rate.
March 20th - 1.3%
March 21st - 1.19%
March 22nd - 1.02%
What is the cost for a test?
$200 per test for each American would add up. A waste of perfectly good money.
Test! Let us see what the real numbers say about the mortality rate. Anything under 0.5 and this lockdown is a freaking joke.
Will Chicago 2020 virus deaths exceed 2020 shooting deaths?LaQuica said:
300 deaths that's 2 weekends in Chicago
No. These cases are mostly pre mitigation plan. We will not know whether or not the mitigation efforts are workign for a couple of weeks.Wildcat said:
So the conclusion is that the mitigation plan failed?
Dude, your username.Social Distanced said:
61,000,000 for H1N1. So we have a ways to go. When are we going to get there? Mid April?
aginlakeway said:Philip J Fry said:
Jesus ****ing Christ. Wake up. We will be LUCKY if it's only a few hundred thousand dead. LUCKY.
Ok. What do you want TexAgs posters to do after they wake up?
Philip J Fry said:
At this rate, yes.
FIFYLaQuica said:
300 deaths that's2 weekends1 Saturday in Chicago
Philip J Fry said:aginlakeway said:Philip J Fry said:
Jesus ****ing Christ. Wake up. We will be LUCKY if it's only a few hundred thousand dead. LUCKY.
Ok. What do you want TexAgs posters to do after they wake up?
Stop pretending that this is the flu. Stop pretending that a 1% death rate is meaningful when once the hospital system collapses will be closer to 10%.
If social distancing works, maybe we'll keep it at 1%, but we are not on a good trajectory.
This... It's crazy. I get people getting annoyed with the doom and gloom, but people placing bets on death tolls given the statistics, first hand professional anecdotal evidence, and world governments taking drastic steps...pfo said:
After reading Texags and seeing all the spring breakers on the beach, I expect the number infected will explode. Even posters I greatly respect and a few friends I know are smart, aren't taking this seriously and aren't following the common sense rules that infectious disease doctors are recommending.
exponential mathLester Freamon said:
500k cases by tomorrow and a million by Wednesday? What are you smoking buddy?
aginlakeway said:Philip J Fry said:aginlakeway said:Philip J Fry said:
Jesus ****ing Christ. Wake up. We will be LUCKY if it's only a few hundred thousand dead. LUCKY.
Ok. What do you want TexAgs posters to do after they wake up?
Stop pretending that this is the flu. Stop pretending that a 1% death rate is meaningful when once the hospital system collapses will be closer to 10%.
If social distancing works, maybe we'll keep it at 1%, but we are not on a good trajectory.
Ok. Well I'm not pretending about any of that. So what else you want random TexAgs posters to do, the ones you are screaming at?
Most people struggle with exponential growth. This is a good common sense example. You could keep going.k2aggie07 said:
I suppose we're going to find out if guys like him who do this for a living are better at predictions than the general population here shortly. It's not like a long time frame.
My dad told me this nice example, I keep repeating it to myself.
If you have a lily pond with one lily in it, and they reproduce double every day, and it takes 50 days to cover the pond, when is half covered? On day 49.
I know it's true, but it still makes me head hurt.
Ok, doomer, you've jumped the shark. Do yourself an enormous favor and stop watching the news.Quote:
Stop pretending that this is the flu. Stop pretending that a 1% death rate is meaningful when once the hospital system collapses will be closer to 10%.
Lester Freamon said:
500k cases by tomorrow and a million by Wednesday? What are you smoking buddy?
Philip J Fry said:aginlakeway said:Philip J Fry said:aginlakeway said:Philip J Fry said:
Jesus ****ing Christ. Wake up. We will be LUCKY if it's only a few hundred thousand dead. LUCKY.
Ok. What do you want TexAgs posters to do after they wake up?
Stop pretending that this is the flu. Stop pretending that a 1% death rate is meaningful when once the hospital system collapses will be closer to 10%.
If social distancing works, maybe we'll keep it at 1%, but we are not on a good trajectory.
Ok. Well I'm not pretending about any of that. So what else you want random TexAgs posters to do, the ones you are screaming at?
Plenty of people are. And if you aren't one, the kudos to you. The American people need to prepare themselves to see the numbers dramatically increase over the next couple weeks.
No, that was not me.Lester Freamon said:
Are you one of the dorks who plugged an exponential equation into Excel and showed us a spreadsheet with 500B infected by March 14?
