One last list before the draft:

https://www.perfectgame.org/Articles/View.aspx?article=13752

I've pieced together parts of Perfect Game's Top 500 list (which is premium content) through their state snapshots (non-premium content):

42. Corbin Martin
47. Alex Scherff
98. Asa Lacy
130. Adam Hall
169. Zach DeLoach
180. Tylor Fischer
312. Tyler Ivey
325. Cason Sherrod
335. Nolan Hoffman
389. Jack Conlon

Hop said:

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aginlakeway said:

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Basketball and Chain said:

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Aggies1322 said:

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Roughly how long does it take to figure out whether they sign or not?

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I think the lowest percentage of first ten round picks to sign the last 3 years is like 97.5%. Last year, only two players drafted in the first ten rounds didn't sign. So basically, if a guy is picked in the first ten rounds, he's pretty much gone. Those slots are so valuable to teams, thay usually have a pretty good indication of what it'll take to sign a player before selecting him.

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This is not accurate for high school players. We could easily have 3 high school players who have committed to the Ags drafted tomorrow who will come to A&M.

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No, that is accurate. With the new (relatively) rules with slot allocations for rounds 1-10, a team will not draft a player that doesn't agree in advance to sign for a certain amount. So a team about to be on the clock would go to Alex Scherff and say "we'll pick you here if you agree to a signing bonus of $x, xxx, xxx." If he hesitates or says no, they go to the next guy on their board. If Scherff's number is high, then he won't be drafted despite his high projection.

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This has also led to spots in 9th and 10th going to Seniors that have little leverage. Teams know they will sign so they can use their slot money to get one of the higher picks and guys like Barash can say they were a 9th round pick.

For those of you more plugged in.. if scherff doesn't get picked tonight (rounds 1-2), would that point toward him making it to campus?

Thanks! Makes sense.

Here are the "Assigned Values" for the first 3 rounds just so people have a grasp of slot value. Now imagine that the Twins take Kyle Wright (RHP-Vandy) with the #1 overall pick, but they pay him a bonus of $5.77M. That is $2M under the assigned value for the 1-1 pick. That means the Twins will have an additional $2M to spend on picks 2-10, over and above their assigned value. The Twins have $14,156,800 in bonuses to spend on those 10 rounds (+ sandwich picks). Generally college seniors have little/no leverage as they can't choose to go back to school. They either sign for what they are offered or they have to play independent ball. Not many choose to go the independent ball route. (J.D. Drew, a Boras client did in '97, and a few years ago James Paxton did after he tried to return to school but was ruled ineligible by the NCAA - both were juniors, fwiw). So if those seniors sign under their assigned value it frees up cash to sign kids that may otherwise have "signability" issues. It's worth noting as well that if any player picked after the 10th round signs for a bonus of more than $100K then the amount above $100K is deducted from the team's bonus pool. ...if teams exceed their assigned bonus pool then they are subject to a variable luxury tax of 75%-100% of the amount of their overpayment.

The most bonus money given since the new CBA is $6.5M so Minnesota will definitely have some extra cash to spread around later in the draft. FWIW, only 2 players drafted #4 or later have ever even cracked $4.5M - one of them our very own Kohl Stewart a few years ago.

First Round
1. Twins: $7,770,700
2. Reds: $7,193,200
3. Padres: $6,668,100
4. Rays: $6,153,600
5. Braves: $5,707,300
6. A's: $5,303,000
7. D-backs: $5,016,300
8. Phillies: $4,780,400
9. Brewers: $4,570,000
10. Angels: $4,376,800
11. White Sox: $4,199,200
12. Pirates: $4,032,000
13. Marlins: $3,875,800
14. Royals: $3,727,600
15. Astros: $3,588,200
16. Yankees: $3,458,600
17. Mariners: $3,333,200
18. Tigers: $3,214,600
19. Giants: $3,101,700
20. Mets: $2,994,500
21. Orioles: $2,892,400
22. Blue Jays: $2,795,200
23. Dodgers: $2,702,700
24. Red Sox: $2,614,500
25. Nationals: $2,530,400
26. Rangers: $2,450,100
27. Cubs: $2,373,300
28. Blue Jays: $2,302,900
29. Rangers: $2,238,900
30. Cubs: $2,184,300
Competitive Balance Round A
31. Rays: $2,134,900
32. Reds: $2,084,400
33. A's: $2,033,500
34. Brewers: $1,983,600
35. Twins: $1,935,300
36. Marlins: $1,888,800
Second Round
37. Twins: $1,846,100
38. Reds: $1,802,800
39. Padres: $1,760,700
40. Rays: $1,714,500
41. Braves: $1,674,600
42. Pirates: $1,635,500
43. A's: $1,597,300
44. D-backs: $1,560,100
45. Phillies: $1,523,800
46. Brewers: $1,493,500
47. Angels: $1,459,200
48. Rockies: $1,425,400
49. White Sox: $1,392,200
50. Pirates: $1,357,300
51. Marlins: $1,326,800
52. Royals: $1,295,700
53. Astros: $1,265,500
54. Yankees: $1,236,000
55. Mariners: $1,206,900
56. Astros: $1,178,600
57. Tigers: $1,148,400
58. Giants: $1,121,300
59. Mets: $1,094,700
60. Orioles: $1,068,700
61. Blue Jays: $1,043,200
62. Dodgers: $1,018,200
63. Red Sox: $993,900
64. Indians: $969,900
65. Nationals: $946,500
66. Rangers: $926,500
67. Cubs: $901,900
Competitive Balance Round B
68. D-backs: $880,100
69. Padres: $858,600
70. Rockies: $837,300
71. Indians: $816,500
72. Pirates: $804,000
73. Royals: $791,700
74. Orioles: $779,500
75. Astros: $767,400
Third Round
76. Twins: $755,500
77. Reds: $743,900
78. Padres: $732,200
79. Rays: $720,600
80. Braves: $709,000
81. A's: $697,500
82. D-backs: $687,200
83. Phillies: $676,900
84. Brewers: $666,600
85. Angels: $656,300
86. Rockies: $646,100
87. White Sox: $636,500
88. Pirates: $626,600
89. Marlins: $616,800
90. Royals: $607,300
91. Astros: $597,800
92. Yankees: $588,700
93. Mariners: $579,800
94. Cardinals: $570,900
95. Tigers: $564,000
96. Giants: $558,500
97. Mets: $553,200
98. Orioles: $547,700
99. Blue Jays: $542,400
100. Dodgers: $537,100
101. Red Sox: $532,800
102. Indians: $527,600
103. Nationals: $522,300
104. Rangers: $517,100
105. Cubs: $511,900

Here is a good MLB article that explains it and has the full Team bonus pools as well.

Turns out I underestimated the penalties.. not just a luxury tax. Also the possibility of losing draft picks the following year.

Quote:

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Penalties: Here are the penalties that are assessed to clubs that pay bonuses over their allotted bonus pool.

0- 5% over- 75% tax on the overage

5- 10% over- 75 % tax on the overage and loss of the team's first round pick the next year

10- 15% over- 100% tax on the overage and loss of the team's first and second round picks next year

More than 15% over- 100% tax on the overage, and loss of the first round picks in the next two years' drafts

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Kohl Stewart should be a cautionary tale.. 4 years later and he's got a losing record in AA. Hope Rob can convince most of these guys to get to campus.

I didn't realize it had been that long since Kohl Stewart was drafted in 2013. This is his 4th/5th season in the minors and he's struggling at AA. Seems like he's fallen behind schedule a little bit

Who was Shane Baz comitted to?
RHP from Concordia Lutheran Texas HS
12th overall pick

Texas Tech signee LHP Trevor Rogers was drafted 13th.

Ben Puig 97 said:

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Who was Shane Baz comitted to?
RHP from Concordia Lutheran Texas HS
12th overall pick

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TCU

Several SEC players taken so far, nine through first 37 picks

Adam Hall is now off the board at pick #60

Baltimore takes Adam Hall at #60.

Edit: Sad for us, very happy for Adam.

We probably just lost Adam Hall

lots of familiar names:

1st round:

#5 Kyle Wright -- Vanderbilt
#16 Clarke Schmidt -- South Carolina
#17 Evan White -- Kentucky
#18 Alex Faedo -- Florida
#23 Jeren Kendall -- Vanderbilt
#24 Tanner Houck -- Missouri
#30 Alex Lange -- LSU

CB round A:

#35 Brent Rooker -- Miss State

2nd round:

#43 Greg Deichmann -- LSU
#56 Corbin Martin -- A&M
#65 Will Crowe -- South Caorlina

yep, he should / will sign

Dang it!

You never know. Tcu was able to sign nick lodolo after he was drafted 47th

his performance vs. Arkansas the last week of the season pushed him solidly into the 2nd round

Mr.Ackar07 said:

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No Alex Scherff during day 1

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How long before we can start reading into him falling down the board as a sign of college plans??

Any idea why Hall would be picked up before Scherff? Alex seemed to be well ahead in all the projections so it must have been reservations about him being signable in the end, right? Would seem to be good news for the good guys.

ftworthag02 said:

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You never know. Tcu was able to sign nick lodolo after he was drafted 47th

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Did Adam Hall stumble across A&M at random after the chic fil a bowl 5 years ago and do a book report on them, and become obsessed with wearing the maroon and white?

No? OK. He's gone.