Well, it looks to me like you're trying to engage me in a different conversation but I'll give this a try. My comment was specific to keeping the COVID-19 deaths in year one to under 250K. Staying at home longer helps slow the transmission and therefore lowers the total deaths during this discrete time period. Now, you may argue that it will eventually happen anyway and you may be right. But, we may also have a vaccine in a year and or better treatments that lowers the mortality of the disease. That is all I meant by opening too soon and it was not my intent to claim that there's a mythical objective standard to determine when is the right time. There are lots of factors and the economy is a big one. As I told you over a month ago, the second and third order effects of shutting down our economy will result in some number of deaths.Social Distanced said:
I keep hearing this argument of "opening too soon". Can someone explain what this even means? What is going to be different or change anything if we open in a month, or two, or three?