Bitcoin on the path to irrelevance?

111,806 Views | 1822 Replies | Last: 3 days ago by Yukon Cornelius
TexasRebel
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AG
aTmAg said:


Yet, people for thousands of years have been able to use gold without even being able to read. Maybe that is why it has been the most successful form of money in world history.


People have used gold without knowing its atomic number, electrical conductivity, thermal conductivity, etc.

Really all they ever needed to know was the color and the atomic mass (even if they didn't realize they knew it).
The Banned
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TexasRebel said:

The Banned said:

MR Gadsden said:

The Banned said:

MR Gadsden said:

The Banned said:

Adverse Event said:

Why is the assumption YOU HAVE TO CONVERT BACK TO [local currency].

That's a poor assumption.


There would need to be a robust economy in which the Bitcoin they received in exchange for their good or service could buy them the things they want to legally own.
This is what people\companies are building now. I went to the Texas Blockchain summit in Austin a few weeks ago. Yes, BTC price is down but there is a robust infrastructure being built out that most people are ignorant exists. And for every one of these solutions that is being built on the back of BTC\Lightning it provides value to the system.

I would sell you a car in BTC today, AE might have another item or service that he would gladly take BTC for. I think if you did some digging you might be surprised how robust the BTC economy already is.


If I could be convinced that the parallel market could survive a totalitarian government wanting to control all we do, I'd be all on board the Bitcoin train. My concern right now is that people are accepting that BTC because they know they can convert that to local currency. If we waive a magic wand today and that ability went away, would that alternate market continue to move forward? If so, I'd genuinely love to hear how.
Ok so let's play this out. Is it the US government that goes full CCP and bans BTC? If so, how are they going to ban it? Like be specific on how that's going to be accomplished?





Again, programmable CBDCs. They will have the ability to literally make you incapable of giving away your CBDCs for a BTC if they so choose. Drugs, guns and other contraband can still be sold because of paper transactions. That paper is then laundered and re-enters the market and ready for use on legal goods.

But in a world where there is no potential for paper transactions and all transactions were not only monitored but programmable, you swipe your card and nothing happens. You just can't. Want to buy too much alcohol? You can't. Want to buy your 10th pizza this week? You can't. Want to buy a BTC. You can't. And if a seller knows no one can give him legal tender for the illicit BTC he's about to receive no matter how much they may want to, why would he take it?

It's not about jail time. It's about the sheer inability to conduct the transaction. For the record, I think this level of micro managing is much further away than the fear mongers would say because I think the populace wouldn't accept it in such a rushed way. But it's very likely coming at some points


Do you want the barter system?

This is how you get the barter system.

Bank won't let you get another pizza? You sell shoes? I need shoes, you need pizza…


No I do not want the barter system. I don't want the damn CBDCs. The governments do.
Adverse Event
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aTmAg said:

Adverse Event said:

aTmAg said:

Oh, so then I guess you are saying that it takes understanding crypto algorithms to realize that bitcoin supposedly doesn't suck? That otherwise all of America would be using it? It doesn't take that sort of knowledge to look at a graph and see ridiculous instability. It's not lack of understanding that makes bitcoin suck, it's bitcoins suckiness that makes it suck.


Bitcoin has shown to be more like a high risk dot-com stock than digital gold. If bitcoin really was a better gold than gold, then it would up or at least be stable during this time of inflation rather than down over 70%. Just go look at your guys predictions 5 or 10 years ago. You could not have been more wrong.

I'll wait for you to find one of my predictions on price, about 5 years ago I stopped caring about price.

Convenient thing for you that you switched accounts as bitcoin was plunging? So that we can't know for sure who you were?

It's funny how ALL you guys cared about was price during it's bubble. Then once it cratered, you suddenly you stopped caring about price?

And the notion that one wouldn't care about price for an asset that's ONLY value is it's price is hilarious. And you want people to take your advice?

Quote:

Ahhh it's so volatile!

Quote:

Bitcoin's volatility falls below Nasdaq and S&P 500s for first time since 2020

People don't use Nasdaq and S&P 500 stocks as money either as they would suck at that just like bitcoin.

And unlike bitcoin, these stocks actually pay dividends.
administrative errors
aTmAg
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Adverse Event said:

aTmAg said:

Adverse Event said:

aTmAg said:

Oh, so then I guess you are saying that it takes understanding crypto algorithms to realize that bitcoin supposedly doesn't suck? That otherwise all of America would be using it? It doesn't take that sort of knowledge to look at a graph and see ridiculous instability. It's not lack of understanding that makes bitcoin suck, it's bitcoins suckiness that makes it suck.


Bitcoin has shown to be more like a high risk dot-com stock than digital gold. If bitcoin really was a better gold than gold, then it would up or at least be stable during this time of inflation rather than down over 70%. Just go look at your guys predictions 5 or 10 years ago. You could not have been more wrong.

I'll wait for you to find one of my predictions on price, about 5 years ago I stopped caring about price.

Convenient thing for you that you switched accounts as bitcoin was plunging? So that we can't know for sure who you were?

It's funny how ALL you guys cared about was price during it's bubble. Then once it cratered, you suddenly you stopped caring about price?

And the notion that one wouldn't care about price for an asset that's ONLY value is it's price is hilarious. And you want people to take your advice?

Quote:

Ahhh it's so volatile!

Quote:

Bitcoin's volatility falls below Nasdaq and S&P 500s for first time since 2020

People don't use Nasdaq and S&P 500 stocks as money either as they would suck at that just like bitcoin.

And unlike bitcoin, these stocks actually pay dividends.
administrative errors
What were you prior to that? (not that it matters.. I can only search back 1 years. I'll let somebody with stars search back 5 years). I do remember that all you dudes were claiming bitcoin would go to the moon practically indefinitely. Weren't you repeatedly posting that gif of bitcoin zooming up the chart?

And what about the rest of the post?
Bag
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MemphisAg1 said:

Passing along a link to this article that makes the case Bitcoin will remain on a downward trend.

Quote:

"Bitcoin's conceptual design and technological shortcomings make it questionable as a means of payment: real Bitcoin transactions are cumbersome, slow and expensive," they wrote. "Bitcoin has never been used to any significant extent for legal real-world transactions."

"Bitcoin is also not suitable as an investment. It does not generate cash flow (like real estate) or dividends (like equities), cannot be used productively (like commodities) or provide social benefits (like gold). The market valuation of Bitcoin is therefore based purely on speculation," they added.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/30/european-central-bank-says-bitcoin-is-on-the-road-to-irrelevance.html

I don't own any because I haven't resolved how to value it, and it's too volatile for my taste. I follow a hard rule of not investing in things I don't understand. That has served me well after some small, but impactful, lessons learned with investing earlier in life.

But I'm fascinated by the ongoing story of technology development, wealth creation and destruction.
um, to me, this makes it a screaming buy

Isn't this the same bank that thought negative interest rates for a decade was a good idea?
Bag
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Muy said:

In the US it's a collector's item that soon gets traded back to the dollar when someone feels they've made enough.
so, similar to gold, diamonds, copper, catalytic converters, oil, natural gas, corn, wheat, soy beans, steel, ammunition...?
aTmAg
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Bag said:

Muy said:

In the US it's a collector's item that soon gets traded back to the dollar when someone feels they've made enough.
so, similar to gold, diamonds, copper, catalytic converters, oil, natural gas, corn, wheat, soy beans, steel, ammunition...?
Those things have alternate uses and value to mere speculation.
exp
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AG
One day liberty loving conservatives will wake up. The debates on this forum are silly at this point. The reality is most on here are quiet statists who don't have courage to break free from their chains. That's ok.
exp
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exp
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aTmAg
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exp said:

One day liberty loving conservatives will wake up. The debates on this forum are silly at this point. The reality is most on here are quiet statists who don't have courage to break free from their chains. That's ok.
One day, you will realize that bitcoin won't break anybody free from any chains. That you blew your money on a false promise that you fell for.


None of us conservatives think the dollar is wonderful. We just realize that BTC is not the next, 3rd, or even 100th best alterative. When the dollar fails, people will go to something other than bitcoin.
CDUB98
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CDUB98 said:

Adverse Event said:

CDUB98 said:

Adverse Event said:

Why is the assumption YOU HAVE TO CONVERT BACK TO [local currency].

That's a poor assumption.


Then tell, us, what is BTC's value denomination based on, if not local currency?


Just because it's priced in All types of local currencies does not mean it's value is related to them.


Shanked punt.

I clearly asked you to state what BTC's value is based on, if not local currency. You merely restated my question.


Hey, Adverse, you going to respond to this?
Kvetch
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exp said:

One day liberty loving conservatives will wake up. The debates on this forum are silly at this point. The reality is most on here are quiet statists who don't have courage to break free from their chains. That's ok.


If by statist you mean non-anarchist, then sure. But there's nothing new under the sun, including your views. You've just wrapped them up in a different, technological form. Your vision of the world is highly unlikely to ever come to fruition.

That being said, you're free to buy your little digital tokens and theorize about the Bitcoin revolution.
exp
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exp
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CDUB98 said:

CDUB98 said:

Adverse Event said:

CDUB98 said:

Adverse Event said:

Why is the assumption YOU HAVE TO CONVERT BACK TO [local currency].

That's a poor assumption.


Then tell, us, what is BTC's value denomination based on, if not local currency?


Just because it's priced in All types of local currencies does not mean it's value is related to them.


Shanked punt.

I clearly asked you to state what BTC's value is based on, if not local currency. You merely restated my question.


Hey, Adverse, you going to respond to this?


BTC is not based on anything else. It is the thing. Few understand.
aTmAg
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exp said:


And lose money and credibility.
exp
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Kvetch said:

exp said:

One day liberty loving conservatives will wake up. The debates on this forum are silly at this point. The reality is most on here are quiet statists who don't have courage to break free from their chains. That's ok.


If by statist you mean non-anarchist, then sure. But there's nothing new under the sun, including your views. You've just wrapped them up in a different, technological form. Your vision of the world is highly unlikely to ever come to fruition.

That being said, you're free to buy your little digital tokens and theorize about the Bitcoin revolution.


Famous last words. Hope you're right.
aTmAg
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exp said:

CDUB98 said:

CDUB98 said:

Adverse Event said:

CDUB98 said:

Adverse Event said:

Why is the assumption YOU HAVE TO CONVERT BACK TO [local currency].

That's a poor assumption.


Then tell, us, what is BTC's value denomination based on, if not local currency?


Just because it's priced in All types of local currencies does not mean it's value is related to them.


Shanked punt.

I clearly asked you to state what BTC's value is based on, if not local currency. You merely restated my question.


Hey, Adverse, you going to respond to this?


BTC is not based on anything else. It is the thing. Few understand.
NOBODY compares the value of anything to bitcoin. You can't be serious?
exp
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AG
https://open.spotify.com/episode/39FYuMn1nSgHNwdHla2DIZ?si=RcNy4NmaQoKoE01cSJ2r5A&context=spotify%3Acollection%3Apodcasts%3Aepisodes
Adverse Event
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aTmAg said:

exp said:

One day liberty loving conservatives will wake up. The debates on this forum are silly at this point. The reality is most on here are quiet statists who don't have courage to break free from their chains. That's ok.
One day, you will realize that bitcoin won't break anybody free from any chains. That you blew your money on a false promise that you fell for.


None of us conservatives think the dollar is wonderful. We just realize that BTC is not the next, 3rd, or even 100th best alterative. When the dollar fails, people will go to something other than bitcoin.

Hm, when other countries have had their monetary system collapse they seem to build parallel economies with bitcoin.

TexasRebel
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aTmAg said:

exp said:

CDUB98 said:

CDUB98 said:

Adverse Event said:

CDUB98 said:

Adverse Event said:

Why is the assumption YOU HAVE TO CONVERT BACK TO [local currency].

That's a poor assumption.


Then tell, us, what is BTC's value denomination based on, if not local currency?


Just because it's priced in All types of local currencies does not mean it's value is related to them.


Shanked punt.

I clearly asked you to state what BTC's value is based on, if not local currency. You merely restated my question.


Hey, Adverse, you going to respond to this?


BTC is not based on anything else. It is the thing. Few understand.
NOBODY compares the value of anything to bitcoin. You can't be serious?


I have a loaf of bread that's worth .0001…. .00006…. .007

Forget it. I can't type fast enough.
aTmAg
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Adverse Event said:

aTmAg said:

exp said:

One day liberty loving conservatives will wake up. The debates on this forum are silly at this point. The reality is most on here are quiet statists who don't have courage to break free from their chains. That's ok.
One day, you will realize that bitcoin won't break anybody free from any chains. That you blew your money on a false promise that you fell for.


None of us conservatives think the dollar is wonderful. We just realize that BTC is not the next, 3rd, or even 100th best alterative. When the dollar fails, people will go to something other than bitcoin.

Hm, when other countries have had their monetary system collapse they seem to build parallel economies with bitcoin.


So countries that monetarily don't know what they are doing seem to chose bitcoin.

Is that supposed to be an endorsement?
TexasRebel
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Bag said:

Muy said:

In the US it's a collector's item that soon gets traded back to the dollar when someone feels they've made enough.
so, similar to gold, diamonds, copper, catalytic converters, oil, natural gas, corn, wheat, soy beans, steel, ammunition...?


These are all useful things that degenerates will steal in the night and sell for pennies on the dollar. They then must be replaced somehow.
Adverse Event
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Who actually does know what they are doing with monetary policy?

This current 50 year cycle of policy making sure seems to be winding into a close and everyone is doing their best to manage around disaster.

Nevermind, I'll trust my betters, inflation is transitory.
ac04
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in this transaction from yesterday, $160MM was transferred directly between two parties (with absolutely no need for permission or approval by any third party) for a fee of $1.61: https://mempool.space/tx/ab0aebadf57464eeac2d6fce06182e56e21e8bfa22d548b50935aad524ded10b

is the ability to complete this transaction independent of any institution or government, virtually for free, and with final settlement in an hour or less valuable?
aTmAg
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Adverse Event said:

Who actually does know what they are doing with monetary policy?

This current 50 year cycle of policy making sure seems to be winding into a close and everyone is doing their best to manage around disaster.

Nevermind, I'll trust my betters, inflation is transitory.
Are you kidding? I've been predicting inflation for over a decade. As far as I'm aware, I have been commenting on it here longer than any other poster. To pretend that I ever thought inflation was transitory or that I believed Keynesian principles is hilarious.

And we (the US) knew what we were doing with monetary policy when we were on the gold standard.
MRB10
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The Banned said:

TexasRebel said:

The Banned said:

MR Gadsden said:

The Banned said:

MR Gadsden said:

The Banned said:

Adverse Event said:

Why is the assumption YOU HAVE TO CONVERT BACK TO [local currency].

That's a poor assumption.


There would need to be a robust economy in which the Bitcoin they received in exchange for their good or service could buy them the things they want to legally own.
This is what people\companies are building now. I went to the Texas Blockchain summit in Austin a few weeks ago. Yes, BTC price is down but there is a robust infrastructure being built out that most people are ignorant exists. And for every one of these solutions that is being built on the back of BTC\Lightning it provides value to the system.

I would sell you a car in BTC today, AE might have another item or service that he would gladly take BTC for. I think if you did some digging you might be surprised how robust the BTC economy already is.


If I could be convinced that the parallel market could survive a totalitarian government wanting to control all we do, I'd be all on board the Bitcoin train. My concern right now is that people are accepting that BTC because they know they can convert that to local currency. If we waive a magic wand today and that ability went away, would that alternate market continue to move forward? If so, I'd genuinely love to hear how.
Ok so let's play this out. Is it the US government that goes full CCP and bans BTC? If so, how are they going to ban it? Like be specific on how that's going to be accomplished?





Again, programmable CBDCs. They will have the ability to literally make you incapable of giving away your CBDCs for a BTC if they so choose. Drugs, guns and other contraband can still be sold because of paper transactions. That paper is then laundered and re-enters the market and ready for use on legal goods.

But in a world where there is no potential for paper transactions and all transactions were not only monitored but programmable, you swipe your card and nothing happens. You just can't. Want to buy too much alcohol? You can't. Want to buy your 10th pizza this week? You can't. Want to buy a BTC. You can't. And if a seller knows no one can give him legal tender for the illicit BTC he's about to receive no matter how much they may want to, why would he take it?

It's not about jail time. It's about the sheer inability to conduct the transaction. For the record, I think this level of micro managing is much further away than the fear mongers would say because I think the populace wouldn't accept it in such a rushed way. But it's very likely coming at some points


Do you want the barter system?

This is how you get the barter system.

Bank won't let you get another pizza? You sell shoes? I need shoes, you need pizza…


No I do not want the barter system. I don't want the damn CBDCs. The governments do.


Would you agree that the odds of the scenario you're describing is low? I'm still not convinced that the fed/federal govt has the legal authority to create and force a CBDC on the American public or take the amount of control and authority they'd need to do what you all suggest. Such an attempt would be litigated SO hard and would take years. There are a number of potential outcomes to that chain of events that end in civil war as well. Politicians seem to prefer the low hanging fruit and I don't believe the incentives are aligned to civil war being desirable.

Id be interested in shifting the discussions from the extremes back to the middle if anyone is interested. It feels like human nature has a tendency to assume that there are only two outcomes to hot topics. One at either end of the spectrum. The reality is likely to fall somewhere in the middle after a period of time, with ebbs and flows of change and retracement, and that zone is where the interesting discussions lie.

Bitcoin has obvious value as a decentralized digital commodity, for those who already hold it, if the US goes full CCP + social credit system.

Bitcoin the coin, and more so the underlying protocol, has the chance to be so much more than that if it's integrated into the various financial systems/regulations as things evolve. Anyone have ideas for where we can implement it now? International money transfers and adding additional revenue streams to upstream O&G production could be good places to start.
Adverse Event
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aTmAg said:

Adverse Event said:

Who actually does know what they are doing with monetary policy?

This current 50 year cycle of policy making sure seems to be winding into a close and everyone is doing their best to manage around disaster.

Nevermind, I'll trust my betters, inflation is transitory.
Are you kidding? I've been predicting inflation for over a decade. As far as I'm aware, I have been commenting on it here longer than any other poster. To pretend that I ever thought inflation was transitory or that I believed Keynesian principles is hilarious.

And we (the US) knew what we were doing with monetary policy when we were on the gold standard.

Right, the people who knew what they were doing and in charge are dead and the knowledge lost. We are coasting on our ancestors laurels.

That's why we now know via our administration that inflation is transitory, I mean it's good for us.

You think the fat German or the criminal LaGarde, or these schmuck who wrote the article from the ECB know what the **** they are doing? Let alone are competent enough to make claims on what bitcoin is or isn't doing?

Just TRUST. Trust them. They got it under control. Go back to your original programming.
ac04
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aTmAg said:

Adverse Event said:

aTmAg said:

exp said:

One day liberty loving conservatives will wake up. The debates on this forum are silly at this point. The reality is most on here are quiet statists who don't have courage to break free from their chains. That's ok.
One day, you will realize that bitcoin won't break anybody free from any chains. That you blew your money on a false promise that you fell for.


None of us conservatives think the dollar is wonderful. We just realize that BTC is not the next, 3rd, or even 100th best alterative. When the dollar fails, people will go to something other than bitcoin.

Hm, when other countries have had their monetary system collapse they seem to build parallel economies with bitcoin.


So countries that monetarily don't know what they are doing seem to chose bitcoin.

Is that supposed to be an endorsement?
what? the country is not choosing bitcoin. the people in the country whose lives have been ruined by their incompetent government are choosing bitcoin.
Kvetch
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AG
Adverse Event said:

Who actually does know what they are doing with monetary policy?

This current 50 year cycle of policy making sure seems to be winding into a close and everyone is doing their best to manage around disaster.

Nevermind, I'll trust my betters, inflation is transitory.


Except everyone with a brain (not democrats) knew that all of their spending was inflationary and not transitory and called out that bull**** line before any of the spending happened. We know exactly what causes inflation. Problems only arise when you ignore basic economics in pursuit of power and ideological victories.

The issue isn't the money. It's the people. And it will be the same exact story with Bitcoin (or any other currency), just in different ways. Pretending like crypto is free from any kind of issues because it is "decentralized" is absurd.

You're like the people that spend their entire lives blaming corporations for all their problems and advocating for unions. Then, when you actually unionize the power swings back so far in the other direction that **** ends up being just as bad but for different and opposite reasons.
ac04
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Kvetch said:

Adverse Event said:

Who actually does know what they are doing with monetary policy?

This current 50 year cycle of policy making sure seems to be winding into a close and everyone is doing their best to manage around disaster.

Nevermind, I'll trust my betters, inflation is transitory.


Except everyone with a brain (not democrats) knew that all of their spending was inflationary and not transitory and called out that bull**** line before any of the spending happened. We know exactly what causes inflation. Problems only arise when you ignore basic economics in pursuit of power and ideological victories.

The issue isn't the money. It's the people. And it will be the same exact story with Bitcoin (or any other currency), just in different ways. Pretending like crypto is free from any kind of issues because it is "decentralized" is absurd.

You're like the people that spend their entire lives blaming corporations for all their problems and advocating for unions. Then, when you actually unionize the power swings back so far in the other direction that **** ends up being just as bad but for different and opposite reasons.
so close to getting it. one of the main value propositions of bitcoin is that its monetary policy is immutable and governed by math and physics, NOT by people.
CDUB98
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AG
ac04 said:

in this transaction from yesterday, $160MM was transferred directly between two parties (with absolutely no need for permission or approval by any third party) for a fee of $1.61: https://mempool.space/tx/ab0aebadf57464eeac2d6fce06182e56e21e8bfa22d548b50935aad524ded10b

is the ability to complete this transaction independent of any institution or government, virtually for free, and with final settlement in an hour or less valuable?


The ability to transact isn't the issue so many, like me, have.

The problem we have is valuation. Other than speculative exchange, what tangible value does it have? None.

The perceived value of BTC is still quantified in hard, fiat currencies, typically, the dollar. If the dollar were to go like a fart in the wind, BTC shoots to eleventy-billion, or gets abandoned as the SHTF anyway.

As a means of transaction, and a potential hedge on inflation, yes, it does/can work. But as a hard asset, I'm not sold.
The Banned
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Pepper Brooks said:

The Banned said:

TexasRebel said:

The Banned said:

MR Gadsden said:

The Banned said:

MR Gadsden said:

The Banned said:

Adverse Event said:

Why is the assumption YOU HAVE TO CONVERT BACK TO [local currency].

That's a poor assumption.


There would need to be a robust economy in which the Bitcoin they received in exchange for their good or service could buy them the things they want to legally own.
This is what people\companies are building now. I went to the Texas Blockchain summit in Austin a few weeks ago. Yes, BTC price is down but there is a robust infrastructure being built out that most people are ignorant exists. And for every one of these solutions that is being built on the back of BTC\Lightning it provides value to the system.

I would sell you a car in BTC today, AE might have another item or service that he would gladly take BTC for. I think if you did some digging you might be surprised how robust the BTC economy already is.


If I could be convinced that the parallel market could survive a totalitarian government wanting to control all we do, I'd be all on board the Bitcoin train. My concern right now is that people are accepting that BTC because they know they can convert that to local currency. If we waive a magic wand today and that ability went away, would that alternate market continue to move forward? If so, I'd genuinely love to hear how.
Ok so let's play this out. Is it the US government that goes full CCP and bans BTC? If so, how are they going to ban it? Like be specific on how that's going to be accomplished?





Again, programmable CBDCs. They will have the ability to literally make you incapable of giving away your CBDCs for a BTC if they so choose. Drugs, guns and other contraband can still be sold because of paper transactions. That paper is then laundered and re-enters the market and ready for use on legal goods.

But in a world where there is no potential for paper transactions and all transactions were not only monitored but programmable, you swipe your card and nothing happens. You just can't. Want to buy too much alcohol? You can't. Want to buy your 10th pizza this week? You can't. Want to buy a BTC. You can't. And if a seller knows no one can give him legal tender for the illicit BTC he's about to receive no matter how much they may want to, why would he take it?

It's not about jail time. It's about the sheer inability to conduct the transaction. For the record, I think this level of micro managing is much further away than the fear mongers would say because I think the populace wouldn't accept it in such a rushed way. But it's very likely coming at some points


Do you want the barter system?

This is how you get the barter system.

Bank won't let you get another pizza? You sell shoes? I need shoes, you need pizza…


No I do not want the barter system. I don't want the damn CBDCs. The governments do.


Would you agree that the odds of the scenario you're describing is low? I'm still not convinced that the fed/federal govt has the legal authority to create and force a CBDC on the American public or take the amount of control and authority they'd need to do what you all suggest. Such an attempt would be litigated SO hard and would take years. There are a number of potential outcomes to that chain of events that end in civil war as well. Politicians seem to prefer the low hanging fruit and I don't believe the incentives are aligned to civil war being desirable.

Id be interested in shifting the discussions from the extremes back to the middle if anyone is interested. It feels like human nature has a tendency to assume that there are only two outcomes to hot topics. One at either end of the spectrum. The reality is likely to fall somewhere in the middle after a period of time, with ebbs and flows of change and retracement, and that zone is where the interesting discussions lie.

Bitcoin has obvious value as a decentralized digital commodity, for those who already hold it, if the US goes full CCP + social credit system.

Bitcoin the coin, and more so the underlying protocol, has the chance to be so much more than that if it's integrated into the various financial systems/regulations as things evolve. Anyone have ideas for where we can implement it now? International money transfers and adding additional revenue streams to upstream O&G production could be good places to start.


I said multiple times it not likely to happen any time soon. I was simply refuting the claim that AE made when he said that having BTC in that scenario would be helpful.

Several posters have pointed out uses for BTC. I'm reading and learning and I'm interested. But fact of the matter is the value of BTC is still tied to a currency. BTC may be used for one to one transactions but no one is paying their utility bill with BTC. Or their mortgage or anything else. The attraction to the common user is still is cash value if needed to convert.

Question: BTC is a finite supply, correct? No more coins being "made"?
Kvetch
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AG
ac04 said:

Kvetch said:

Adverse Event said:

Who actually does know what they are doing with monetary policy?

This current 50 year cycle of policy making sure seems to be winding into a close and everyone is doing their best to manage around disaster.

Nevermind, I'll trust my betters, inflation is transitory.


Except everyone with a brain (not democrats) knew that all of their spending was inflationary and not transitory and called out that bull**** line before any of the spending happened. We know exactly what causes inflation. Problems only arise when you ignore basic economics in pursuit of power and ideological victories.

The issue isn't the money. It's the people. And it will be the same exact story with Bitcoin (or any other currency), just in different ways. Pretending like crypto is free from any kind of issues because it is "decentralized" is absurd.

You're like the people that spend their entire lives blaming corporations for all their problems and advocating for unions. Then, when you actually unionize the power swings back so far in the other direction that **** ends up being just as bad but for different and opposite reasons.
so close to getting it. one of the main value propositions of bitcoin is that its monetary policy is immutable and governed by math and physics, NOT by people.


And the fact that you think that it's transactional nature and anti-inflationary design makes it incorruptible or free from human manipulation is where you miss the point. It doesn't fix the problem. It just reframed it and starts the game over with new rules.
Ags4DaWin
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aTmAg said:

Oh, so then I guess you are saying that it takes understanding crypto algorithms to realize that bitcoin supposedly doesn't suck? That otherwise all of America would be using it? It doesn't take that sort of knowledge to look at a graph and see ridiculous instability. It's not lack of understanding that makes bitcoin suck, it's bitcoins suckiness that makes it suck.


Bitcoin has shown to be more like a high risk dot-com stock than digital gold. If bitcoin really was a better gold than gold, then it would up or at least be stable during this time of inflation rather than down over 70%. Just go look at your guys predictions 5 or 10 years ago. You could not have been more wrong.


The thing about BTC is that now it is down to its last halving or two which means that the supply of BTC is going to be relatively stable moving forward and new BTC's will enter the market relatively slowly.

That will make it like gold....new findings will be rare.

Also as it's use and utility and implementation becomes more leveled out, the speculators will be removed from the market and the price more stable.

Right now BTC is more akin to silver than gold in so far as back when silver was very speculative in the US economy in the 1800's.
 
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