*****Official RPI and Seed Watch Thread*****

74,215 Views | 562 Replies | Last: 11 hrs ago by RED AG 98
CapCityAg89
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to RED AG 98 • 8:56p, 5/22/26
AG
RED AG 98 said:
We're going to have to outlast Florida in the tourney or I'm convinced they pass us up.


I think they have to separate though. If it's actually 8/9, we have to get the nod for that road series win. It'll need to be not next to each other. So they need to pass Auburn and probably bama too. Basically, I think they need to win it all.
Reply Quote
RED AG 98
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to CapCityAg89 • 9:02p, 5/22/26
AG
CapCityAg89 said:
RED AG 98 said:
We're going to have to outlast Florida in the tourney or I'm convinced they pass us up.


I think they have to separate though. If it's actually 8/9, we have to get the nod for that road series win. It'll need to be not next to each other. So they need to pass Auburn and probably bama too. Basically, I think they need to win it all.

This only matters if the SEC win total is similar, imo. If we exit early, they are at least +2 on us which I'm guessing is enough to overcome the h2h.
Reply Quote
1
W
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:55p, 5/22/26
AG
Kansas (41-16) taking care of business

advancing to the Big 12 title game

their host spot seems secure

Reply Quote
2
Great2BeAnAGGIE
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:58p, 5/22/26
AG
Our super is gone unless some miracle happens in this game.
Will be 10-12 quad 1
Reply Quote
1
t - cam
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Great2BeAnAGGIE • 10:01p, 5/22/26
AG
Great2BeAnAGGIE said:
Our super is gone unless some miracle happens in this game.
Will be 10-12 quad 1


Miracle?
Reply Quote
AggieBB
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:35p, 5/22/26
AG
We're cooked
Reply Quote
2
W
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
11:24p, 5/22/26
AG
lower the masts...we've been scuttled
Reply Quote
1
W
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
11:50p, 5/22/26
AG
all right, surveying the damage...and now looking at the likely 9 thru 16 hosts...

perhaps in this order:

9. Southern Miss
10. FSU
11. Nebraska
12. A&M
13. Kansas
14. West Virginia
15. Arkansas
16. State

with Oregon still in the mix

the Hogs won 2/3 vs. State

Reply Quote
twk
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to W • 1:28a, 5/23/26
AG
12? Where are you getting that?
Reply Quote
Detective Jake Peralta
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to W • 7:33a, 5/23/26
AG
Rough night but I'd be shocked if we fall all the way to 12.

Too 8 is not dead…but it's on life support. I'm still not convinced Southern Miss is going to get one. If Florida loses today I think you can still paint the picture that we're ahead…especially since we beat them in their house.

A lot still to figure out! I'm on vacation with spotty internet but will try to update my op as I'm able
Reply Quote
Aggiewife64
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
7:44a, 5/23/26
We are going to get seeded wherever they can match us playing the Super vs t.u. In Austin
Reply Quote
7
1 edit
Wabs
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Aggiewife64 • 7:59a, 5/23/26
AG
Aggiewife64 said:
We are going to get seeded wherever they can match us playing the Super vs t.u. In Austin

This. Watch.
Reply Quote
2
LOYAL AG
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Aggiewife64 • 8:53a, 5/23/26
AG
Aggiewife64 said:
We are going to get seeded wherever they can match us playing the Super vs t.u. In Austin


This hasn't happened in 26 years of this current format. We only got sent to each other's regionals twice in the years we were in separate conferences and i can only think of one time when regional pairings would have made this happen in years one of us didn't host. We did get sent to the same regional once when neither of us hosted. Now that everyone is seeded 1-32 that ultimately means geography is less important and thats the argument for even doing it.

This narrative in baseball is the epitome of BAS.
Reply Quote
4
W
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:35a, 5/23/26
AG
the Ags have slid down to #14 in RPI

which opens the door for the teams still playing in their tournaments or conference champions to pass them

the committee can tinker as they want

the only hope is DSR
Reply Quote
W
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
9:37a, 5/23/26
AG
the sips are currently #5 in RPI and #6 in DSR

which makes the #5 or #6 overall seed very reasonable for t.u.
Reply Quote
threeanout
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to W • 9:52a, 5/23/26
AG
When you say "our only hope"….do you mean our hope to host a Super?
Reply Quote
W
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to threeanout • 10:09a, 5/23/26
AG
yes, DSR is A&M's best metric
Reply Quote
twk
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to W • 10:13a, 5/23/26
AG
W said:
yes, DSR is A&M's best metric

But it's not our only metric. Series victory at Gainesville and third place conference finish will also work in our favor. Will it be enough? No way to know until Monday.
Reply Quote
threeanout
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:21a, 5/23/26
AG
Call me Negative Nancy but I think our only hope of hosting a Super is to win our regional and hope that the one seed we are matched up against looses their regional.
Reply Quote
3
MagnumLoad
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:49a, 5/23/26
Yes, but at the beginning of the season we would have taken hosting a regional. This team over achieved despite bad pitching. No way we are top 8 though. Earley is going to have to stack some quality pitching depth. I am not sure why we did not try the young guys more, there was nothing to lose.
I hate tu. It's in my blood.
Reply Quote
5
nukeaggie2000
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
11:09a, 5/23/26
AG
I think they will also consider our pitching situation and our recent injuries.
Reply Quote
2
AggieBB
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to MagnumLoad • 11:44a, 5/23/26
AG
MagnumLoad said:
Yes, but at the beginning of the season we would have taken hosting a regional. This team over achieved despite bad pitching. No way we are top 8 though. Earley is going to have to stack some quality pitching depth. I am not sure why we did not try the young guys more, there was nothing to lose.

This. If it were me, Hunter Vincent would be pitching every week. I'd run him out there and give him a chance to have some success because when that kid is confident, he has Friday starter stuff. I just hope he doesn't portal out due to lack of innings.
Reply Quote
7
LOYAL AG
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to nukeaggie2000 • 11:45a, 5/23/26
AG
nukeaggie2000 said:
I think they will also consider our pitching situation and our recent injuries.


As long as it looks like Partida and Sims will be ready for the regional there's really not much on the injury front to hurt us. With a healthy Partida the only change is whether Royo or Hacopian plays 2B while their DH.
Reply Quote
1
TexasAGGIEinAR
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:29p, 5/23/26
Kendall Rogers updated his projections. We're sitting at 10, paired with Bama. UTSA and Cincy are the 2/3. He also stated that he can see how Bama being left out and us sneaking in the top 8 would be the only surprise he sees happening. Very volatile. UF is gonna be in.
Reply Quote
2
dermdoc
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TexasAGGIEinAR • 3:34p, 5/23/26
AG
TexasAGGIEinAR said:
Kendall Rogers updated his projections. We're sitting at 10, paired with Bama. UTSA and Cincy are the 2/3. He also stated that he can see how Bama being left out and us sneaking in the top 8 would be the only surprise he sees happening. Very volatile. UF is gonna be in.

This would be the first time in decades of watching Aggie baseball that the committee would give so much weight to the conference tourneys. And it is not just us. Sips and Auburn changed places.
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Reply Quote
5
1 edit
tjack16
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to dermdoc • 3:36p, 5/23/26
AG
dermdoc said:
TexasAGGIEinAR said:
Kendall Rogers updated his projections. We're sitting at 10, paired with Bama. UTSA and Cincy are the 2/3. He also stated that he can see how Bama being left out and us sneaking in the top 8 would be the only surprise he sees happening. Very volatile. UF is gonna be in.

This would be the first time in decades of watching Aggie baseball that the committee would give so much weight to the conference tourneys.


I'm guessing because there is more parity in the SEC this year. A lot of teams clumped together for a few seeding spots.

That game 3 cancellation against Texas and Gavin strike call against Auburn are screwing us. We win those and we are a national seed lock.
Reply Quote
3
1 edit
dermdoc
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to tjack16 • 3:39p, 5/23/26
AG
tjack16 said:
dermdoc said:
TexasAGGIEinAR said:
Kendall Rogers updated his projections. We're sitting at 10, paired with Bama. UTSA and Cincy are the 2/3. He also stated that he can see how Bama being left out and us sneaking in the top 8 would be the only surprise he sees happening. Very volatile. UF is gonna be in.

This would be the first time in decades of watching Aggie baseball that the committee would give so much weight to the conference tourneys.


I'm guessing because there is more parity in the SEC this year. A lot of teams clumped together for a few seeding spots.

That game 3 cancellation against Texas and Gavin strike call against Auburn are screwing us. We win those and we are a national seed lock.

It will all work out.
BTHO the regional!
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
Reply Quote
3
tjack16
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to dermdoc • 3:40p, 5/23/26
AG
I think we will win our regional and then we match up well with whoever is in the supers. I'm not overly worried. It's been a fun season. Postseason won't be any different
Reply Quote
4
58-7
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
4:22p, 5/23/26
AG
Well Geogia coming back to beat Florida 8-7 doesn't hurt metrics.
Reply Quote
1
CapCityAg89
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to dermdoc • 5:06p, 5/23/26
AG
dermdoc said:
TexasAGGIEinAR said:
Kendall Rogers updated his projections. We're sitting at 10, paired with Bama. UTSA and Cincy are the 2/3. He also stated that he can see how Bama being left out and us sneaking in the top 8 would be the only surprise he sees happening. Very volatile. UF is gonna be in.

This would be the first time in decades of watching Aggie baseball that the committee would give so much weight to the conference tourneys. And it is not just us. Sips and Auburn changed places.

This. Pretty much every year there's talk about how the conference tournaments shape the seeding. And pretty much every year it does not. Years we've played well and expected a bump. Nope. Years we've played poorly and expected a drop. Nope.

I mean. I'm get it. Conference tournaments are going on and we have to discuss but it doesn't usually change the resume.
Reply Quote
LincolnBorglum79
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to CapCityAg89 • 6:13p, 5/23/26
AG
I think yall are overestimating the impact of a single game. TU got crushed by Arkansas. Are they dropping to a 7 or 8 seed? Nope. The national sites I've looked at still have us as a 6,7 or 8 seed. They have pretty much decided I think and I don't expect much change based on this weeks games.
Reply Quote
1
TexasAGGIEinAR
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to CapCityAg89 • 6:15p, 5/23/26
CapCityAg89 said:
dermdoc said:
TexasAGGIEinAR said:
Kendall Rogers updated his projections. We're sitting at 10, paired with Bama. UTSA and Cincy are the 2/3. He also stated that he can see how Bama being left out and us sneaking in the top 8 would be the only surprise he sees happening. Very volatile. UF is gonna be in.

This would be the first time in decades of watching Aggie baseball that the committee would give so much weight to the conference tourneys. And it is not just us. Sips and Auburn changed places.

This. Pretty much every year there's talk about how the conference tournaments shape the seeding. And pretty much every year it does not. Years we've played well and expected a bump. Nope. Years we've played poorly and expected a drop. Nope.

I mean. I'm get it. Conference tournaments are going on and we have to discuss but it doesn't usually change the resume.


Pig has gone from being the 4th team out of hosting to the 15 seed after beating UT and tu. Mind boggling how the conference tournament went from basically meaningless to very VERY meaningful.
Reply Quote
jkag89
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to TexasAGGIEinAR • 6:25p, 5/23/26
TexasAGGIEinAR said:
CapCityAg89 said:
dermdoc said:
TexasAGGIEinAR said:
Kendall Rogers updated his projections. We're sitting at 10, paired with Bama. UTSA and Cincy are the 2/3. He also stated that he can see how Bama being left out and us sneaking in the top 8 would be the only surprise he sees happening. Very volatile. UF is gonna be in.

This would be the first time in decades of watching Aggie baseball that the committee would give so much weight to the conference tourneys. And it is not just us. Sips and Auburn changed places.

This. Pretty much every year there's talk about how the conference tournaments shape the seeding. And pretty much every year it does not. Years we've played well and expected a bump. Nope. Years we've played poorly and expected a drop. Nope.

I mean. I'm get it. Conference tournaments are going on and we have to discuss but it doesn't usually change the resume.


Pig has gone from being the 4th team out of hosting to the 15 seed after beating UT and tu. Mind boggling how the conference tournament went from basically meaningless to very VERY meaningful.

You do know these are only projections? Sites like D1 Baseball are fairly good at this but only the selection committee knows what metrics it is going to emphasize from year to year.
Reply Quote
1
1 edit
RED AG 98
User Profile
Private Message
Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to LincolnBorglum79 • 6:36p, 5/23/26
AG
tu wasn't on the top 8 bubble. We are right on the edge, and of teams clustered up at 2-5 in the SEC we have the poorest metrics... it's not one game in a vacuum, it's Florida creating enough of a gap in SEC total wins such that our h2h series win as de facto tiebreaker doesn't come into consideration.
Reply Quote
2
W
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
6:41p, 5/23/26
AG
so Georgia Tech and North Carolina both reach the ACC title game

that should push t.u. down to the #5

and then let's see how far Auburn goes in the tournament
Reply Quote
1
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.