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Orlando Ayala Cant Read
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AG
Not sure if already talked about but is anyone having trouble buying Google? My etrade will not allow the purchase right now.
Ranger222
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I'm watching TSLA 850 P....went from 4 to 7, now back to 4.75. Gotta be quick on the trigger with these moves, only holding for a few minutes
Brewmaster
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holding up so far. if we pop up and out of this, that's when it gets real ugly.

zag213004
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Thoughts on NGL? Exploded today
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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My Winston-Salem contacts are 2.8 miles from the fertilizer plant fire. Only texting now. We'll talk on phone later. They are going about their day - business as usual. I suggested they close and leave. There's quite a bit more ammonium nitrate in the Winston-Salem plant then there was at the plant in West, TX fertilizer plant explosion.
2wealfth Man
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ProgN said:

https://twitter.com/untappedgrowth/status/1488882399647780871?s=20&t=B-15ZEScJ0OWY8qWqBtCFg



What do you make of this?
UAN is a great play here. This is an MLP that could distribute $30-35 to its unit holders this year.
McInnis 03
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

My Winston-Salem contacts are 2.8 miles from the fertilizer plant fire. Only texting now. We'll talk on phone later. They are going about their day - business as usual. I suggested they close and leave. There's quite a bit more ammonium nitrate in the Winston-Salem plant then there was at the plant in West, TX fertilizer plant explosion.
When I heard yesterday that they had abandoned the fight, I was wondering how long it'd be before we heard about the "BOOM".

Texas City
West, TX
Beirut Lebanon

Ammonium nitrate leaves no stone unturned when it goes.
BrokeAssAggie
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all my phones blowing up with text and voicemails to be safe and wrap my pipes...
McInnis 03
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I may have found the setup you can literally make your trading career on if you get good at stop placement.

Futures.
Woodies Daily Pivot is the key.

If approaching the daily pivot from above, go long a tick or two above the pivot for that day, set your stop according to your rules, and take profits according to your rules. THere is often a 4-10pt bounce off said pivot.

The rule is inverse for approaching from below. Go short a tick or two below the pivot for that day, then stops/profits according to your rules.

We don't hit the daily pivot each day on ES, so some days no trade.....but overall, pts would be racked in.

May have to switch my style.
McInnis 03
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BrokeAssAggie said:

all my phones blowing up with text and voicemails to be safe and wrap my pipes...
Did you tell them you already have a buncha kids and that advice woulda been helpful years ago?
BrokeAssAggie
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FTAG 2000
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Coming down to 4544 on SPX, which has been the low of the day so far.

BrokeAssAggie
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Think this might be the bottom for the day...it's almost everyone's favorite time.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

My Winston-Salem contacts are 2.8 miles from the fertilizer plant fire. Only texting now. We'll talk on phone later. They are going about their day - business as usual. I suggested they close and leave. There's quite a bit more ammonium nitrate in the Winston-Salem plant then there was at the plant in West, TX fertilizer plant explosion.
Below is what my Winston-Salem contacts telling me.

There's 600 tons of ammonium nitrate at the site, but being told the worse case is a blast that would have a damage radius of 1 mile with 70-80% of the blast energy going straight up.

McInnis 03
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Every time you post I hear the Farmers Insurance song in my head.

Just thought I'd share.
BrokeAssAggie
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time to work your magic....

Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Jeff Zucker resigns from CNN after undisclosed relationship with co-worker

Now,....just maybe, T will have a slight rally today because AT&T owns CNN through Warner Media.
Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX
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Ranger222
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Out my TSLA puts and also SQ puts

Done for the day. Direction may be still down but think we get bounce now / consolidation.
Brewmaster
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Ranger222 said:

Out my TSLA puts and also SQ puts

Done for the day. Direction may be still down but think we get bounce now / consolidation.
You could be right... if VIX can't hold over 22 here, it may dump out of the megaphone I have it in. Wish I'd grabbed TSLA puts with you, nice work!
Txducker
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BREwmaster said:

clinto said:

Are we at model T on QQQ?
blew right past it I believe. (if you're talking about the Jan 20th - 24th drop, which would've been model T around 354, hit 356 on the 26th. If you include Jan 13th's high in that drop to the 24th, that still puts the 50% at 360.
If you use the high of 11/22 which is the highest point for the past year, Model T was 371.60. Model T was hit premarket but failed to get there in Reg market hrs.

Yesterday had more open interest in the 02/02/2022 360C (5,532), then 372C (5,148), versus 370C (4,648) and 365C (4,137). The 365C had 3x volume yesterday over the 370C, but a lot of volume was traded on the 370 and 372C. The 370C calls were cheap yesterday ($0.30 and went to $2.05 this AM). Interesting point on open interest around the model T showing how important a level that is. I think we have heard that here many times before.

Bulls need to close above the 200SMA ~366.25 and then build above the 371.26 to get a rally going.
Max Stonetrail
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Farmer @ Johnsongrass, TX said:

My Winston-Salem contacts are 2.8 miles from the fertilizer plant fire. Only texting now. We'll talk on phone later. They are going about their day - business as usual. I suggested they close and leave. There's quite a bit more ammonium nitrate in the Winston-Salem plant then there was at the plant in West, TX fertilizer plant explosion.
One of my vendors is less than a mile from the plant. They haven't been allowed in since yesterday.

Crazy stuff. It's always something.
Max Stonetrail
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agdaddy04 said:

Spoony Love said:

SPY gapped overnight and I think we see it fill today. The GOOGL rush was nice and all but at face value, the split is just a split and no increase in intrinsic value in the end. Jobs number bad, troops headed to Europe, remaining supply chain issues, clueless admin in DC, etc. This market is still top heavy in my estimation.

ETA: just tested the ORL and I'm guessing we will break through in a little bit.
Don't a lot of splits run pretty high even though they don't create any intrinsic value?
Yes, they do. Some because of the perceived good news and the machines and some individuals that don't understand the split.

However in GOOGL's case, there is speculation it could get added to the DJIA. That means a lot of tracking stocks and funds will we forced to buy, fueling demand and price appreciation.

Just glance back at the last 10 stocks added to the S&P, which happens frequently. There is always a bump from this.
Engine10
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Reentered GOOG @ 2960
Towns03
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One of the biggest fertilizer producers is CF Industries. The price per ton of anhydrous ammonia was $400-500 just a year or two ago. Today it's $1200-1500.

other producers are Nutrien, Mosaic. Yara terminals the stuff and may have a plant here too, I can't remember.

Check out their last few months. big positive swings.
Paradise Ag
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Engine10 said:

Reentered GOOG @ 2960

Regular guy (purely shares) brag.

Bought seven shares GOOGL on Jan 21st at $2624.00 solely for long term investment after seeing posts about its value declared on this thread. Feeling a little like Warren Buffet today. Thanks guys, it's a really good feeling.

Even a blind squirrel gathers an occasional nut.
Engine10
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Towns03 said:

One of the biggest fertilizer producers is CF Industries. The price per ton of anhydrous ammonia was $400-500 just a year or two ago. Today it's $1200-1500.

other producers are Nutrien, Mosaic. Yara terminals the stuff and may have a plant here too, I can't remember.

Check out their last few months. big positive swings.

I used to work for Mosaic once upon time in the Florida phosphate plants, visited the potash gang in Canada once or twice too. If true on the ammonia costs, they must have had to jack prices like crazy as that's critical to the final products. Yikes.
Irish 2.0
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Engine10 said:

Towns03 said:

One of the biggest fertilizer producers is CF Industries. The price per ton of anhydrous ammonia was $400-500 just a year or two ago. Today it's $1200-1500.

other producers are Nutrien, Mosaic. Yara terminals the stuff and may have a plant here too, I can't remember.

Check out their last few months. big positive swings.

I used to work for Mosaic once upon time in the Florida phosphate plants, visited the potash gang in Canada once or twice too. If true on the ammonia costs, they must have had to jack prices like crazy as that's critical to the final products. Yikes.
The 2022 crop year is in for a giant "oh ****" moment. It will not be pretty
Brewmaster
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SQ 115C lotto $3 entry
Irish 2.0
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Note these are opening orders...Not uncertain?
Brewmaster
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Txducker said:

BREwmaster said:

clinto said:

Are we at model T on QQQ?
blew right past it I believe. (if you're talking about the Jan 20th - 24th drop, which would've been model T around 354, hit 356 on the 26th. If you include Jan 13th's high in that drop to the 24th, that still puts the 50% at 360.
If you use the high of 11/22 which is the highest point for the past year, Model T was 371.60. Model T was hit premarket but failed to get there in Reg market hrs.

Yesterday had more open interest in the 02/02/2022 360C (5,532), then 372C (5,148), versus 370C (4,648) and 365C (4,137). The 365C had 3x volume yesterday over the 370C, but a lot of volume was traded on the 370 and 372C. The 370C calls were cheap yesterday ($0.30 and went to $2.05 this AM). Interesting point on open interest around the model T showing how important a level that is. I think we have heard that here many times before.

Bulls need to close above the 200SMA ~366.25 and then build above the 371.26 to get a rally going.
Helluva post, post more often!
cptthunder
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Irish 2.0 said:

Engine10 said:

Towns03 said:

One of the biggest fertilizer producers is CF Industries. The price per ton of anhydrous ammonia was $400-500 just a year or two ago. Today it's $1200-1500.

other producers are Nutrien, Mosaic. Yara terminals the stuff and may have a plant here too, I can't remember.

Check out their last few months. big positive swings.

I used to work for Mosaic once upon time in the Florida phosphate plants, visited the potash gang in Canada once or twice too. If true on the ammonia costs, they must have had to jack prices like crazy as that's critical to the final products. Yikes.
The 2022 crop year is in for a giant "oh ****" moment. It will not be pretty
Some interesting comments Ive seen on the unknown effects of the extremely large Tonga eruption a few weeks ago with regards to summer weather for growing season in the northern US and Canada could really compound into a terrible growing season this year
Ragoo
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Thread is very quiet today…..
Brewmaster
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Ragoo said:

Thread is very quiet today…..
watching paint dry. I mean VIX and Q's. VIX might dump here, then we get a rally going, 370 by close!
McInnis 03
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Irish 2.0 said:



Note these are opening orders...Not uncertain?
Hey, anything on DT may 50C??

I think I just saw $14MM cross
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