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claym711
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7:47a, 4/22/20
AG
Must be massive hedging in VIX. Market behavior for past couple of weeks does not reflect historic market behavior at VIX >35.
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thirdcoast
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In reply to Exsurge Domine • 7:50a, 4/22/20
AG
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zag213004
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 7:51a, 4/22/20
AG
Timing this aapl call bought yesterday. Do you suggest closing at opening Bell or letting it play out through the day. Part of me thinks it will trends down to fill the gap but I'm a newbie at this so what do I know?
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Talon2DSO
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7:57a, 4/22/20
AG
What are you seeing with SPY?
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oldarmy1
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In reply to zag213004 • 7:58a, 4/22/20
AG
zwhag2010 said:
Timing this aapl call bought yesterday. Do you suggest closing at opening Bell or letting it play out through the day. Part of me thinks it will trends down to fill the gap but I'm a newbie at this so what do I know?


It has the look of an engulfing candle meaning at least a short term reversal upward. $10-15 likely. $275 Calls will be in the money probably in first 30 minutes, so do as you will.

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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to thirdcoast • 7:58a, 4/22/20
AG
He's trying to scare people into dumping. I think he is holding USO $1.5P for 5/15
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DripAG08
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In reply to thirdcoast • 8:04a, 4/22/20
AG
thirdcoast said:


Not disagreeing with him, but he also Tweeted about buying Whiting a few months back....
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McInnis 03
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8:05a, 4/22/20
AG
There was a large amount of USO $2c buying yesterday from what I recall.
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jamaggie06
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In reply to claym711 • 8:05a, 4/22/20
AG
claym711 said:
Must be massive hedging in VIX. Market behavior for past couple of weeks does not reflect historic market behavior at VIX >35.

For those that don't know, the VIX is not a measure of actual market movement or volatility. The VIX is calculated from options prices on SPX (it is the 30-day implied volatility).

http://www.cboe.com/products/vix-index-volatility/vix-options-and-futures/vix-index/vix-faqs#2

Hence, the VIX reflects the markets expectations, and not what the market actually does.
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zag213004
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 8:07a, 4/22/20
AG
Thanks for the insight. I really appreciate it!
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ProgN
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8:14a, 4/22/20
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Carlo4
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8:14a, 4/22/20
AG
Pretty sizable move up pre-market last hour. Any news for this other than the bailout package from yesterday? Marketwatch is saying it's because of Delta and AT&T earnings, which I don't buy.
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ProgN
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8:20a, 4/22/20
DFS chart looks locked, cocked and ready to rock. If earnings aren't abysmal this afternoon, then it looks like it will explode past 40. JMO
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Carlo4
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In reply to ProgN • 8:21a, 4/22/20
AG
Prognightmare said:
DFS chart looks locked, cocked and ready to rock. If earnings aren't abysmal this afternoon, then it looks like it will explode past 40. JMO
Please keep sharing your opinions.
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Charismatic Megafauna
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In reply to ProgN • 8:22a, 4/22/20
AG
I was going to trim some of my weeklies today but on that note I'll hodl!
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McInnis 03
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In reply to ProgN • 8:23a, 4/22/20
AG
Prognightmare said:
DFS chart looks locked, cocked and ready to rock. If earnings aren't abysmal this afternoon, then it looks like it will explode past 40. JMO
FYI, DFS's website says they have an earnings call tomorrow, do we know for sure when the release? TDA blew it and said it was this morning.
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Exsurge Domine
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8:24a, 4/22/20
It looks like my OIL calls I bought for .50 are now $2.57? Maybe I do like cheddarflow
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Exsurge Domine
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In reply to thirdcoast • 8:26a, 4/22/20
thirdcoast said:


He posts constantly every day, mainly weird OTM lottos, he's very quick to post when they explode (which they do) but crickets when he is wrong. I blame him for most of my loss. He had me convinced that USO was going to zero shortly after the bell opened yesterday so I set all my holdings to "sell market" and got torched.
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to Exsurge Domine • 8:26a, 4/22/20
AG
Exsurge Domine said:
It looks like my OIL calls I bought for .50 are now $2.57? Maybe I do like cheddarflow
I think there's a stupid high ask on the option and you're getting a bad number
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ProgN
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 8:27a, 4/22/20
They report after the close today.
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Touchless
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 8:27a, 4/22/20
AG
SPY $278C expiring today. How would you play that? Looks to open in the money, but no clue if it will continue to rise or drop quick.
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Exsurge Domine
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In reply to IrishTxAggie • 8:29a, 4/22/20
IrishTxAggie said:
Exsurge Domine said:
It looks like my OIL calls I bought for .50 are now $2.57? Maybe I do like cheddarflow
I think there's a stupid high ask on the option and you're getting a bad number


That would make more sense
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ProgN
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 8:29a, 4/22/20
McInnis 03 said:
Prognightmare said:
DFS chart looks locked, cocked and ready to rock. If earnings aren't abysmal this afternoon, then it looks like it will explode past 40. JMO
FYI, DFS's website says they have an earnings call tomorrow, do we know for sure when the release? TDA blew it and said it was this morning.
Download the CNBC app and create a watch list with the stocks you're trading or interested in trading. A yellow/orange tag appears under your symbol saying "earnings" if your stock reports that day.
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thirdcoast
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In reply to IrishTxAggie • 8:31a, 4/22/20
AG
IrishTxAggie said:
He's trying to scare people into dumping. I think he is holding USO $1.5P for 5/15


Yeah, I can't help but think a lot of these Twitter wall st guys with big followings are enhancing their positions, especially on small caps.

Legitimately doing what some have accused OA and other "whales" here of doing. I'm certain the ags here are genuine as they post trades and have proven themselves reputable.
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khaos288
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In reply to zag213004 • 8:32a, 4/22/20
AG
zwhag2010 said:
Timing this aapl call bought yesterday. Do you suggest closing at opening Bell or letting it play out through the day. Part of me thinks it will trends down to fill the gap but I'm a newbie at this so what do I know?


I let mine go for a quick for hundred. I just don't trust this market for anything
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E
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In reply to ProgN • 8:32a, 4/22/20
AG
Prognightmare said:
DFS chart looks locked, cocked and ready to rock. If earnings aren't abysmal this afternoon, then it looks like it will explode past 40. JMO
What DFS calls would you eye?
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McInnis 03
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8:34a, 4/22/20
AG
The amount of adjusting on this SNAP 14c stop is FUN

Thanks Irish/Cheddar.
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ProgN
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In reply to E • 8:34a, 4/22/20
I bought the $36.5 yesterday
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E
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In reply to ProgN • 8:36a, 4/22/20
AG
weeklies?
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McInnis 03
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In reply to McInnis 03 • 8:36a, 4/22/20
AG
McInnis 03 said:
The amount of adjusting on this SNAP 14c stop is FUN

Thanks Irish/Cheddar.
Game over, net gain of 30% on the strangle.
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ProgN
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In reply to E • 8:37a, 4/22/20
I went with the 5/15 @ $2.50 yesterday
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oldarmy1
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8:39a, 4/22/20
AG
Need $59 on INTC and shorts will accelerate covering upwards.
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oldarmy1
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In reply to Touchless • 8:40a, 4/22/20
AG
Touchless said:
SPY $278C expiring today. How would you play that? Looks to open in the money, but no clue if it will continue to rise or drop quick.
Go $0.38 $282 calls on the cheap for breakout potential. $38/call for potential $200 per call ROI

Corrected for current price
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McInnis 03
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8:43a, 4/22/20
AG
Serious question......if Netflix is on a reversal, the model T would say $375 is the goto......how do we figure out if we get a reversal?

They've had a month and a half of pure homebodies and they've gotten 2.1MM subscriber additions. Are they maxed out? (stolen question from twitter)
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zag213004
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In reply to khaos288 • 8:43a, 4/22/20
AG
Just sold my call for 51% profit... I'm happy about that.

Thanks oldarmy for the tip!
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