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AgOutsideAustin
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3:36p, 4/8/20
AG
This market blows, haven't bought for awhile now and all this green is not allowing me to catch falling knives..
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ProgN
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In reply to AgOutsideAustin • 3:45p, 4/8/20
AgOutsideAustin said:
This market blows, haven't bought for awhile now and all this green is not allowing me to catch falling knives..
I think you'll get your chance
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azul_rain
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In reply to AgOutsideAustin • 3:46p, 4/8/20
Yep
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Spaceship
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In reply to AgOutsideAustin • 3:54p, 4/8/20
AG
AgOutsideAustin said:
This market blows, haven't bought for awhile now and all this green is not allowing me to catch falling knives..

I'm in the same boat.
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AgOutsideAustin
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3:55p, 4/8/20
AG
Wake me up around Dow 18,200.......
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$30,000 Millionaire
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3:57p, 4/8/20
AG
The only explanations I have for what's happening are: fed printing and technical trading in the absence of fundamentals. I think we'll get a drop to at least 2400, but we'll see.
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12thMan86
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In reply to ProgN • 3:57p, 4/8/20
AG
Prognightmare said:
AgOutsideAustin said:
This market blows, haven't bought for awhile now and all this green is not allowing me to catch falling knives..
I think you'll get your chance
YES, we may not re test the lows for a few weeks. Or next week...but we are going to go back down at some point. The higher we re trace, the more violent the drop will be.
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gougler08
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In reply to AgOutsideAustin • 3:57p, 4/8/20
AG
AgOutsideAustin said:
Wake me up around Dow 18,200.......
Yeah I'm going to go ahead and hope you don't see this happen...I wouldn't mind retesting down to the 20k level though for some buying opportunities
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ProgN
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In reply to gougler08 • 4:00p, 4/8/20
gougler08 said:
AgOutsideAustin said:
Wake me up around Dow 18,200.......
Yeah I'm going to go ahead and hope you don't see this happen...I wouldn't mind retesting down to the 20k level though for some buying opportunities
IMO, if we don't retest lows by 4/24, I don't think we'll go that low again.
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azul_rain
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In reply to AgOutsideAustin • 4:01p, 4/8/20
I too look forward to the bottom
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carguy007
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4:22p, 4/8/20
For those of you using Straddles or Strangles, how long are you waiting to determine market direction?
I sold my calls 30 minutes into day, and missed some big gains today.
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khaos288
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In reply to gig em 02 • 4:27p, 4/8/20
AG
gig em 02 said:
Careful on the politics, don't want to get our resident socialist fired up again, let's focus on making money so he can steal it
Just heard this is supposed to be me.

Please get stars and PM me what you think my political views are. It's hilarious how wrong everyone is when I ask them to do this.
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khaos288
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In reply to ProgN • 4:28p, 4/8/20
AG
Prognightmare said:
gougler08 said:
AgOutsideAustin said:
Wake me up around Dow 18,200.......
Yeah I'm going to go ahead and hope you don't see this happen...I wouldn't mind retesting down to the 20k level though for some buying opportunities
IMO, if we don't retest lows by 4/24, I don't think we'll go that low again.
What are you using for coming up with that time frame? Or just gut feeling?

I do think there's going to be a lot of people who miss out on buying low, but I feel like the timeline is longer. Just a gut feeling for me though.
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ProgN
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In reply to khaos288 • 4:33p, 4/8/20
khaos288 said:
Prognightmare said:
gougler08 said:
AgOutsideAustin said:
Wake me up around Dow 18,200.......
Yeah I'm going to go ahead and hope you don't see this happen...I wouldn't mind retesting down to the 20k level though for some buying opportunities
IMO, if we don't retest lows by 4/24, I don't think we'll go that low again.
What are you using for coming up with that time frame? Or just gut feeling?

I do think there's going to be a lot of people who miss out on buying low, but I feel like the timeline is longer. Just a gut feeling for me though.
The last 2 Thursday new unemployment numbers were abysmal and the market didn't selloff. The 4/24 date takes in the next three and the beginning of earnings season. The unemployment numbers will be bad, as well guidance from the companies that report between now and then. If those 2 factors don't drive us back to retest the lows, then the market has already anticipated all the bad news and is focusing on what comes next. JMO
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In reply to ProgN • 4:41p, 4/8/20
khaos288
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In reply to ProgN • 4:43p, 4/8/20
AG
Nice. Love it. That makes total sense.
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La Bamba
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In reply to 12thMan86 • 4:45p, 4/8/20
AG
12thMan86 said:
Prognightmare said:
AgOutsideAustin said:
This market blows, haven't bought for awhile now and all this green is not allowing me to catch falling knives..
I think you'll get your chance
YES, we may not re test the lows for a few weeks. Or next week...but we are going to go back down at some point. The higher we re trace, the more violent the drop will be.

See I disagree. I think the higher we go and the longer it takes to "re-test", the "higher" the re-test will be.

Time is the fix to our issue. Time to flatten the curve, time to find vaccination/therapeutic solutions and time to re-start the economy. The longer we linger grinding up, the lower the probability that we go down to the 220 SPY levels.
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CheladaAg
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4:47p, 4/8/20
AG
DIS throwing a party aftermarket...nice sub numbers.
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jh0400
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In reply to carguy007 • 4:56p, 4/8/20
AG
It depends. I use them to supplement an underlying long position in the SPY, and I like to buy them a few days out. In this market where I'm paying a premium for volatility I actually like to write out of the money options in the direction and put in an order to close them out at or near max profit.
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to [removed post] • 4:57p, 4/8/20
AG
In the same breath, Barrons had an article as to why this could be a trap. Barrons is just a Drudge Report of the financial world. Articles from all sorts of POVs
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Touchless
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In reply to IrishTxAggie • 5:07p, 4/8/20
AG
Where you at the end of the market?! We were waiting for you to tell us which way it was going to go! Afraid of ruining your two day streak?!
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oldarmy1
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In reply to CheladaAg • 5:10p, 4/8/20
AG
boyz05 said:
DIS throwing a party aftermarket...nice sub numbers.


Who bought the $115 April 17th with me?
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AgCPA95
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 5:15p, 4/8/20
AG
oldarmy1 said:
boyz05 said:
DIS throwing a party aftermarket...nice sub numbers.


Who bought the $115 April 17th with me?
I did and THANK YOU.
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Touchless
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In reply to CheladaAg • 5:21p, 4/8/20
AG
boyz05 said:
DIS throwing a party aftermarket...nice sub numbers.

OA calling it again???

Quote:
Youn guys also know that strategy of buying out of the money calls as a potential pivot point. I bought DIS April 17 $115 calls just in case it happens. $0.42 against dollars of gains per call option is a no brainer.

Quote:
Give this man a CEEEE-GAR

Now take 5% of whatever profits you made and buy DIS Apr 17th $115's for $0.35 (no more than this) as your fun money opportunity trade.

I'm not touching weekly on DIS again
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Touchless
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 5:22p, 4/8/20
AG
I grabbed a whopping 10 of them. What's the exit on this so I know how to play it? lol
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to Touchless • 5:27p, 4/8/20
AG
Touchless said:
Where you at the end of the market?! We were waiting for you to tell us which way it was going to go! Afraid of ruining your two day streak?!


Quit while I'm ahead.
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AggiePeeps06
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 5:32p, 4/8/20
AG
I'm in on those and the 106!
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thirdcoast
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In reply to Carlo4 • 5:36p, 4/8/20
AG
Carlo4 said:
Going to admit i didn't sell my late morning SDOW when I should have today and took a little loss. My gut tells me, where we are now, to keep it for Thursday.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckjones/2020/04/08/thursdays-unemployment-claims-could-match-last-weeks-66-million/#68ed29425fcf

Projected between 6 and 6.6 million again tomorrow. April unemployment projected to be at least 17% once the next two weeks of data (not including tomorrow) are in the system. March was 4.4%


Keep SDOW or average down with more this week and ride it up the second half of April.
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BB675
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5:38p, 4/8/20
AG
If you could only pick one stock to hold for the next 6-12 months what would it be?
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ProgN
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5:39p, 4/8/20
That 50 million sub number that DIS just posted probably bodes well for ROKU.
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to BB675 • 5:41p, 4/8/20
AG
BB675 said:
If you could only pick one stock to hold for the next 6-12 months what would it be?


Are divorce attorneys publicly traded?
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Grown Pear
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In reply to BB675 • 5:44p, 4/8/20
AG
BB675 said:
If you could only pick one stock to hold for the next 6-12 months what would it be?
VTI only because that's a cop-out.

But seriously VTI.... or DIS or MSFT or AMZN
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Brewmaster
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In reply to BB675 • 5:46p, 4/8/20
AG
BB675 said:
If you could only pick one stock to hold for the next 6-12 months what would it be?
SPXL - a leveraged ETF, buy the next dip and let it rip
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FrioAg 00
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In reply to BB675 • 5:46p, 4/8/20
AG
Clorox.

Zero downside and some upside, given the short window you've addressed for a buy and hold strategy.
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Shiner Bock
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In reply to FrioAg 00 • 5:53p, 4/8/20
FrioAg 00 said:
Clorox.

Zero downside and some upside, given the short window you've addressed for a buy and hold strategy.


Zero downside? Beg to differ. Once pandemic subsides, id bet this retreats.
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