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***Metroplex Winter 2024-2025 Thread***

27,931 Views | 295 Replies | Last: 8 min ago by Double Diamond
Matsui
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Where do you get this model updates and how can i follow along?
akaggie05
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This thread is my usual go-to in these events...

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=22&t=124266&sid=f86b860f539eef7a44a8740d06a9c5ab&start=3100
bert harbinson
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Go to Storm2k, Texas Winter 2024-2025. Good info there, and the knee jerk reactions to each new model run are quite entertaining.
The Shank Ag
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Predicted transition/freezing line moving north? Us Johnson County peeps would prefer it not… give me flakes, not pellets or rain
FTAG 2000
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Matsui said:

Where do you get this model updates and how can i follow along?

Best place to follow is probably here:

https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=22&t=124266&start=3100

If you really want to dig on models, https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php (this is a massive rabbit hole and time suck).

riverrataggie
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The Shank Ag said:

Predicted transition/freezing line moving north? Us Johnson County peeps would prefer it not… give me flakes, not pellets or rain


Agreed. I'd rather be 28 and snowing than this 30-32 crap.
plain_o_llama
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Here is a record to avoid or shoot for depending on your personal cost/benefit analysis.....

https://www.weather.gov/fwd/1929snow
The Collective
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I don't think it will be cold enough to worry about the pool freezing. I'm covering equipment to keep ice/snow off of it (just in case), otherwise, I'm letting it ride. I'm zoned with schools / the local fire station and lost power for a whole 20 minutes during Uri.
East Dallas Ag
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akaggie05
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It's officially going down now.

riverrataggie
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The Collective said:

I don't think it will be cold enough to worry about the pool freezing. I'm covering equipment to keep ice/snow off of it (just in case), otherwise, I'm letting it ride. I'm zoned with schools / the local fire station and lost power for a whole 20 minutes during Uri.


As of right now I'm with you. But if it drops between 25-28 then I'm draining it. But as long as it stays 30 as low Thursday through Friday then I'll cover equipment to keep snow off it.
Ag CPA
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Cotton Bowl is going to be a ****show.
zag213004
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Ag CPA said:

Cotton Bowl is going to be a ****show.


If this screws up the tsips then good. Eff'em
bagger05
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F the sips regardless of whether this impacts the Cotton Bowl.
Naveronski
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Wife is supposed to fly out (from DFW) Wednesday morning and back Thursday morning.

Odds of significant delays/cancellations/rerouting to a different airport? I'm saying 100%.
Matsui
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100%
BR 12
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Need to do a day trip to Austin on Wednesday. Think flights will be fine for like a 7-6 trip or should I plan on driving?
rsf0626
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Pete Delkus predicting 2-5"

Others saying a foot. Idk who to believe
rsf0626
Absolute
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rsf0626 said:

Pete Delkus predicting 2-5"

Others saying a foot. Idk who to believe


Don't the news guys always try to be conservative on their estimates?

I noticed both Dellkus and the cbs guy were say 2 to 5 but seemed to be doing a LOT of qualifying about it still being two days away and models and predictions changing.

I got the impression they are sure dfw will be a "hotspot". But they really cannot know how hot because so much depends on a degree or two up or down and a few miles an hour one way or the other for the pressure systems.
Matsui
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Wednesday looks fine. Thursday looks like a complete shut down
AW 1880
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AW 1880
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Ol Jock 99
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This is the ONLY weekend I could go deer hunting and now the whole effing North Texas area is going to be snowed under.
Ark03
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Ol Jock 99 said:

This is the ONLY weekend I could go deer hunting and now the whole effing North Texas area is going to be snowed under.


Sounds like a perfect weekend to go deer hunting! I just got back from this weekend, and I'll go out the weekend after, but dang I wish I could be out this weekend too. Starting on Thursday.
oldag941
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Sounds like the perfect time to go deer hunting.
Hincemm
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Absolute said:

rsf0626 said:

Pete Delkus predicting 2-5"

Others saying a foot. Idk who to believe


Don't the news guys always try to be conservative on their estimates?



I've always thought it was the opposite. They tend to overblow things. Maybe just me though.

Ol Jock 99
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oldag941 said:

Sounds like the perfect time to go deer hunting.

Assuming you can get out of town.
oldag941
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Pre-position Wednesday. For your safety…..which the family should appreciate and support.
wangus12
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Hincemm said:

Absolute said:

rsf0626 said:

Pete Delkus predicting 2-5"

Others saying a foot. Idk who to believe


Don't the news guys always try to be conservative on their estimates?



I've always thought it was the opposite. They tend to overblow things. Maybe just me though.




Maybe ol Pete is being conservative since he's overblown it so many times
Danny Vermin
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It does seem that everytime we have a big game in winter time, we have crapoy weather. With that, I fully expect the city to shut down sometime Thursday afternoon.
Absolute
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wangus12 said:

Hincemm said:

Absolute said:

rsf0626 said:

Pete Delkus predicting 2-5"

Others saying a foot. Idk who to believe


Don't the news guys always try to be conservative on their estimates?



I've always thought it was the opposite. They tend to overblow things. Maybe just me though.




Maybe ol Pete is being conservative since he's overblown it so many times


For thunderstorms absolutely. Just feels like they miss snow and ice on the low side when it actually happens. They lean to the conservative models ( I have learned all about these things on these threads!)

But I could be wrong. Getting old over here.
hbc07
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From the discussions on storm2k, it seems as if the snow possibilities are plummeting.
Silvertaps
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hbc07 said:

From the discussions on storm2k, it seems as if the snow possibilities are plummeting.

I was reading that as well…seems most of the larger accumulation will be east of DFW. However, they are still showing 6ish inches in the metroplex, which is still a lot!
PatAg
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we'll see
Ag CPA
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Now mostly a mix in DFW on Thursday with temps above freezing and snow overnight per Fox4.
 
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