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***Metroplex Winter 2024-2025 Thread***

86,367 Views | 896 Replies | Last: 3 min ago by drewser95
planoaggie123
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Yea the increasing winter weather is giving me something to think about....cold with warmups is one thing...cold w/ snow accumulation is another....ready for summer....
aggiesherpa
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Interesting. Even the weather app saying we will get 6-7 inches of snow on Friday says the low will be 33.
riverrataggie
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Still seeing the lowest high being 38. Then Thursday the low being 29 with snow showers. Y'all can do what you want. But nothing freezes above 28 if it's in the ground or attached to a house.
FTAG 2000
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National Weather Service mets now talking about a potential winter storm for north Texas the end of the week.

But hey what do they know?
2wealfth Man
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FTAG 2000 said:

National Weather Service mets now talking about a potential winter storm for north Texas the end of the week.

But hey what do they know?
the highs keep showing as well above freezing, something is not correlating
FTAG 2000
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The locals and the apps haven't updated temps. Give it another day.
J.P. 03
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Holding out hope for a huge snowstorm Thursday/Friday so we can hit the trifecta of embarrassing Jerry Jones, preventing an invasion of Ohio State fans, and icing over I-35 to keep the burnt orange mob out of our beautiful city. Is that too much to ask?
Fitch
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Well the models have gone bananas. Probably too far out still, but if this holds through the next 48 hours then could be quite the event. Or not. We shall see!





fc2112
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Front just came through Arlington. Wind is howling.
FTAG 2000
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Overnight model runs have a spread of outcomes -

10% show no precip at all for north Texas
10% show no winter precip, just really cold rain (2-3 inches of it)
15% show icemageddon starting Wednesday evening
65% show snow, with anywhere from 1 to 7.5 inches of accumulation

mAgnoliAg
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We fly to DC from Love Field Friday at 2
clobby
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might be a little bumpy
riverrataggie
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mAgnoliAg said:

We fly to DC from Love Field Friday at 2


Friday by two weather should be fine, but Thursday looks like it's gonna be a slushy fun time. 30 as low and 35 as high with good amount of all three forms of precipitation.

That said, things could shift 12 hours easily I imagine. I'd be prepared mentally to fly late Friday or first thing Saturday.
duck79
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Everything I've seen mentions heavy snow not ice which is a huge difference. Is everyone seeing the same?
Coates
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mAgnoliAg said:

We fly to DC from Love Field Friday at 2


I'm scheduled to land at dfw Thursday at 9:30 pm, may need to come home a day early
Garrelli 5000
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Scheduled to fly into DFW from Houston on Thursday about 6pm. Hopefully the picture is clear by Wednesday AM if I should cancel my flight to Houston that afternoon.
riverrataggie
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duck79 said:

Everything I've seen mentions heavy snow not ice which is a huge difference. Is everyone seeing the same?


Likely depends where you are. Big difference I imagine between nw tarant and SE Dallas counties. Couple degree shift here and there would be difference between winter wonderland and slushy nasty mess.
Fitch
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aggiesherpa
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Another one of his tweets says one model shows no snow for DFW. So anywhere between 0 and 15". I'd be okay with the median of 5", I really hope we don't get 15".
bagger05
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Still plenty of these on the shelf at the Skillman Home Depot. I use them on my spigots and they work great.

https://www.freezemiser.com/
Tom Cardy
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bagger05 said:

Still plenty of these on the shelf at the Skillman Home Depot. I use them on my spigots and they work great.

https://www.freezemiser.com/

Note that if you have older or faulty hose bibs, these will not work and instead cause water to leak out of the spigot handle. Technically the same end result, but less controlled and could end up costing you a lot in water depending on flow.
FTAG 2000
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duck79 said:

Everything I've seen mentions heavy snow not ice which is a huge difference. Is everyone seeing the same?


Yes the majority of the models have us with snow accumulations. 65% of them from the overnight runs.

Biggest risk for ice is south of DFW towards Austin, Waco.
FTAG 2000
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National blend of models. This is one of the National weather service's primary forecasting tools.
aggiesherpa
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Thank you for all of the info you have been posting!
Malachi Constant
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In McKinney. Wind is whipping like crazy this evening.
riverrataggie
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aggiesherpa said:

Thank you for all of the info you have been posting!


Agreed. It's interesting to see all these models.
duck79
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Yea this wind is rough. I'm ready for it to calm down.
FTAG 2000
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Sweet Jesus. Evening model runs are out...

Highs Thursday and Friday in mid to upper 20s. And...

90% plus chance of greater than 3" accumulation, 70-80% of 6" plus.
planoaggie123
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Pool running for the next few days but that will likely have me shut down everything on Tuesday afternoon or Wednesday afternoon.
zag213004
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Is there a site where these models are being displayed?
planoaggie123
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Go to storm2k. Then go to "active topics" and find the Texas winter thread.

A lot of maps and stuff that makes no sense to me lol but get just enough clear info to plan ahead.
ftworthag02
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foulbeast
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planoaggie123 said:

Go to storm2k. Then go to "active topics" and find the Texas winter thread.

A lot of maps and stuff that makes no sense to me lol but get just enough clear info to plan ahead.

Just a warning - that thread has ups and downs similar to a football game day thread. Models run every few hours and elation or meltdown follows depending on what the models show.
aezmvp
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planoaggie123 said:

Go to storm2k. Then go to "active topics" and find the Texas winter thread.

A lot of maps and stuff that makes no sense to me lol but get just enough clear info to plan ahead.
There is a link a page or two back for the thread, just jump to the last page. To see what they're talking about on the maps read the top left and that's usually the general idea and then it will get into the weeds of this model on this run but 7 day snowfall forecast is pretty up front for what they're talking about.
FTAG 2000
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foulbeast said:

planoaggie123 said:

Go to storm2k. Then go to "active topics" and find the Texas winter thread.

A lot of maps and stuff that makes no sense to me lol but get just enough clear info to plan ahead.

Just a warning - that thread has ups and downs similar to a football game day thread. Models run every few hours and elation or meltdown follows depending on what the models show.



Perfect description.

That thread is an Aggie football game thread by another topic.
 
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