nortex97 said:
I would concede your point in some blue states such as Virginia (not sure they have any US Rep seats that are real battlegrounds on the old maps there), but not in the real battleground ones that matter imho.Hard to argue the polls are wrong when the early vote data confirms GOP turnout has cratered. The enthusiasm gap here is just astonishing.
— Christian Heiens 🏛 (@ChristianHeiens) September 26, 2026
Is it going to be this bad across the entire country? Possibly not. Virginia is now substantially to the Left of America as a whole, so a…
For an election that I consider pretty darn important, I think turnout is likely not going to be net as high as expected, tbf. This is why the rallies/spend etc. matter. JD Vance going to Harlingen as such makes sense, for example.
Yes…but Vance doing rallies in Kansas is indicative of the larger issue (Motivated Dems/De-Motivated Rs)…and considering the lingering issues of Iran, diesel, et al…rallies may not help (but are the only thing they can do).