Protests Erupt across Iran

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Tailgate88
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Rex Racer said:

Tailgate88 said:

boulderaggie said:

Almost as if Khamenei's acting like he's got a card up his sleeve - keeps poking the bear to provoke an action so he can play his card.


He's looking forward to 72 virgins. Surprise coming.

I never understood the appeal of this. Once you bed them all, none of them are virgins anymore. Then what are you going to do for the rest of eternity???


I don't know man, but if all you'd ever banged before were goats and camels you might look at things differently.
trip
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Almost certain that we are finding who we can pay off for information on high ups where abouts just like Venezuela. When we find all the pieces, we strike.
TRM
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Quote:


(Reuters) - Satellite images show that Iran has recently built a concrete shield over a new facility at a sensitive military site and covered it in soil, experts say, advancing work at a location reportedly bombed by Israel in 2024 amid tensions with the U.S.

Images also show that Iran has buried tunnel entrances at a nuclear site bombed by the U.S. during Israel's 12-day war with Iran last year, fortified tunnel entrances near another, and has repaired missile bases struck in the conflict.

They offer a glimpse of Iranian activities at some of the sites at the centre of tensions with Israel and the U.S., as Washington seeks to negotiate a deal with Tehran on its nuclear programme while threatening military action if talks fail.

Here are some images showing the changes:

PARCHIN MILITARY COMPLEX

Some 30 km (20 miles) southeast of Tehran, the Parchin complex is one of Iran's most sensitive military sites. Western intelligence has suggested Tehran carried out tests relevant to nuclear bomb detonations there more than two decades ago.

Iran has always denied seeking atomic weapons.

Israel reportedly struck Parchin in October 2024.

Satellite imagery taken before and after that attack shows extensive damage to a rectangular building at Parchin, and apparent reconstruction in images from November 6, 2024.

Imagery from October 12, 2025 shows development at the site, with the skeleton of a new structure visible and two smaller structures adjacent to it. Progress is apparent in imagery from November 14, with what appears to be a metallic roof covering the large structure.

But imagery from December 13 shows the facility partly covered. By February 16, it cannot be seen at all, hidden by what experts say is a concrete structure.

The Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS), in a January 22 analysis of satellite imagery, pointed to progress in the construction of a "concrete sarco****us" around a newly built facility at the site, which it identified as Taleghan 2.

ISIS reported in November that imagery showed "ongoing construction and the presence of what appears to resemble a long, cylindrical chamber, maybe a high-explosives containment vessel, likely measuring approximately 36 meters long and 12 meters in diameter placed inside a building".

"High-explosive containment vessels are critical to the development of nuclear weapons," ISIS added, "but can also be used in many other conventional weapons development processes."

William Goodhind, a forensic imagery analyst with Contested Ground, said the roof had a similar hue to the surrounding area, adding: "It has most likely been covered with dirt to obscure the concrete colour."

ISIS founder David Albright wrote on X: "Stalling the negotiations has its benefits: Over the last two to three weeks, Iran has been busy burying the new Taleghan 2 facility ... More soil is available and the facility may soon become a fully unrecognizable bunker, providing significant protection from aerial strikes."

TUNNEL ENTRANCES BURIED AT ISFAHAN NUCLEAR COMPLEX

The Isfahan complex is one of three Iranian uranium-enrichment plants bombed by the United States in June.

In addition to facilities that are part of the nuclear fuel cycle, Isfahan includes an underground area where diplomats say much of Iran's enriched uranium has been stored.

Satellite images taken in late January showed new efforts to bury two tunnel entrances at the complex, ISIS reported on January 29. In a February 9 update, ISIS said a third entrance had also been backfilled with soil, meaning all entrances to the tunnel complex were now "completely buried".

A February 10 image shows all three tunnels buried, Goodhind said.

ISIS reported on February 9 that "backfilling the tunnel entrances would help dampen any potential airstrike and also make ground access in a special forces raid to seize or destroy any highly enriched uranium that may be housed inside difficult".

TUNNEL ENTRANCES FORTIFIED AT COMPLEX NEAR NATANZ SITE

ISIS has reported that satellite images point to ongoing efforts since February 10 to "harden and defensively strengthen" two entrances to a tunnel complex under a mountain some 2 km (1.2 miles) from Natanz - the site that holds Iran's other two uranium enrichment plants.

Imagery shows "ongoing activity throughout the complex related to this effort, involving the movement of numerous vehicles, including dump trucks, cement mixers, and other heavy equipment", ISIS wrote.

Iran's plans for the facility, called Pickaxe Mountain, are unclear, ISIS said.

SHIRAZ SOUTH MISSILE BASE

About 10 km (6 miles) south of Shiraz in southern Iran, this is one of 25 primary bases capable of launching medium-range ballistic missiles, according to Alma Research and Education Center, an Israeli organisation. Alma assessed the site had suffered light, above-ground damage in last year's war.

A comparison of images taken on July 3, 2025 and January 30 shows reconstruction and clearance efforts at the main logistics and likely command compound at the base, Goodhind said.

"The key takeaway is that the compound has yet to return to its full operational capacity from prior to the airstrikes."

QOM MISSILE BASE

Some 40 km north of the city of Qom, this base suffered moderate above-ground damage, according to Alma.

A comparison of images taken between July 16, 2025, and February 1 shows a new roof over a damaged building. The roof repairs appear to have begun on November 17 and were most likely complete 10 days later, Goodhind said.

txags92
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Another conga line of tankers heading up the east coast towards Europe and a few more headed out from the midwest and west that appear to be headed that way as well. Bunch of C-17s from Lakeheath and Ramstein making runs to Cyprus as well, presumably with maintenance and weaponry for the fighters and other assets that headed that way previously. We are assembling a huge amount of air power over there if we plan to do nothing. Have to think the Mullah's days are numbered in single or very low double digits at this point.
JB!98
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It makes me wonder what the logistical tail is like to maintain 5th generation aircraft away from their main base? I have no idea, but it seems like it would be more than just a standard F-16. We seem to have a good number of F-35's and F-22's that are in the area.
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Tailgate88
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I guess they think they can pour enough concrete to protect themselves from a GBU-57B. We'll see. I wouldn't want to be around to find out in person.








Also I was today years old when I learned (while Google image searching) that BBC News has a version in Pidgin. (Yes this is a real screenshot.)

HalifaxAg
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With all this delaying, I worry that a Russia or China gives Iran munitions capable of sinking a carrier. Some sort of mini-nuke secret weapon or a suit case bomb delivered via small high speed drone. The Iranians must know this attack is coming and are crazy enough to try something.
lb sand
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I'm going to try to set my default language to "pidgin" on my laptop.
The Sun
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HalifaxAg said:

With all this delaying, I worry that a Russia or China gives Iran munitions capable of sinking a carrier. Some sort of mini-nuke secret weapon or a suit case bomb delivered via small high speed drone. The Iranians must know this attack is coming and are crazy enough to try something.


Not gonna happen.
YouBet
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lol. WTF.
txags92
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Reminds me of going to the Honolulu Zoo during a layover on the way to Maui in the late 80s and seeing a sign on one of the exhibits saying "This Exhibit Closed Because it is All Jam Up". I always assumed that was the pidgin translation.
74OA
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The USS Ford CBG is now transiting the Med. I imagine its arrival in the AOR will be the final piece needed to initiate hostilities.

FORD

It would be nice to have a clear official explanation of our objectives and why force is necessary to achieve them.

WHY?
nortex97
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The answer to your second question is plainly obvious; to announce clear objectives/justification in advance would be to both confirm the attacks are coming (and likely when), as well as what facilities are most likely to be struck first/when etc. Seeking a fresh AUMF and the political drama the Democrats would universally make of their tears for the mullah's would be a waste of time as well. Clinton didn't announce ahead of time when he was bombing a baby milk factory, nor did Obama when droning American citizens.

It's elucidating to see our real enemies foreign and domestic come out of the woodwork already though (notably Starmer's party worked to support Kamala's presidential campaign, and met with John Brennan/Obama recently).


I disagree with the presumption that a second CSG was needed for the operation, but the massive logistical movements to the region are unmistakable and seemingly fairly complete at this time, complete with THAAD/Patriot ADA units and the removal of diplomatic staffers/families etc.
4
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HalifaxAg said:

With all this delaying, I worry that a Russia or China gives Iran munitions capable of sinking a carrier. Some sort of mini-nuke secret weapon or a suit case bomb delivered via small high speed drone. The Iranians must know this attack is coming and are crazy enough to try something.

The Chinese and the Russians are many things, but stupid isn't one of them.
agent-maroon
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I'm confused... thought I read that we were allowed to use Diego Garcia, but is that not the case?

Edit - finally took the time to read up on this and stand corrected. Corrected and amazed at Britainistan's stupidity. SMH
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GAC06
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nortex97 said:

The answer to your second question is plainly obvious; to announce clear objectives/justification in advance would be to both confirm the attacks are coming (and likely when), as well as what facilities are most likely to be struck first/when etc. Seeking a fresh AUMF and the political drama the Democrats would universally make of their tears for the mullah's would be a waste of time as well. Clinton didn't announce ahead of time when he was bombing a baby milk factory, nor did Obama when droning American citizens.

It's elucidating to see our real enemies foreign and domestic come out of the woodwork already though (notably Starmer's party worked to support Kamala's presidential campaign, and met with John Brennan/Obama recently).


I disagree with the presumption that a second CSG was needed for the operation, but the massive logistical movements to the region are unmistakable and seemingly fairly complete at this time, complete with THAAD/Patriot ADA units and the removal of diplomatic staffers/families etc.


How can I add credibility to this tweet? Oh how about a stupid AI pic of an F-35 crossed with a B-2 flying over a tiny island that in no way resembles Diego Garcia? Nailed it.
nortex97
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He desperately wants to give it to China (Mauritius) but we can't use it in the meantime despite the treaty saying otherwise? I didn't think I needed to address the silly graphic, but whatever.

Meanwhile, he is trying to evict Chagossians, being the clown that he is (not on Diego Garcia, which was uninhabited when the Brits got there btw).

The whole betrayal, ostensibly to pacify his London/moslem base is insane. British intelligence and political leadership are an enemy of the American people, and should be treated as such, not just over this latest episode regarding Iran.
MagnumLoad
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txags92 said:

Another conga line of tankers heading up the east coast towards Europe and a few more headed out from the midwest and west that appear to be headed that way as well. Bunch of C-17s from Lakeheath and Ramstein making runs to Cyprus as well, presumably with maintenance and weaponry for the fighters and other assets that headed that way previously. We are assembling a huge amount of air power over there if we plan to do nothing. Have to think the Mullah's days are numbered in single or very low double digits at this point.


They are sure that allah has their back
boulderaggie
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Starmer's UK is no friend to us.
Phat32
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Popping off?

agent-maroon
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Why do the gas leak explosions always happen in the days & hours before an invasion?
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Hubert J. Farnsworth
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agent-maroon said:

Why do the gas leak explosions always happen in the days & hours before an invasion?


Maybe we have moles in there causing chaos.
agent-maroon
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Yeah, maybe
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nortex97
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Iranian universities somehow had more protesters out and about over the past 18 or so hours I see:

Gaeilge
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Modi is in Israel on Wednesday with Bibi. I can't see Trump launching any sort of offensive while Modi is in Israel. Too much liability and exposure on collateral damage.

I 100% don't believe Iran could strike in a way that would affect Modi, but still not worth the risk IMO.

agent-maroon
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Quote:

Modi is in Israel on Wednesday with Bibi. I can't see Trump launching any sort of offensive while Modi is in Israel. Too much liability and exposure on collateral damage.

I 100% don't believe Iran could strike in a way that would affect Modi, but still not worth the risk IMO.

If Iran could get anywhere close to the Israeli Prime Minister and/or a foreign dignitary, then it would have happened long, long ago. But you may be correct from a philosophy of an abundance of caution.
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Gaeilge
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Big if true

HalifaxAg
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Olympics are over, time for a full send.
jbeaman88
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Ramadan isn't though and the Ford CSG is still on the way.
Tailgate88
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jbeaman88 said:

Ramadan isn't though and the Ford CSG is still on the way.


Is it?

jbeaman88
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To clarify, I meant to the Arabian Gulf, which I assumed would be the more ideal position for operations against Iran.
4
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jbeaman88 said:

Ramadan isn't though and the Ford CSG is still on the way.

Who gives a damn if Ramadan isn't over. We're going there to kill them.

We need drop as many bodies as possible during their little holy month to make a point.

They wouldn't hesitate to attack us on Easter or Christmas.
aggiehawg
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jbeaman88 said:

Ramadan isn't though and the Ford CSG is still on the way.

if in the Med, close enough for the air assets at minimum.
txags92
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4 said:

jbeaman88 said:

Ramadan isn't though and the Ford CSG is still on the way.

Who gives a damn if Ramadan isn't over. We're going there to kill them.

We need drop as many bodies as possible during their little holy month to make a point.

They wouldn't hesitate to attack us on Easter or Christmas.

If they are there to help the Israelis shoot down drones and missiles from an Iranian counterattack, being in the Med is probably better than the Gulf.
GAC06
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aggiehawg said:

jbeaman88 said:

Ramadan isn't though and the Ford CSG is still on the way.

if in the Med, close enough for the air assets at minimum.


Middle of the med to Iran is like a six hour flight each way
 
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