Morning Consult trying to save their reputation
AggieUSMC said:Morning Consult trying to save their reputationWaffledynamics said:
What the heck?Final @MorningConsult poll:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 3, 2024
Wisconsin: Trump +1
Pennsylvania: Tied
Arizona: Tied
Florida: Trump +5
Georgia: Trump +2
Michigan: Harris +1
North Carolina: Trump +2
Ohio: Trump +9
Texas: Trump +7 https://t.co/RtRxMhhuiF
AggieUSMC said:The polls would have reflected that a few months ago then.Dan Scott said:
Iowa enacted their 6 week abortion ban a few months ago. Maybe that has created a bunch of young woman voters
Philip J Fry said:
Emerson released a poll from Iowa yesterday with Trump up 10
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/november-2024-iowa-poll-trump-53-harris-43/
#NEW FINAL NATIONAL poll
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 3, 2024
🔴 Trump: 47% (+1)
🔵 Harris: 46%
🟡 RFK: 1%
🟢 Stein: 1%
🟣 Oliver: 1%
NBC News | 10/30-11/2 | N=1,000RV
If Trump is up 1 point nationally it will be a landslide. Don't forget Hillary was up 5 points in 2016 and Biden up 9 points in 2020.aggiehawg said:#NEW FINAL NATIONAL poll
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 3, 2024
🔴 Trump: 47% (+1)
🔵 Harris: 46%
🟡 RFK: 1%
🟢 Stein: 1%
🟣 Oliver: 1%
NBC News | 10/30-11/2 | N=1,000RV
Take it for what it’s worth: Source of mine who heads political affairs at a major Wall Street firm — and can’t stand Trump—says his numbers show Trump winning and GOP getting 53 seats in senate given latest polling momentum
— Charles Gasparino (@CGasparino) November 3, 2024
Prosperdick said:If Trump is up 1 point nationally it will be a landslide. Don't forget Hillary was up 5 points in 2016 and Biden up 9 points in 2020.aggiehawg said:#NEW FINAL NATIONAL poll
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 3, 2024
🔴 Trump: 47% (+1)
🔵 Harris: 46%
🟡 RFK: 1%
🟢 Stein: 1%
🟣 Oliver: 1%
NBC News | 10/30-11/2 | N=1,000RV
Wall Street-smart money.SECond2noneAgs said:
I trust the money guys, they don't see red or blue, only green
aggiehawg said:Wall Street-smart money.SECond2noneAgs said:
I trust the money guys, they don't see red or blue, only green
Betting sites-dumb money.
And I would add one more thing here, since this is the polling thread. Wall Street players hire their own private polls but don't publicize them. For their internal use only. And they pay good money for accuracy.
The term internal polls applies to PACs, individuals and businesses such as the firms on Wall Street, not just the campaigns. There's a lot more internal polling than is commonly known.Quote:
Similar to the campaigns themselves then with their internal polls. That's why the Selzer poll screams electioneering as neither candidate has made Iowa a priority from a rally standpoint.
📊 Final National Poll by Yahoo/YouGov among likely voters
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 3, 2024
2-WAY
🟦 Harris: 49%
🟥 Trump: 48%
FULL FIELD
🟦 Harris: 48%
🟥 Trump: 48%
🟩 Stein: 1%
⬜ Other: 1%
#4 (3.0/3.0) | 10/29-31 | Likely voters pic.twitter.com/h5V0xEC27l
#New General election Tracking poll
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 3, 2024
🔴 Trump 49% (+1)
🔵 Harris 48%
Tipp #A+ - LV - 11/2 pic.twitter.com/3GX8j6FoIo
NEW @SienaResearch / @nytimes poll:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 3, 2024
NORTH CAROLINA
Harris 48% (+3)
Trump 45%
Stein 0%
West 0%
Oliver 0%
.
NEVADA
Harris 48% (+2)
Trump 46%
Oliver 2%
.
WISCONSIN
Harris 48% (+3)
Trump 45%
Stein 1%
West 0%
Oliver 0%
.
GEORGIA
Harris 46%
Trump 46%
Oliver 2%
Stein 0%
West 0%
.… https://t.co/voRYyx3mVF
NEW @SienaResearch / @nytimes Senate poll:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 3, 2024
NEVADA
Jacky Rosen (D-inc) 52% (+9)
Sam Brown (R) 43%
.
ARIZONA
Ruben Gallego (D) 50% (+5)
Kari Lake (R) 45%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
Bob Casey (D-Inc) 50% (+5)
David McCormick (R) 45%
.
WISCONSIN
Tammy Baldwin (D-Inc) 50% (+4)
Eric Hovde (R) 46%… https://t.co/voRYyx3ULd
National @YouGovAmerica / @YahooNews poll, Among likely voters:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 3, 2024
Harris 49% (+1)
Trump 48%
.
Harris 48%
Trump 48%
Stein 1%
West 0%
Oliver 0%
1,074 LV, 10/29-31https://t.co/XzWXuCqSU1 https://t.co/RD18fYxMHr
PENNSYLVANIA
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 3, 2024
Muhlenberg College poll:
Harris 49% (+2)
Trump 47%@muhlenberg_poll, 460 LV, 10/27-30https://t.co/1EI5ioARRV
National @ActiVoteUS poll:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 3, 2024
Trump 51% (+1)
Harris 50%
1,000 LV, 10/27-11/2https://t.co/xrRPVGn46d pic.twitter.com/I0jtbUcBb8
Here are today’s campaign stops…
— kevin smith (@kevin_smith45) November 3, 2024
Notice anything? pic.twitter.com/nwejoWoGCH
OldArmy71 said:
Yeah, I saw that NYT poll this morning.
That does not look good for Trump at all.
The accompanying article claims that late voters are breaking for Harris.
I won't address point 1 because mods made it clear not to discuss it, only polls.TexAgsSean said:Prosperdick said:If Trump is up 1 point nationally it will be a landslide. Don't forget Hillary was up 5 points in 2016 and Biden up 9 points in 2020.aggiehawg said:#NEW FINAL NATIONAL poll
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 3, 2024
🔴 Trump: 47% (+1)
🔵 Harris: 46%
🟡 RFK: 1%
🟢 Stein: 1%
🟣 Oliver: 1%
NBC News | 10/30-11/2 | N=1,000RV
The two questions are:
1) How much will the left cheat
2) Did pollsters finally fix their formula after underestimating him in 2016 and 2020
Would have been hilarious if Trump had a stop in New Jersey but I doubt their internal polling suggests he has a reasonable chance in that state but the fact that it's a discussion point is VERY telling.aggiehawg said:Here are today’s campaign stops…
— kevin smith (@kevin_smith45) November 3, 2024
Notice anything? pic.twitter.com/nwejoWoGCH
No one in Iowa. But Vance in NH?
No, it makes perfect sense. https://t.co/ZMpoYra4qh
— DataRepublican (small r) (@DataRepublican) November 3, 2024
aggiehawg said:
Confess I missed this nugget.No, it makes perfect sense. https://t.co/ZMpoYra4qh
— DataRepublican (small r) (@DataRepublican) November 3, 2024
I think they canceled Biden from doing another PA rally but she only has one event all day today. She had time to fit in an appearance in PA today, too.Quote:
That is misleading because all 3 of her stops on Monday are in PA.