Ag with kids said:
Manhattan said:
So the Senate is going to convict Joe and Kamala?
There's a 25% chance of it apparently...
So if Pb is the probability of convicting Biden and Pk is the probability of convicting Kamala, then the product of the probabilities Pb and Pk are 0.25.
So it could be that Pb=0.5 and Pk=0.5 since Pb*Pk=0.5*0.5=0.25.
Or if Pb=1.0, then Pb*Pk=1*Pk=Pk=0.25.
We could make some math problems. It should be obvious how to solve the folllowing:
For problems 1, 2, and 3, assume that the probability of convicting Biden and Harris is 25%.
1) If the probability of convicting Biden is 60%, what is the probability that Harris will not be convicted?
2) If the probability of convicting Biden is 60%, what is the probability of neither Biden nor Harris being convicted?
3) If the probability of convicting Biden is 50% and the probability of convicting Hunter is 75%, what is the probability of Biden, Hunter, and Harris all being convicted?
And for the bonus question,
Bonus) If the probability of Biden and Harris being convicted is 60% and 20%, respectively and the probability of Trump being made Speaker of the House prior to that is 35%, what is the probability of Trump becoming President as the result of the both Biden and Harris being convicted?
So get out your slide rules and have fun.