There are 8 billion people on this planet. We aren't running out of new adopters anytime soon. We have barely scratched the surface when it comes to adoption or demand.bmks270 said:
Bitcoin miners own 13% of all Bitcoin in circulation.
Miners own 1.8 million
19.3 million minted to date.
6 million lost
Leaves 13.3 million in circulation and miners own 1.8 of it.
Miners can't sell too many too fast because it would crash the price. They need the price to stay inflated.
The Bitcoin miners already hold more Bitcoin than is left to be minted.
Wouldn't this imply that the halvening won't really impact the circulating supply much when miners have already hoarded 13% of it.
The rate that miners sell will determine the supply and that will be highly correlated to their operating cost which will mostly come down to their cost of electricity and cost of Bitcoin.
It seems a declining cost of Bitcoin could force miners to sell more, increasing supply, dropping price further, forcing more Bitcoin sales by miners, leading to a positive feedback loop of declining Bitcoin price.
The only way this doesn't happen is if demand to own Bitcoin drives prices higher at a faster rate than the miners are forced to sell to cover their operating costs.
When the globe runs out of new adopters, Bitcoin price is going to crater.