Bitcoin on the path to irrelevance?

111,866 Views | 1822 Replies | Last: 3 days ago by Yukon Cornelius
Algorithmic Epiphany
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MemphisAg1 said:

Passing along a link to this article that makes the case Bitcoin will remain on a downward trend.

Quote:

"Bitcoin's conceptual design and technological shortcomings make it questionable as a means of payment: real Bitcoin transactions are cumbersome, slow and expensive," they wrote. "Bitcoin has never been used to any significant extent for legal real-world transactions."

"Bitcoin is also not suitable as an investment. It does not generate cash flow (like real estate) or dividends (like equities), cannot be used productively (like commodities) or provide social benefits (like gold). The market valuation of Bitcoin is therefore based purely on speculation," they added.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/30/european-central-bank-says-bitcoin-is-on-the-road-to-irrelevance.html

I don't own any because I haven't resolved how to value it, and it's too volatile for my taste. I follow a hard rule of not investing in things I don't understand. That has served me well after some small, but impactful, lessons learned with investing earlier in life.

But I'm fascinated by the ongoing story of technology development, wealth creation and destruction.


Be careful what data you consume. BTC back to $40k
aggiehawg
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AG
Who has a patent or trademark on bitcoin?

The government? Who?
Algorithmic Epiphany
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aggiehawg said:

Who has a patent or trademark on bitcoin?

The government? Who?


WHO!? Who damnit! Who?
aggiehawg
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AG
Algorithmic Epiphany said:

aggiehawg said:

Who has a patent or trademark on bitcoin?

The government? Who?


WHO!? Who damnit! Who?
Do you know that answer? I was just asking.
Algorithmic Epiphany
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It's open source software. No patents or licenses.

Edit: outside of Faketoshi.
TexAgs91
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AG
I've been told by a BTC fanboy that it's going to start going up quickly after ETF approvals in January
"Freedom is never more than one election away from extinction"
Fight! Fight! Fight!
aggiehawg
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AG
Algorithmic Epiphany said:

It's open source software. No patents or licenses.

Edit: outside of Faketoshi.
Open source? So any 12 year old can hack your wallet and make it disappear? That open source?
torrid
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AG
Satoshi Nakamoto.
tysker
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AG
TexAgs91 said:

I've been told by a BTC fanboy that it's going to start going up quickly after ETF approvals in January

Thats like suggesting the price of gold, oil, or the Euro will go up increase due to ETF approvals. I'm curious to know your friend's financial reasoning behind that statement.
Burnsey
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AG
tysker said:

TexAgs91 said:

I've been told by a BTC fanboy that it's going to start going up quickly after ETF approvals in January

Thats like suggesting the price of gold, oil, or the Euro will go up increase due to ETF approvals. I'm curious to know your friend's financial reasoning behind that statement.
That's exactly what happened to the price of gold after gold etfs. Went through the roof.
aggiehawg
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AG
torrid said:

Satoshi Nakamoto.
Who? And what does he have proprietary info on?
MR Gadsden
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The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.
MR Gadsden
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aggiehawg said:

torrid said:

Satoshi Nakamoto.
Who? And what does he have proprietary info on?


How have you not researched this at all?

The white paper is only like 12 pages.
torrid
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AG
aggiehawg said:

torrid said:

Satoshi Nakamoto.
Who? And what does he have proprietary info on?
The supposed name of the programmer who came up with Bitcoin. And whoever it is, he is most likely not Japanese.
MR Gadsden
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https://bitcoin.org/en/bitcoin-paper

I would start there.

If you are really interested in learning more I could recommend several books/audiobooks/podcasts.
Hoyt Ag
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AG
It put me into early retirement. Let it ride!
Algorithmic Epiphany
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aggiehawg said:

Algorithmic Epiphany said:

It's open source software. No patents or licenses.

Edit: outside of Faketoshi.
Open source? So any 12 year old can hack your wallet and make it disappear? That open source?

Walk with me hawg...

You're a lawyer, you can ask better questions than this to discover more.
tysker
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AG
Burnsey said:

tysker said:

TexAgs91 said:

I've been told by a BTC fanboy that it's going to start going up quickly after ETF approvals in January

Thats like suggesting the price of gold, oil, or the Euro will go up increase due to ETF approvals. I'm curious to know your friend's financial reasoning behind that statement.
That's exactly what happened to the price of gold after gold etfs. Went through the roof.

Ever read about the manipulation of gold derivatives market? Gold ETFs are paper versions of the underlying
tysker
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AG
MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.
MR Gadsden
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tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Why wouldn't both be the case?
tysker
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AG
MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Why wouldn't both be the case?

Because there is a limited amount of BTC. If its being held as collateral for ETFs and other financial products by banks and brokers, there will be less demand by individual holders. How do expect adoption to increase as more BTC consolidate in the hands of institutions and governments?
Algorithmic Epiphany
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tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Adoption is adoption, the hash rate grows, the people continue accumulating, the entities do the same, tick tick next block and the price is more of a time stamp than pertinent to the value of bitcoin.
Algorithmic Epiphany
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How will the institutions acquire bitcoin?
MR Gadsden
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tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Why wouldn't both be the case?

Because there is a limited amount of BTC. If its being held as collateral for ETFs and other financial products by banks and brokers, there will be less demand by individual holders. How do expect adoption to increase as more BTC consolidate in the hands of institutions and governments?


You know that you can use fractions of a Bitcoin, right? We will price good and services in sats. Adoption can still take place when 1 BTC = $1 million

What's going to happen when more nation states adopt BTC as currency. Less available supply.

When central banks start to hold BTC. Less supply available.

All will drive the price up.
tysker
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AG
Buying and mining

If you support staking they can do that too. But we all know staking and mine farming is a scam. You don't think they'll create derivatives do you? Because as Ive stated many times here derivatives of BTC are antithetical to the BTC project (which these ETFs are essentially).
Algorithmic Epiphany
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tysker said:

Buying and mining

If you support staking they can do that too. But we all know staking and mine farming is a scam. You don't think they'll create derivatives do you? Because as Ive stated many times here derivatives of BTC are antithetical to the BTC project (which these ETFs are essentially).


Staking and mine farming? Derivatives?

Doesn't matter. All attacks on bitcoin will wither and die while strengthening bitcoin... or it's not bitcoin.
tysker
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AG
MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Why wouldn't both be the case?

Because there is a limited amount of BTC. If its being held as collateral for ETFs and other financial products by banks and brokers, there will be less demand by individual holders. How do expect adoption to increase as more BTC consolidate in the hands of institutions and governments?


You know that you can use fractions of a Bitcoin, right? We will price good and services in sats. Adoption can still take place when 1 BTC = $1 million

What's going to happen when more nation states adopt BTC as currency. Less available supply.

When central banks start to hold BTC. Less supply available.

All will drive the price up.

If it's infinitely divisible then how is it any different than the current USD.
tysker
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AG
My nan, ETFs are a derivative

Edit to ask:
So will the ETF also wither sway and also make BTC stronger? How do you expect that to occur?
MR Gadsden
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tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Why wouldn't both be the case?

Because there is a limited amount of BTC. If its being held as collateral for ETFs and other financial products by banks and brokers, there will be less demand by individual holders. How do expect adoption to increase as more BTC consolidate in the hands of institutions and governments?


You know that you can use fractions of a Bitcoin, right? We will price good and services in sats. Adoption can still take place when 1 BTC = $1 million

What's going to happen when more nation states adopt BTC as currency. Less available supply.

When central banks start to hold BTC. Less supply available.

All will drive the price up.

If it's infinitely divisible then how is it any different than the current USD.


You are dense. So much so that it has to be an act.
fka ftc
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MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Why wouldn't both be the case?

Because there is a limited amount of BTC. If its being held as collateral for ETFs and other financial products by banks and brokers, there will be less demand by individual holders. How do expect adoption to increase as more BTC consolidate in the hands of institutions and governments?


You know that you can use fractions of a Bitcoin, right? We will price good and services in sats. Adoption can still take place when 1 BTC = $1 million

What's going to happen when more nation states adopt BTC as currency. Less available supply.

When central banks start to hold BTC. Less supply available.

All will drive the price up.

If it's infinitely divisible then how is it any different than the current USD.


You are dense. So much so that it has to be an act.
Typical response to BTC critics... you have something bad to say about bitcoin...? Well, you just don't understand how it works you dense old boomer!

Widespread bitcoin use will behave no differently than the US dollar, particularly in how the US dollar currently operates (no gold standard, somewhat infinite printing".

BTC being scarce and thus "valuable" is a farce. It does have some aspects that help with monetary inflation but it has no impact on pricing inflation. It can be infinitely divided no matter what someone tries to tell you about "satoshis" or koopa troopers or similar.

It has a purpose, but much of that purpose is to conduct illegal transactions to be hidden from the government with an open source, theoretically untraceable / anonymous ledger.

I still predict it will go the way of bearer bonds and the dodo bird.
"The absence of the word accountability is not the same as wanting no accountability" -unknown

"You can never go wrong by staying silent if there is nothing apt to say" -Walter Isaacson
MR Gadsden
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fka ftc said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Why wouldn't both be the case?

Because there is a limited amount of BTC. If its being held as collateral for ETFs and other financial products by banks and brokers, there will be less demand by individual holders. How do expect adoption to increase as more BTC consolidate in the hands of institutions and governments?


You know that you can use fractions of a Bitcoin, right? We will price good and services in sats. Adoption can still take place when 1 BTC = $1 million

What's going to happen when more nation states adopt BTC as currency. Less available supply.

When central banks start to hold BTC. Less supply available.

All will drive the price up.

If it's infinitely divisible then how is it any different than the current USD.


You are dense. So much so that it has to be an act.
Typical response to BTC critics... you have something bad to say about bitcoin...? Well, you just don't understand how it works you dense old boomer!

Widespread bitcoin use will behave no differently than the US dollar, particularly in how the US dollar currently operates (no gold standard, somewhat infinite printing".

BTC being scarce and thus "valuable" is a farce. It does have some aspects that help with monetary inflation but it has no impact on pricing inflation. It can be infinitely divided no matter what someone tries to tell you about "satoshis" or koopa troopers or similar.

It has a purpose, but much of that purpose is to conduct illegal transactions to be hidden from the government with an open source, theoretically untraceable / anonymous ledger.

I still predict it will go the way of bearer bonds and the dodo bird.


Did you read his replies? It's the same crap over and over. He's dense.

I don't care if your for Bitcoin or against it the fact the both retail and institutions are now buying it will make the price climb. He doesn't seem to get it, or acts like he doesn't.

I can't tell by your response that you have believed the mainstream narrative about Bitcoin (you're parroting Elizabeth Warren).

I don't care if either of you ever own a single sat. Doesn't matter to me.
tysker
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AG
MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Why wouldn't both be the case?

Because there is a limited amount of BTC. If its being held as collateral for ETFs and other financial products by banks and brokers, there will be less demand by individual holders. How do expect adoption to increase as more BTC consolidate in the hands of institutions and governments?


You know that you can use fractions of a Bitcoin, right? We will price good and services in sats. Adoption can still take place when 1 BTC = $1 million

What's going to happen when more nation states adopt BTC as currency. Less available supply.

When central banks start to hold BTC. Less supply available.

All will drive the price up.

If it's infinitely divisible then how is it any different than the current USD.


You are dense. So much so that it has to be an act.
Maybe so but you're the one that brought up divisibility. The gold bugs have a response and solution to the issue however crude it may be. What is the BTC answer to infinite divisibility and, in turn, infinite supply?
Algorithmic Epiphany
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fka ftc said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Why wouldn't both be the case?

Because there is a limited amount of BTC. If its being held as collateral for ETFs and other financial products by banks and brokers, there will be less demand by individual holders. How do expect adoption to increase as more BTC consolidate in the hands of institutions and governments?


You know that you can use fractions of a Bitcoin, right? We will price good and services in sats. Adoption can still take place when 1 BTC = $1 million

What's going to happen when more nation states adopt BTC as currency. Less available supply.

When central banks start to hold BTC. Less supply available.

All will drive the price up.

If it's infinitely divisible then how is it any different than the current USD.


You are dense. So much so that it has to be an act.
Typical response to BTC critics... you have something bad to say about bitcoin...? Well, you just don't understand how it works you dense old boomer!

Widespread bitcoin use will behave no differently than the US dollar, particularly in how the US dollar currently operates (no gold standard, somewhat infinite printing".

BTC being scarce and thus "valuable" is a farce. It does have some aspects that help with monetary inflation but it has no impact on pricing inflation. It can be infinitely divided no matter what someone tries to tell you about "satoshis" or koopa troopers or similar.

It has a purpose, but much of that purpose is to conduct illegal transactions to be hidden from the government with an open source, theoretically untraceable / anonymous ledger.

I still predict it will go the way of bearer bonds and the dodo bird.


Alright.

If we are comparing divisibility and monetary inflation, the dollar has both. You can both infinitely inflate or divide the dollar at the behest of very very few individuals.

Bitcoin *can* only be infinitely divisible, and only via consensus of miners, users, and nodes. Additional layers might have different rules for different purposes.

Stating they are both the same is ignorant, continuing to do so after massive efforts to inform you of the differences is just plain ridiculous and deserving of ridicule.

Come on man.
tysker
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AG
Quote:

Bitcoin *can* only be infinitely divisible, and only via consensus of miners, users, and nodes. Additional layers might have different rules for different purposes.

You mean supply limited by the largest holders of BTC which will be banks and governments.
tysker
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AG
MR Gadsden said:

fka ftc said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

tysker said:

MR Gadsden said:

The players involved in the ETFs, the Blackrocks, Fidelity's, and 12 others will need to purchase and custody it in some way. The demand will skyrocket and of course you can't make more Bitcoin so the price will go up.

The price of BTC increases with adoption not consolidation into the hands of a couple dozen financial institutions.


Why wouldn't both be the case?

Because there is a limited amount of BTC. If its being held as collateral for ETFs and other financial products by banks and brokers, there will be less demand by individual holders. How do expect adoption to increase as more BTC consolidate in the hands of institutions and governments?


You know that you can use fractions of a Bitcoin, right? We will price good and services in sats. Adoption can still take place when 1 BTC = $1 million

What's going to happen when more nation states adopt BTC as currency. Less available supply.

When central banks start to hold BTC. Less supply available.

All will drive the price up.

If it's infinitely divisible then how is it any different than the current USD.


You are dense. So much so that it has to be an act.
Typical response to BTC critics... you have something bad to say about bitcoin...? Well, you just don't understand how it works you dense old boomer!

Widespread bitcoin use will behave no differently than the US dollar, particularly in how the US dollar currently operates (no gold standard, somewhat infinite printing".

BTC being scarce and thus "valuable" is a farce. It does have some aspects that help with monetary inflation but it has no impact on pricing inflation. It can be infinitely divided no matter what someone tries to tell you about "satoshis" or koopa troopers or similar.

It has a purpose, but much of that purpose is to conduct illegal transactions to be hidden from the government with an open source, theoretically untraceable / anonymous ledger.

I still predict it will go the way of bearer bonds and the dodo bird.


Did you read his replies? It's the same crap over and over. He's dense.

I don't care if your for Bitcoin or against it the fact the both retail and institutions are now buying it will make the price climb. He doesn't seem to get it, or acts like he doesn't.

I can't tell by your response that you have believed the mainstream narrative about Bitcoin (you're parroting Elizabeth Warren).

I don't care if either of you ever own a single sat. Doesn't matter to me.
weird it ate my original post...
I'm curious to know how and why the creation of an ETF would make the price of BTC increase unless there is a use of staking, farming, or other derivative product like swaps, options, forwards, etc. (and the use of swaps, options, futures essentially require additional staking and farming fwiw)
 
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