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It will be the first star wars third act to not make more than the movie before it.
But I earlier added the caveat "unless Disney makes drastic changes," so remember that. If Kennedy steps down or they appoint a creative director, and if Lucasfilm starts reaching out to the fans they alienated and apologizes/reconciles/just acts like their complaints have some validity and not call them all racists or sexists, then it can still recover. I think they would also have to find a way to work Mark Hammil back into the movie and they have to let everybody know that he will have the type of moment everyone wanted for him in episode VIII.
Episode IX literally starts filming next month. There are no "drastic changes" coming at this point. For the most part, that movie is going to be what it's going to be, and with someone like Abrams at the helm there will almost assuredly be no big moves behind the scenes in terms of a new director coming in to "fix" things or the movie undergoing a massive overhaul in post.
And the idea that Kennedy potentially leaving or Lucasfilm "apologizing" in the next 18 month will somehow affect box office is preposterous. You HAVE to realize that the vast majority of the movie going audience has NO IDEA who Kathleen Kennedy is. And you HAVE to realize that of the relatively small percentage of fans who are truly offended by the SJW-ness of TLJ to the point of action - the ones forming these laughable boycotts - did not and can not possibly affect the box office in any measurable way.
Again, fatigue certainly played into Solo's poor box office, but NOT any kind of boycott.
In other words. None of this sh*t will affect the box office in the least. The more rationale of those offended by the SJW-ness of TLJ will still see Episode IX. And after 18 months of no Star Wars, and this being billed as not only Rey's/Kylo's final movie - but the final movie in the Skywalker saga - audiences will be there in droves. It may not break records, but it's certainly not going to bomb, and will likely compete with TLJ in terms of box office, if not do even better, should it get genuinely good reviews/word-of-mouth from fans.
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But if they go in with no Han, no Leia, and no Luke, yeah, it's going to bomb big time - for a star wars movie.
You do realize that two of these actor's character's have been killed in-story and the third died in real life, right? I don't even understand this "solve"/critique.
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TLJ had the biggest weekend one to weekend two drop in the history of American cinema because people got word of mouth from the FANS that it was a crap movie.
This isn't even a remotely factual statement. Like, not even close. Blatantly false claims like this are why it's getting harder and harder to take you at all seriously.