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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to IrishTxAggie • 9:14a, 10/4/19
AG
IrishTxAggie said:
HUGE 7.4MM 12/20 SPY $310 calls

There was 1.5MM worth 2mins before that
There was just another 4.3MM on this...

Someone knows something...
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ProgN
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In reply to oldarmy1 • 9:22a, 10/4/19
Quote:
Nio's stock slips in volatile trading after Goldman cuts rating, slashes price target by 85%
Today 10:18 AM ET (MarketWatch)
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Shares of Nio Inc. (NIO) slipped 0.3% in morning trading Friday, after Goldman Sachs analyst Fei Fang backed away from his bullish stance on the China-based electric car maker, citing concerns over sales volumes and potential share dilution. The stock has had a volatile start Friday, as it has traded down as much as 4.9% and up as much as 3.0% intraday. Fang cut his rating to neutral, after being at buy for the past seven months, while slashing his stock price target by 85%, to $1.47 from $9.76. While Nio's sales volumes have outperformed U.S. rival Tesla Inc. (TSLA) and BYD Tang since China's government cut electric-vehicle (EV) subsidies in June, Nio's third-quarter guidance implies a 423-unit, month-on-month decline in volume in September, and the fourth-quarter outlook remains "clouded." And given the outlook for continued negative free cash flow, Nio's funding pattern suggests a preference for continued use of equity, which would result in significant share count dilution," Fang wrote. The stock has soared 24% since closing at a record low of $1.32 on Oct. 1,which followed a 57% plunge (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/nios-stock-tumbles-toward-record-low-has-lost-half-its-value-in-7-days-2019-09-30) amid an 8-session losing streak. The stock has shed 74% year to date, while Tesla's stock has dropped 31% and the S&P 500 has gained 17%.
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ProgN
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In reply to Aggie_2463 • 9:23a, 10/4/19
Aggie_2463 said:
PROG,

I scooped up some more RIG at that $4.10 range... couldn't help it. Hoping I can swing em today when it pushes up to $4.50! P.S - That's just all hope there!
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ProgN
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9:29a, 10/4/19
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to ProgN • 9:30a, 10/4/19
AG
Prognightmare said:
NFLX is fooked... Short, short, short, short, short...
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IrishTxAggie
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9:34a, 10/4/19
AG
S&P needs to find some damn daily support already...
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ProgN
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In reply to IrishTxAggie • 9:46a, 10/4/19
IrishTxAggie said:
S&P needs to find some damn daily support already...
You just posted all the possible negative variables that are in play going into the weekend and you're upset the market isn't showing more strength. Hope is overriding your analysis my friend.
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to ProgN • 9:49a, 10/4/19
AG
Prognightmare said:
IrishTxAggie said:
S&P needs to find some damn daily support already...
You just posted all the possible negative variables that are in play going into the weekend and you're upset the market isn't showing more strength. Hope is overriding your analysis my friend.
I wouldn't put it past Xi to do it. Not sayin he will. The world's binoculars are still on him. I'm thinking it's going to be much more targeted and precise with how Hong Kong begins to snuff this out.
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ProgN
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In reply to IrishTxAggie • 9:58a, 10/4/19
Markets rebounding because Trump is talking about China trade talks.
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to ProgN • 10:01a, 10/4/19
AG
Prognightmare said:
Markets rebounding because Trump is talking about China trade talks.

THAT'S MY PRESIDENT
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ProgN
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In reply to IrishTxAggie • 10:02a, 10/4/19
You crack me up.
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khaos288
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10:08a, 10/4/19
AG
Coop getting close to the 10$ buy
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ProgN
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10:14a, 10/4/19
Quote:
Walt Disney banning Netflix ads on its TV networks--WSJ
Today 10:44 AM ET (MarketWatch)
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Walt Disney Co. (DIS) is banning Netflix Inc. (NFLX) ads across its TV networks, according to a report in The Wall Street Journal (https://www.wsj.com/articles/disney-bans-netflix-ads-as-streamings-marketing-wars-intensify-11570199291), ahead of the launch of the entertainment and media giant's Disney+ streaming-video service (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/disney-will-win-streaming-battle-with-netflix-analyst-2019-08-07) next month. Citing people familiar with the matter, the WSJ report said Disney told staffers not to accept ads from any rival streaming services, but later reversed course and found a compromise with nearly every company, except Netflix. In 2018, Netflix spent $99.2 million on TV ads in the U.S., with 13% going to Disney-owned networks, the WSJ report said, citing data from iSpot.TV. Separately, the WSJ report said Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) plans to spend $100 million on ads outside of its properties to launch its streaming service Peacock, which launches in April 2020, while AT&T Inc.'s (T) WarnerMedia plans to spend $300 million on ads over the next year to push HBO Max. Disney's stock has run up 17.9% year to date, while Netflix shares have edged up 0.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained 12.9%.
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gougler08
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10:25a, 10/4/19
AG
SPX right back in that wedge

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deadbq03
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In reply to gougler08 • 10:47a, 10/4/19
AG
Noob question: why do you draw your top line there?

I draw mine from the top of July 26 thru the highs of mid-Sept.

Finviz is more bullish, drawing an ascending triangle with their bottom line starting at Jun 3 and their top from May 1.
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gougler08
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In reply to deadbq03 • 10:53a, 10/4/19
AG
deadbq03 said:
Noob question: why do you draw your top line there?

I draw mine from the top of July 26 thru the highs of mid-Sept.

Finviz is more bullish, drawing an ascending triangle with their bottom line starting at Jun 3 and their top from May 1.
I'm a noob too, but was just drawing based off the descending highs we had hit prior to the breakout on Sept 5th...we had bounced off that line again today but now broke through and closed the gap so will be interesting to see if we can get back above it or fall back in to the sideways channel next week
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gougler08
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10:54a, 10/4/19
AG
SFIX bullish after their earnings drop on Tuesday...already closed the gap
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khaos288
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10:57a, 10/4/19
AG
If net would just flash up, I could hit my limit and sell out.

I'd rather hold cash through the weekend than these calls.
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leoj
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10:58a, 10/4/19
AG
More big number SPY calls

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ProgN
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11:02a, 10/4/19
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khaos288
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11:06a, 10/4/19
AG
Geezus. What could cause that kind of movement? Someone thinking a China deal is in place?
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to leoj • 11:09a, 10/4/19
AG
leoj said:
More big number SPY calls

I got a nice chunk of these at $1.38. Already up 11.5%
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Bonfire1996
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In reply to khaos288 • 11:37a, 10/4/19
AG
khaos288 said:
Geezus. What could cause that kind of movement? Someone thinking a China deal is in place?


1. Jobs and unemployment data. Backwards revisions way up.
2. Rate cut all but guaranteed
3. Trump broke Pelosi this week
4. Corruption talk will disqualify Biden and virtually guarantee trump re election.
5. If China sees trump re election certainty, they will make a deal quickly
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Harkrider 93
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In reply to IrishTxAggie • 11:52a, 10/4/19
AG
IrishTxAggie said:
leoj said:
More big number SPY calls

I got a nice chunk of these at $1.38. Already up 11.5%
you were the 4.3MM!
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IrishTxAggie
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In reply to Harkrider 93 • 12:04p, 10/4/19
AG
Harkrider 93 said:
IrishTxAggie said:
leoj said:
More big number SPY calls

I got a nice chunk of these at $1.38. Already up 11.5%
you were the 4.3MM!
One day...one day...
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fightintxag13
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12:16p, 10/4/19
AG
HEAR doing well today. Up 3.8% on the day
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Red Rover
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12:24p, 10/4/19
AG
Long term (12 month) SPY or DOW outlook? It seemed a bit pessimistic with concerns over recession. Has that changed for many of you?
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gougler08
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In reply to fightintxag13 • 12:44p, 10/4/19
AG
fightintxag13 said:
HEAR doing well today. Up 3.8% on the day
It's all about $12 for HEAR, if it can break through that it may go close the gap
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gougler08
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In reply to Red Rover • 12:45p, 10/4/19
AG
Red Rover said:
Long term (12 month) SPY or DOW outlook? It seemed a bit pessimistic with concerns over recession. Has that changed for many of you?
Well based on the $20M that people have put down on SPY calls through Dec/Jan, at least the 3 month view seems like people know something (and it's bullish)
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ProgN
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In reply to Red Rover • 12:45p, 10/4/19
Still to early with so many variables at play. China deal? Impeachment nonsense? Warren dem nominee (will crush markets if elected), slowing global growth (does it turn or get worse). Expect considerable volatility over the next 12 months. JMO
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IrishTxAggie
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12:49p, 10/4/19
AG
AMTD is breaking out. I had to average down a bit earlier, but I'm breakeven right now at .65.
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khaos288
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12:57p, 10/4/19
AG
Net with a slow upward trend. Breaks positive but no movement on the calls yet
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IrishTxAggie
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1:36p, 10/4/19
AG
I sold those 12/20 310s today at 1.56. Will look to re-enter next week
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khaos288
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In reply to IrishTxAggie • 1:46p, 10/4/19
AG
IrishTxAggie said:
I sold those 12/20 310s today at 1.56. Will look to re-enter next week


Do you normally buy medium length calls during bad news/dips on spx and then just sell on good days? I always thought about running something similar
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JP76
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In reply to gougler08 • 2:05p, 10/4/19
gougler08 said:
Red Rover said:
Long term (12 month) SPY or DOW outlook? It seemed a bit pessimistic with concerns over recession. Has that changed for many of you?
Well based on the $20M that people have put down on SPY calls through Dec/Jan, at least the 3 month view seems like people know something (and it's bullish)



Takes 6% SPY move to BE on those calls unless it squeezes crazy fast

Could be a hedge or part of a more complex strategy

Could be someone selling naked to generate revenue who doesn't mind being short from 311.5 basis




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