gougler08 said:
oldarmy1 said:
Trying to sell $17 EXEL naked Puts at $0.45. Checked 10 for temperature interest down to 42 cents and got filled. Want $0.45 but need it to lose $18 on early market negativity.
I went ahead and bought a $21 EXEL call for Oct 19th for $0.45
So let's look at our most recent posted entry, EXEL. Been watching this one for some time. First chart is macro view so we can see that it topped out with a huge volume spike that failed. When you see that huge long line above a candle hitting new highs that is called a "Dead Man Hanging" in laymans terms.
It was followed by that god awful shelf formation I placed a red-lined above. Get out of stocks with this pattern. Note that I placed an "X" where it crossed over its 200 day MA. Another death blow short term, and you will note how fast it dropped on that break (another shortable/Put option trading opportunity). It had a massive day on positive earnings but could not break out even above short term resistance. Not good.
So it sunk back all the way to its pre-trend up support around $18.
Now here is what it looked like going into today. You have to tails previous two days which signal buying interest. Note the huge volume 2 days ago and still it held and shot back up. You also had a high low tail yesterday signaling whoever is the biggest buyer moved their bid up and absorbed all selling. People eventually figured that little tactic out and it moved upward creating its first green candle.
While not 100% unless it moves on upward and gains momentum I chose to sell $17 Puts with a strong buyer showing their intentions plus these levels being long term support. I also entered shares and will sell 50% at $19 holding the remainder until we see if it can move back up into the clutter $20-23.
If this stock is positive after first 30 minutes be in it.