We've covered pitcher development quite a bit, but there always seems to be more to discuss.
With Rule V it is really hard to draft and develop front line pitchers within 1 organization, especially if you are prone to trading.
I found this:
https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2894865-mlb-draft-2020-do-more-future-stars-come-from-high-school-or-collegeInteresting stats. It looks at MLB and where they are sourced - College/HS/Int'l and indicates a heavy lean on College. The other side of that is, where are P drafted. More from HS?!
I believe through MoneyBall, the statistics were that drafting college pitchers had less risk and thus a greater chance to make the Bigs. Where as, HS pitchers tended to have a higher ceiling, but more risk to actually make it.
20-30 years ago, the Rangers would draft more hitters at the top because they had a higher probability of making the club, where as pitchers seemed more random.
JD went HS pitcher heavy a number of times taking more risk with a higher ceiling. As a result... as mentioned, 2 of the 3 HS SPs (Owen White and Englert) in the 2018 draft had TJ surgery within the 1st year, or so. Cole Winn was the one that did not have TJ surgery.
So, you sign White and Englert and you get 5 years to develop them based on Rule V for players drafted 18 or younger. You get 4 years if 19. So, if you hold your kid back in 7th grade and he graduates at 19, he'll be drafted higher and the team only gets 4 years to develop you. I digress.
So, if you have 5 years to develop... and in 2019 the player gets TJ surgery, then you have now lost 3 years. surgery in 2019, won't pitch until 2020, 2021 you finally get to develop. Good luck developing the 23 year old into a MLB pitcher... without exposing him to Rule V or trade.
For
Cole Winn, it is a similar but different story. In 2022, he took a ball off his left ankle (RHP) so it was his landing foot. Screwed up his mechanics and I think he is still having to figure things out.
HS, you are drafting an 18 year old and retain him until he is 23.College, you are drafting a 21 year old and retain him until he is 25.