***** Official Houston Astros 2019 Season Thread *****

3,729,900 Views | 74431 Replies | Last: 5 days ago by PSully97
Ag13
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Mr.Bond said:

So he doesn't just take out a standard insurance policy??


There's a real interesting video on this a few pages back. On phone or would post link. His guys basically said it was too late/expensive to take out an insurance policy at this point.
agdaddy04
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Ag13 said:

Mr.Bond said:

So he doesn't just take out a standard insurance policy??


There's a real interesting video on this a few pages back. On phone or would post link. His guys basically said it was too late/expensive to take out an insurance policy at this point.

So I guess it's just one very expensive marketing campaign at this point?
agsquirrel97
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My guess is that he "sold" $7.7M in mattresses and when Astros win he is whole.

I don't want to discuss any other if's

n_touch
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They weren't giving him a good rate this go round.
Big Al 1992
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Spent an hour reading the 2017 thread again. So great. Ready to do this again. Also funny to read we loved Correa and cringed for Reddicks ABs back then. And forgot how bad the the umps really blew in game 6 and 7.
willjohnathan
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Mr.Bond said:

So he doesn't just take out a standard insurance policy??
His hired guy (recently hired) for placing the bet, specifically mentioned the Grienke trade happening last minute and once that happened he couldn't get a good rate on an insurance policy. He would actually get a better rate just by betting on the Astros.
Charlie Conway
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agsquirrel97 said:

My guess is that he "sold" $7.7M in mattresses and when Astros win he is whole.

I don't want to discuss any other if's


what?

if he sold $5MM in mattresses and the Astros win he would come out ~2.7MM ahead, and if they lose he only spent 3.5MM on the bet but still sold 5MM
Farmer1906
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Big Al 1992 said:

Spent an hour reading the 2017 thread again. So great. Ready to do this again. Also funny to read we loved Correa and cringed for Reddicks ABs back then. And forgot how bad the the umps really blew in game 6 and 7.


That hasn't changed. Assuming Correa bats again
Farmer1906
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Charlie Conway said:

agsquirrel97 said:

My guess is that he "sold" $7.7M in mattresses and when Astros win he is whole.

I don't want to discuss any other if's


what?

if he sold $5MM in mattresses and the Astros win he would come out ~2.7MM ahead, and if they lose he only spent 3.5MM on the bet but still sold 5MM


He has to be making 70% on that 5MM to break even.
bearkatag15
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Farmer1906
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Don't get me wrong. That is awesome. But Rose played until he was 45. His last 10 seasons he averaged 149 hits per.
Marvin
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Farmer1906 said:

Don't get me wrong. That is awesome. But Rose played until he was 45. His last 10 seasons he averaged 149 hits per.


He was a good hitter. He was a really old hitter. Does anyone see Altuve sticking around that long? I bet not...

(that's what Rose said, haha)
astros4545
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Marvin said:

Farmer1906 said:

Don't get me wrong. That is awesome. But Rose played until he was 45. His last 10 seasons he averaged 149 hits per.


He was a good hitter. He was a really old hitter. Does anyone see Altuve sticking around that long? I bet not...

(that's what Rose said, haha)


No one even sticks around to 38 anymore
Poot
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Yep, they're too rich by then for it to make sense.
BMX Bandit
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Home teams have 19-10 record with Tumpane behind the plate.

Verlander had 1 home start with Tumpane, against A's on 7/24

6 innings, 2 hits, 0 earned runs, 2 BB, 11 K
Rustys-Beef-o-Reeno
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Farmer1906 said:

Charlie Conway said:

agsquirrel97 said:

My guess is that he "sold" $7.7M in mattresses and when Astros win he is whole.

I don't want to discuss any other if's


what?

if he sold $5MM in mattresses and the Astros win he would come out ~2.7MM ahead, and if they lose he only spent 3.5MM on the bet but still sold 5MM


He has to be making 70% on that 5MM to break even.


From a friend in the furniture business

Standard mark up is 3x
I'm assuming mattresses are. Less at 2x
Marvin
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Rustys-Beef-o-Reeno said:

Farmer1906 said:

Charlie Conway said:

agsquirrel97 said:

My guess is that he "sold" $7.7M in mattresses and when Astros win he is whole.

I don't want to discuss any other if's


what?

if he sold $5MM in mattresses and the Astros win he would come out ~2.7MM ahead, and if they lose he only spent 3.5MM on the bet but still sold 5MM


He has to be making 70% on that 5MM to break even.


From a friend in the furniture business

Standard mark up is 3x
I'm assuming mattresses are. Less at 2x

Wow, I would have guessed otherwise, with all the mattress outlets I see. There's one in every strip center around town.

gigemJTH12
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Nuke LaLoosh said:

Fkn early games man. May be unloading a couple stros tickets on here for Friday, I'll keep y'all updated.
can you email me jthart@sbec.com
CoachRTM
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Rustys-Beef-o-Reeno said:

Farmer1906 said:

Charlie Conway said:

agsquirrel97 said:

My guess is that he "sold" $7.7M in mattresses and when Astros win he is whole.

I don't want to discuss any other if's


what?

if he sold $5MM in mattresses and the Astros win he would come out ~2.7MM ahead, and if they lose he only spent 3.5MM on the bet but still sold 5MM


He has to be making 70% on that 5MM to break even.


From a friend in the furniture business

Standard mark up is 3x
I'm assuming mattresses are. Less at 2x


I have a friend in the mattress business. They make around 80% margin on full price mattresses.... so about 5x markup. Tempurpedic (and other "big" brand names might be slightly less, but not sure.
agsquirrel97
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You know dang well he got full price on all those mattresses because of the "free" clause. The other side of the coin is the additional sales he made by getting people in the door with the promotion. How many people bought a bed to go along with their mattress, or a couch, dining room set, etc. etc?

So even if he sold $10MM in matresses, if the 80% markup is true then he is only out $2MM in inventory.
Harry Dunne
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Farmer1906 said:

Don't get me wrong. That is awesome. But Rose played until he was 45. His last 10 seasons he averaged 149 hits per.
It's impossible to compare steroid users late careers to guys that are clean. I don't think we are going to see guys like Rose that didn't miss a single game from age 38 to 41 and made 4 ASG, led the league in hits and batting average at age 40 and so on...and then kept playing until he was 45.

This isn't as much of a focus because of the gambling, but Rose was a massive roider and was way ahead of his time in that area. He had the additional advantage of playing against guys that couldn't bench their body weight and ate fried chicken before games.
willie wonka
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He also played a crap load of 1st base in the later years.
k20dub
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Pete Rose and Vegas bets on the same page. Happy Tuesday!
dshedd41
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S


Here's the link to the cover story
http://www.si.com/mlb/2019/10/01/houston-astros-zack-greinke-world-series
CFTXAG10
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Gotta buy that to add to all the others I framed from WS17
mathguy86
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How many husbands and wives can say they each made the cover of SI for excelling at their separate craft?
MuckRaker96
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mathguy86 said:

How many husbands and wives can say they each made the cover of SI for excelling at their separate craft?
When the Matrix 4 comes out, the Wachowskis will be able to say they've been on the cover of Entertainment Weekly as brother and sisters.
AustinCountyAg
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dshedd14 said:



Here's the link to the cover story
http://www.si.com/mlb/2019/10/01/houston-astros-zack-greinke-world-series
reading that got my piss hot for this month of playoff baseball! so jacked up
The Milkman
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I told this boss this morning I wasn't going to make it in at all on Friday. Hurry up!
Texaggie7nine
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AustinCountyAg said:

dshedd14 said:



Here's the link to the cover story
http://www.si.com/mlb/2019/10/01/houston-astros-zack-greinke-world-series
reading that got my piss hot for this month of playoff baseball! so jacked up
I can't even imagine my reaction if you showed this picture to the April 2017 me.

Ag13
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Texaggie7nine said:

AustinCountyAg said:

dshedd14 said:



Here's the link to the cover story
http://www.si.com/mlb/2019/10/01/houston-astros-zack-greinke-world-series
reading that got my piss hot for this month of playoff baseball! so jacked up
I can't even imagine my reaction if you showed this picture to the April 2017 me.


Would probably wonder where Keuchel is
Ags #1
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Farmer was spot on. Game 1 at 105pm and game 2 at 807pm
cpsencik04
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Texaggie7nine said:

AustinCountyAg said:

dshedd14 said:



Here's the link to the cover story
http://www.si.com/mlb/2019/10/01/houston-astros-zack-greinke-world-series
reading that got my piss hot for this month of playoff baseball! so jacked up
I can't even imagine my reaction if you showed this picture to the April 2017 me.


Why am I not surprised that ZG is sitting there with his legs crossed and sitting on his heels...different bird
MuckRaker96
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Farmer1906 said:

Don't get me wrong. That is awesome. But Rose played until he was 45. His last 10 seasons he averaged 149 hits per.
How much money has Altuve made gambling on games though?
spadilly
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dshedd14 said:



Here's the link to the cover story
http://www.si.com/mlb/2019/10/01/houston-astros-zack-greinke-world-series


Ready to run through a wall after reading that. Cmon, Friday!