***** Official Houston Astros 2019 Season Thread *****

3,729,821 Views | 74431 Replies | Last: 5 days ago by PSully97
Bregxit
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JRC0811 said:

Farmer1906 said:

JRC0811 said:

Farmer1906 said:


Quote:

Here is a full rundown of 2019 World Series odds as we await the start of the Wild Card round this week. Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Houston Astros: +200
Los Angeles Dodgers: +275
New York Yankees: +400
Atlanta Braves: +750
Minnesota Twins: +1400
St. Louis Cardinals: +1600
Oakland Athletics: +1800
Washington Nationals: +1800
Tampa Bay Rays: +2200
Milwaukee Brewers: +2500

Something about being the favorite doesn't sit well with me... I like being the underdog.
We've been the favorite or close to it since mid 2017.
I know, I know... It's my BAS kicking in.

In 2017 I still thought of us at the underdog since we were going against NY, BOS, and LA. That we won made it all the more sweeter.


We were the favorite in the ALDS and ALCS in 2017. We were barely an underdog for the World Series.
AgDoc03
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blindey said:

Ag_07 said:

cap-n-jack said:

What are we supposed to do until Friday afternoon?

Spend a couple days going back and forth on start times (check)
I'm sure they'll be a solid Reddick v Tucker debate here shortly
Same goes for a Trout v Bregman debate
Talk about how much we miss Charlie Morton
Post gold luck pre-playoff teets

That should get us to the WC game on Wed
I requested a side-by-side comparison of Cole and Verlander's respective wives so we can judge once and for all who is hotter. That should burn a solid afternoon, but no one seems to have found the motivation to get started on the project.








cpsencik04
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tjholley16 said:

I'd personally vote for Cole.


VERLANDER / COLE
Wins 21 / 20
Hits Allowed 138 / 142
Earned Runs 65 / 59
Strikeouts 300 / 316
Walks 42 / 46
ERA 2.62 / 2.50
WHIP 0.81 / 0.89
No-Hitter 1 / 0
FFIFY, you cant highlight cole for hits allowed when his was higher.....with that adjustment JV had 5 of the items you chose to highlight and Cole had 3....explain agin why you think that means he should win it? I dont necessaily see the K as fair, 2 or 3 of JV's final starts were shortened intentionally, also the game he was ejected from which stopped his double digit K's streak....with those items he still had more innings pitched and a better WHIP
tjholley16
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cpsencik04 said:

tjholley16 said:

I'd personally vote for Cole.


VERLANDER / COLE
Wins 21 / 20
Hits Allowed 138 / 142
Earned Runs 65 / 59
Strikeouts 300 / 316
Walks 42 / 46
ERA 2.62 / 2.50
WHIP 0.81 / 0.89
No-Hitter 1 / 0
FFIFY, you cant highlight cole for hits allowed when his was higher.....with that adjustment JV had 5 of the items you chose to highlight and Cole had 3....explain agin why you think that means he should win it? I dont necessaily see the K as fair, 2 or 3 of JV's final starts were shortened intentionally, also the game he was ejected from which stopped his double digit K's streak....with those items he still had more innings pitched and a better WHIP
wife hotness counts for 3 categories.... Cole wins

6-5 Cole

I copied these stats straight from a MLB analyst giving his predictions.
But if we are being honest ... K/9 is a big stat and it's not on there. I'd venture to guess Cole has that one as well. I would replace no hitters as a category with K/9
Farmer1906
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Buck Compton said:

Farmer1906 said:

Here is a fun stat for the Tucker vs Reddick argument.

Outs Above Average on the Year
Reddick - 0
Tucker - 2

So even though his opportunities were a fraction of Reddick's, he still found a way to be above average

Do we want to open up the Pandora's box of defensive stats and how difficult it is for them to measure impact of starting position, ballpark dimensions, wind, and preventative impact of things like not running on an arm? Cause if so, sure, let's go down the defensive rabbit hole.
K go.

looking deeper, Tucker only had 36 attempts. He made the play on every ball he should have. His 2 above average plays were 1 coming in and 1 going back. Reddick on the other hand miss 4 balls going back the average OF would have made. However, he made 5 coming forward (missed 1). 2 of those misses were 1 star plays (91-95% catch probability). However, Josh did make 1 5 star (0-25%) play in his 13 attempts.

Looking at Jump

Josh Ranks 34th for OFs with a 0.3. He's slightly above average. He makes up for his slower burst with good routes and quick reactions.

No data on Tucker listed.

We can look at their wheels with Sprint Speed
Tucker - 27.9 ft/s
Reddick - 26.8 ft/s

Reddick plays a deeper RF. Maybe he's playing deeper because he's not as good moving backward based on his earlier metrics.

Metrics on their arms are a little more difficult to dive into. Fangraphs ARM (The amount of runs above average an outfielder saves with their arm by preventing runners from advancing.) shows Reddick's ARM is a -2.0 while Tucker's is -0.2.

In conclusion, Spider-Man is nothing special in RF nowadays. Tucker may be decent, but it is early.

What else should we look at that somewhat available?
BMX Bandit
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here are the "non quality" starts for Cole & Verlander:
* indicates not a bad start IMO

COLE
opponent, innings, earned runs

Tex 4.1 8
KC 6.1 4
Bos 5 0 *
CHW 5 6
Tex 6 4
LAA 5 1 *

VERLANDER

Tex 4 4
LAA 6.1 4
Sea 5 4
LAA 7 4 *
Bal 5 4
TB 5.1 0 *
LAA 5 2 *

astros4545
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I love Reddicks defense

I don't care what metrics say, he is fundamentally sound and maximizes his physical gifts
Deluxe
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BMX Bandit said:

here are the "non quality" starts for Cole & Verlander:
* indicates not a bad start IMO

COLE
opponent, innings, earned runs

Tex 4.1 8
KC 6.1 4
Bos 5 0 *
CHW 5 6
Tex 6 4
LAA 5 1 *

VERLANDER

Tex 4 4
LAA 6.1 4
Sea 5 4
LAA 7 4 *
Bal 5 4
TB 5.1 0 *
LAA 5 2 *


The season is so long that I forgot Cole actually recorded a quality start in the Ron Kulpa game
Frok
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CFTXAG10 said:

Good on Correa.






That is awesome. Way to go Carlos
AgDoc03
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Frok said:

CFTXAG10 said:

Good on Correa.






That is awesome. Way to go Carlos
Did he sprain something handing over the check?
willie wonka
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AgDoc03 said:

Frok said:

CFTXAG10 said:

Good on Correa.






That is awesome. Way to go Carlos
Did he sprain something handing over the check?


Hope it wasn't one of those big checks!
bearkatag15
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I thought this breakdown on how successful (or not successful) shifts were this year was interesting.



E
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Are there actually people who want to ban the shift? It's just defense strategy. Let's go ahead and say football teams can't play prevent defense, or strikers in soccer can't be inside their own box on free kicks
bearkatag15
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Umpires for ALDS

AgDoc03
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bearkatag15 said:

Umpires for ALDS and WC game




No Joe West!
TMACsDaMan
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more importantly...no Angel Hernandez
Texaggie7nine
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Heads up.

If you have a Mastercard you can apparently buy tickets for the ALDS

go to https://www.priceless.com/
3B Paul 97
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bearkatag15 said:

I thought this breakdown on how successful (or not successful) shifts were this year was interesting.





You won't know if the aided hits were singles with guys slapping it the other way vs potential XBH going to the pull side. Some of using the shift is to do that.
Farmer1906
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bearkatag15
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Jackal99
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Texaggie7nine said:

Heads up.

If you have a Mastercard you can apparently buy tickets for the ALDS

go to https://www.priceless.com/
Thanks! Just grabbed some for Saturday. No idea where the seats are or when I'll find out, but the price is good.
Texaggie7nine
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Jackal99 said:

Texaggie7nine said:

Heads up.

If you have a Mastercard you can apparently buy tickets for the ALDS

go to https://www.priceless.com/
Thanks! Just grabbed some for Saturday. No idea where the seats are or when I'll find out, but the price is good.
Awesome. Let us know what you end up getting.

Hopefully they will do the same for the ALCS.

I would have bought some but I'm out of town this weekend.
spadilly
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That Saturday prime time game is going to be rowdy. I need to start keeping an eye out for two tickets.
3B Paul 97
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Off day topic. Would you rather have Casey Candaele, Tim Bogar, Adam Everett or Eric Bruntlett in a critical pinch hitting situation? Would you take any of them over Correa for a playoff roster?
TXAG14
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Astros fans to their coworkers at lunch on Friday...

dshedd41
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Don’t Care. Got Jimbo
cpsencik04
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Farmer1906 said:




Well damn I was actually hoping for the earlier game on Saturday. Oh well
cpsencik04
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Discussed 10 hrs ago
aggiederelict
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Same here as I am bringing the kid to his first playoff game. Oh well, better man up.
Farmer1906
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Ditto
Nuke LaLoosh
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Fkn early games man. May be unloading a couple stros tickets on here for Friday, I'll keep y'all updated.
bearkatag15
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Did not see Mississippi as being a place that could take on a significant portion on his bet

Safe at Home
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So who do we pull for tomorrow? I'm thinking whoever has the best chance of beating the Dodgers. They were both 3-4 vs LA this year. The Brewers seem crippled without Yelich, but went 20-7 after his injury. The Nationals had a 4 game advantage for season record.

Somebody's probably going to say they want too meet the Dodgers again in the series so the Astros can say they beat the best. But I've been a baseball fan long enough to know better.
Mr.Bond
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So he doesn't just take out a standard insurance policy??
I'm looking for Ray Finkle.... and a clean pair of shorts. I'm just a very big Finkle fan. This is my Graceland, sir.


H-Town 2017 WS Champions
astros4545
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Safe at Home said:

So who do we pull for tomorrow? I'm thinking whoever has the best chance of beating the Dodgers. They were both 3-4 vs LA this year. The Brewers seem crippled without Yelich, but went 20-7 after his injury. The Nationals had a 4 game advantage for season record.

Somebody's probably going to say they want too meet the Dodgers again in the series so the Astros can say they beat the best. But I've been a baseball fan long enough to know better.


That Nationals starting staff can duel with anyone