quote:
Um...Jones isn't hobbled. He had 7 blocks last night.
Personally, I'd rather see Memphis. Sure, they are dominant down low, but the Mavs could shoot their way out of it with the 3 ball. Parsons - hot. Dirk - hotter than a few weeks ago. Ellis - who can stop him if healthy? Obviously Chandler would have his hands full with Gasol/Randolph but if the Mavs can improve their perimeter shooting, then there's a better chance.
Don't like the matchup against Houston. Yes, I know they don't have a point guard...but Harden has essentially been the acting point since Beverly was sucking anyways. Houston and Memphis are similar...but Houston shoots the three much more and better. Don't think the Mavs can hang defensively with them.
Of course...what happens tonight will be interesting. Both teams healthyish. A rested and recovered Dwight Howard in the places is somewhat scary.
Welp, let's recap my perfect prediction last night.
Rebounds: Rockets: 55, Mavs: 41
3s: Rockets: 11 (35.5%), Mavs: 8 (30.8%)
Field goal percentage: Rockets: 44.2%, Mavs: 44.0%
Assists: Rockets: 24, Mavs: 23
Free throws: Rockets: 29/40 (72.5%), Mavs: 19/27 (70.4%)
Threes, free throws and rebounding are why the Rockets will be better than the Mavs in a playoff series.
On the season, Rockets average 11.5 threes a game, Mavs average 9 and the Grizzlies average 5.3.
Points: Mavs: 104.5, Rockets: 103.5, Grizzlies: 98.6
Opponent Points: Grizzlies: 95.5, Rockets: 100.3, Mavs: 101.4
The Mavs awful defense clearly favors a matchup against the Grizzlies over one with the Rockets. The Rockets can rain threes over Dirk all day.