I mean, it does specifically say "at this time."texsn95 said:
Saying there's "nothing to worry about" at this point is pretty irresponsible, in my opinion.
I mean, it does specifically say "at this time."texsn95 said:
Saying there's "nothing to worry about" at this point is pretty irresponsible, in my opinion.
texsn95 said:
Saying there's "nothing to worry about" at this point is pretty irresponsible, in my opinion.
Captain Winky said:
Has complaining that storms aren't being hyped up ENOUGH become the new thing?
Hurricane #Beryl Advisory 14: Beryl Becomes a Potentially Catastrophic Category 5 Hurricane In the Eastern Caribbean. Expected to Bring Life-Threatening Winds and Storm Surge To Jamaica Later This Week. https://t.co/tW4KeGe9uJ
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) July 2, 2024
BayAg_14 said:
The folks in Jamaica are hoping that holds true.
Latest GFS is bringing it to Central Texas.texsn95 said:
ICON model now brings this into LA. Windshield wiper here we go...
It's weather. Great job if you can get it because you never are wrong, the weather changedAnti-taxxer said:
What the hell is this??? Is this the same thing that said yesterday it was going straight across the Yucatn and into Mexico??
Anti-taxxer said:
What the hell is this??? Is this the same thing that said yesterday it was going straight across the Yucatn and into Mexico??
Ag_07 said:Anti-taxxer said:
What the hell is this??? Is this the same thing that said yesterday it was going straight across the Yucatn and into Mexico??
Remember when it was discussed to not trust models that far out and there's still a chance it could turn northward?
Well...
Quote:
After that time the system will most likely remain bottled up in the southern Gulf of Mexico. However, given the trend toward weakening high pressure over Texas, some of the the moisture from Beryl could work its way north. This will influence the extent to which Houston sees increased rainfall chances late in the weekend and next week. Is there a scenario in which Beryl becomes a bit more organized and its center tracks toward Texas? Yes. But for now this seems less likely an outcome than just increased rainfall chances for the greater Houston area. We'll keep a close eye on it all.
Even if it heads north but stays just a TS as shown here, not the end of the worldSerotonin said:
I love Sea Speeds's latest forecast (nothing burger with 30 mph winds hitting just north of the border in south Texas.)
But IMO still way too far out to be certain. Just watch the NOAA NHC cone. If we start moving into the cone then it's pucker time.
Sea Speed said:
They didn't expect cat 5 and here we are. I think saying anything with that degree of certainty right now is a mistake, although I obviously hope you're right.
Yeah they've all been a few categories low in the modeled wind speed estimates. It's about to hit an area of higher shear in the Carib so we'll see how much it weakens. But unless it gets a lower track through the Mx peninsula and has a few days to weaken over land, I don't see how we don't at least have a Cat 1 in the GoM.Sea Speed said:
They didn't expect cat 5 and here we are. I think saying anything with that degree of certainty right now is a mistake, although I obviously hope you're right.
texsn95 said:
Fascinating