Interesting graphs.

Both deaths were females, 60s & 70s.

12 discharges.

60 more recovered. We now have more recovered than active cases.

Total Bed Occupancy: 75%

Total ICU Bed Occupancy: 69%

Total Covid patients in local hospitals: 67.

Spreadsheet updated.

Some rounding issues where the percentages given are not finite enough to get exactly the same numbers...

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q

34 current hospitalization that are Brazos County residents.

Learned from above poster that each ICU patient is about 2% of capacity.

30 tests, 83 new cases, 1 death

http://www.brazoshealth.org/sites/default/files/inline-files/7.5.20.pdf

It will be interesting to see what things look like in two weeks. Tons of big get-togethers all around us (77803) this weekend.

You're grown; do whatever you want. Everyone else already is.

Apologies for the hyperbole.

To the best of my ability, I'm doing what I can to make sure my family and all those we interact with have an improved chance of staying uninfected. There's quite a few people I observe here in BCS who aren't making the same decision.

So we want to see hospitalization and death rates stay low (like they currently are) but rates of infection level off/decrease, right?

Quote:

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Those hospital numbers are LOW for a holiday weekend, y'all.

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The BCHD Facebook post from earlier today states that the Total Brazos County Hospital Occupancy percentage is 'as of 7.2.20.' It may be a couple of days before we know the % from this weekend. I'm not really sure, because every daily update post since 7/2 says this and the %'s differ each day.

I think they just haven't changed the date. The percentages have changed every day.

Thanks. I had just noticed that and edited my post.

Spreadsheet updated.

Some rounding issues where the percentages given are finite enough to get exactly the same numbers...

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11DhOiIPQwUQ5teJsvOV_JYp-zDkE4Eq5bQ91fud7y9Q

Looking at the numbers on the spreadsheet (thanks lockett), the number of new cases has doubled in the past 2 weeks. If my math is correct, the positivity rate over the last 2 weeks is 13.7% (with 9 deaths).

6/21 - 7/5:
Total number of tests - 9,061
Total new cases - 1240

I liked this analysis and write-up, as it tends to draw the same conclusions and opinions that I support.

https://outkick.com/coronavirus-daily-deaths-down-92-4-from-peak-have-declined-ten-straight-weeks/

Jinx said:

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Is that essentially the definition of confirmation bias?

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confirmation bias
noun
the tendency to interpret new evidence as confirmation of one's existing beliefs or theories.

I don't think I did any "interpretations". But I'm glad I found an article that aligns well with my opinions on the subject matter. An article that is well written and backed up by fancy charts and graphs and facts that support the similar opinion.

The point of the article, I saw it earlier today, is that the health care system is much improved at treating this, and the mortality rate is way down from a couple months ago. If it's truth, backed by facts, not sure how that's confirmation bias.

I find it to be great news, encouraging that we are able to see higher survival rates in just a few short months.

Gap said:

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jeffk said:

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It will be interesting to see what things look like in two weeks. Tons of big get-togethers all around us (77803) this weekend.

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If it isn't "interesting" in two weeks, do we get to stop panicking about it and go about our lives with people taking precautions only as they see fit?

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If you don't get into an accident while you wear a seatbelt do you wear one the next time you get in your car?

What kind of logic is this? Hospitals around the state are literally at capacity right now. Lets hope we somehow avoid disasters in certain parts of the state but you honestly think this "panicking" is not appropriate?

People taking precautions as they see fit has us on the brink of an absolute disaster. You guys can talk about how not bad this is, but the moment those hospitals start triaging patients we step off a cliff and the death rate will climb very quickly and very harshly.

I don't think some of you quite grasp how close to a proverbial cliff we are in parts of Texas.

EDIT: And just to be clear, this "panicking" isn't even a shutdown. Its not allowing indoor dining, bars being closed, and telling you to wear a mask.

Bunk Moreland said:

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The way we treat severe covid patients has already improved dramatically over the last 4 months now that we know so much more.

Additionally its now an undisputed fact the high death rates early on were direct results of policy decisions in certain states that mandated actions which did the exact OPPOSITE of what we should do during an epidemic, which is protect our most vulnerable (the elderly) .

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I don't discount that one bit. That goes all out the window when you have limited access to services because hospitals are overwhelmed. This is currently happening parts of Texas. Not here, but the systems are strained quite severely state wide.

People really don't seem to get the severity of the current situation.

Bunk Moreland said:

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Where are the areas under severe strain and what is the severity?

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https://www.texastribune.org/2020/07/04/texas-coronavirus-rio-grande-valley-hospitals/

San Antonio is pretty bad as well.