I know first hand Vivek has made some blunders in Ohio, but he should win, even if he did piss off a solid block of R voters throughout his campaign.

That's what the data seems to support/show imho.

Poll's clearly underestimating Mike Rogers with seniors but they're just tied while Rogers wins the crucial 40-64. Abdul El-Sayed builds his margin on the low-energy under 40 crowd who are likely to say they'll vote and not show up.

Toss-up race at best for Abdul El-Sayed, but… https://t.co/uqTzFDrHtG

— Chris (@chriswithans) October 12, 2026

The Star Tribune, of all places, shows Tafoya has a 97% approval rating among Republicans.

Democrats are scrambling to defuse this ad because it’s actually landing with independents. Which is who you need to win in Minnesota.

Run through the tape, folks. https://t.co/0OoDigXMe4

— Dustin Grage (@GrageDustin) October 12, 2026

Unlike Vivek, Tafoya has run an almost brilliant campaign.

CLF has now cut bait in three districts. The house republican leadership has been telling members and the public that they are poised to expand their majority in November. https://t.co/PUggcRF9ce

— Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) October 13, 2026

Younger skew D and so far they just aren't voting.

Early Vote Age Demographics Update 10/13:

Since the previous update, the overall share of under 40 voters has finally increased. It happened everyone, congratulations to the younger voters figuring out how to return mail ;)

In total, they increased 1.25% share of the total… https://t.co/CJ2AGsMI96 pic.twitter.com/YVOjumZOO6

— CA ET Nerd (@earlyvotedata) October 13, 2026

Possible October surprise issue if Trump really does release records showing Obama knew about Nidal Hassan intentions in advance (and then later labeled it 'workplace violence' to screw surviving family members/excuse jihad).

If this has legs, and I doubt Trump would bluff on something like this, then Obama and his crew now have a whole new set of problems, with an exposed flank to attack.

The timing is perfect to take full advantage of the spectacle, especially with the public execution scheduled… https://t.co/OyR4Ol8zdC

— AwakenedOutlaw⚒️ (@AwakenedOutlaw) October 13, 2026

🔵 News - Fox News shifts 18 House ratings, all in Democrats' favor.

AR-02: Safe R → Likely R
IA-01: Toss-up → Lean D
IA-03: Toss-up → Lean D
IN-05: Solid R → Likely R
KY-06: Likely R → Lean R
MO-02: Likely R → Lean R
MT-01: Lean R → Toss-up
NV-02: Solid R → Likely R…

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 13, 2026

TRM said:

---

CLF has now cut bait in three districts. The house republican leadership has been telling members and the public that they are poised to expand their majority in November. https://t.co/PUggcRF9ce

— Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) October 13, 2026

---

More NYT propaganda overplaying normal funding shifts as the races draw to a close.

Thanks for sharing!

We're seeing the same voting pattern play out in Ohio and Georgia:

- Black people (heavily Dem) are not voting
- Young people (heavily Dem) are not voting

No blacks and no youngs means no blue wave. https://t.co/K3ZYB0JjkX

— Matt Forney (@mattforney) October 13, 2026

Most of the early voting stats in Ohio are saying the opposite.

https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/11/politics/early-voting-midterms-ohio-democratic-shift-vis

Quote:

---

After the first days of early voting in Ohio, a state that could help determine control of the Senate, there are clear signs Democrats are more enthusiastic to vote.

So far, affiliated Democrats make up larger shares of pre-election voters than they did two years ago, even in the most Republican parts of the state.

At this point in 2024, Republicans had a 30-percentage point lead over Democrats in counties that voted for President Donald Trump by 20 points or more, according to data from the Ohio Secretary of State. This year, that's shrunk to just five points.

The data is just the latest sign of a positive midterm environment for Democrats, as former Sen. Sherrod Brown looks to defeat Republican Sen. Jon Husted, and it comes as a CNN poll finds Brown leading by six points. In the governor's race, Democrat Amy Acton leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy by eight points.
The overall electorate so far is about 27 points more Democratic than it was at the same point in 2024.

---

Early voting hasn't even begun in Georgia so I am not sure what the guy is saying there.

Early voting started today.

Everyone calm down. Looks like Trump has it figured out. At least I think that's what he's saying. Not 100%. Honestly, they may have just left the ketchup off his double quarter pounder w/ cheese.

New media post from Donald J. Trump

( TS: Oct 13 2026, 3:55 PM ET )​​​​​​​​‍‌​​‌​‌​‌​‌‌​​‍‌​‌‍‍‍‍​‍​‌‌​‌‍‍‌‌‌​‍ pic.twitter.com/VfgPYIzC6P

— Commentary Donald J. Trump Truth Social Posts On X (@TrumpTruthOnX) October 13, 2026

First he protected the dogs, cats, ducks and gooses from the Haitians.

Now he is freeing the lions.

God Bless Donald John Trump. Leader of the Pride of Freedom Fighters.

Translation: Frequent and reliably Democratic voters (voted D in 4 of 4 elections) are answering polls much more often than frequent Republican voters.

Some pollsters have compensated for this since 2016, but many still haven’t — and that will inevitably skew polling averages. https://t.co/CQ7yYaTi1i

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) October 13, 2026

Polls are off!

An angle I hadn't considered. I like it.

This bit about Al-Sayed and his now confirmed ties to the Muslim Brotherhood. I have heard twice the reference they spawned Hamas. That's true.

But they also spawned the whole movement that led to the PLA, the Houthis, Hezbollah, and one of the OG soldiers of the Muslim Brotherhood was one Ruholla Khomeni, yes that ol chap who brought us the Islamic Republic of Iran, the IRGC and 5 decades of war in the Middle East.

Also, Al-Qaeda and ISIS / ISIL.

People really need to understand that the Dem (Socialist) candidate currently leading the US senate race in Michigan has strong ties to the Muslim Brotherhood and the source of all the jihad and terror from the Muslims for decades.

Trust the process. pic.twitter.com/CaGS35q5Lh

— The White House (@WhiteHouse) October 13, 2026

DSA Dems in real trouble in Nevada is great to finally see.

It is also important to note that republicans did pretty in the 2022 midterm (Lombardo unseated the super well-funded Sisolak in the governor race).

— Khoa (@1980Khoa) October 14, 2026

I thought Democrat Jon Ralston had finally retired/given up, guess not.

Trump can still land 200 punches a minute. He's tirelessly trekking all over the country changing 1000's of minds per rally.

People are mad about gas prices and trumpflation, but he's bringing them on back. The dems will be cowering on election day.

Grapesoda2525 said:

---

Trump can still land 200 punches a minute. He's tirelessly trekking all over the country changing 1000's of minds per rally.

People are mad about gas prices and trumpflation, but he's bringing them on back. The dems will be cowering on election day.

---

I hope that's satire. The only people at his ever shrinking gatherings are people who were voting R anyway.
Inflation numbers released today topped 3.7%. That's a four month high. Up from 3.3% last month. It was 2.4% before the war. Gas prices were up 9% in September.
Diesel prices, which feed into supply costs for groceries and just about every other product bought in stores, stood at $6.29 a gallon, according to AAA. That figure amounts to an increase of about 66% since the outbreak of the Iran War.
Yeah, he's winning.

Dallas82 said:

---

Grapesoda2525 said:

---

Trump can still land 200 punches a minute. He's tirelessly trekking all over the country changing 1000's of minds per rally.

People are mad about gas prices and trumpflation, but he's bringing them on back. The dems will be cowering on election day.

---

I hope that's satire. The only people at his ever shrinking gatherings are people who were voting R anyway.
Inflation numbers released today topped 3.7%. That's a four month high. Up from 3.3% last month. It was 2.4% before the war. Gas prices were up 9% in September.
Diesel prices, which feed into supply costs for groceries and just about every other product bought in stores, stood at $6.29 a gallon, according to AAA. That figure amounts to an increase of about 66% since the outbreak of the Iran War.
Yeah, he's winning.

---

Trump woke up and hurt your feelings. Sorry about that.

I prefer my grandkids not to be nuclear fissile material.

Inflation is basically gas prices.

JUST IN: Gasoline prices surged 9.1% in September, accounting for roughly half of the 0.6% monthly CPI increase.

Meanwhile, several food categories saw prices decline, including dairy (-0.9%) and meat, poultry, fish and eggs (-0.5%). pic.twitter.com/4EMb5Qed5z

— Liquid (@liquidtrading) October 14, 2026

I'm not saying that's a good thing at all, but it is clearly related to that primarily, not consumer goods etc. which is a longer term impact. Democrats will celebrate of course.

*HASSETT: SEE A VERY, VERY GOOD HOLIDAY SEASON COMING
*HASSETT: SEEING ALMOST HEALTHY SPENDING

*HASSETT: ECONOMIC STRENGTH IS SHOWING A BIT IN INFLATION DATA
*HASSETT: STRENGTH OF THE ECONOMY IS VISIBLE

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 14, 2026

Spending and unemployment are pretty good news, in any case.

Dallas82 said:

---

Grapesoda2525 said:

---

Trump can still land 200 punches a minute. He's tirelessly trekking all over the country changing 1000's of minds per rally.

People are mad about gas prices and trumpflation, but he's bringing them on back. The dems will be cowering on election day.

---

I hope that's satire. The only people at his ever shrinking gatherings are people who were voting R anyway.
Inflation numbers released today topped 3.7%. That's a four month high. Up from 3.3% last month. It was 2.4% before the war. Gas prices were up 9% in September.
Diesel prices, which feed into supply costs for groceries and just about every other product bought in stores, stood at $6.29 a gallon, according to AAA. That figure amounts to an increase of about 66% since the outbreak of the Iran War.
Yeah, he's winning.

---

MAGA doesn't care about facts. It's all about scaring people into believing that a transgender dude is going to be running around on the soccer field with people's little princess and stalking her in bathroom stalls after the game is over.

Might want to rewatch that movie if you think it's about Iran

Quote:

---

Might want to rewatch that movie if you think it's about Iran

---

Well, Iranian Artificial Intelligence known as Skynet is handling most of our defense strategy, right?

amercer said:

---

Might want to rewatch that movie if you think it's about Iran

---

It's a representation of children on a playground being vaporized by a nuke.

If you think it's being used to promote a James Cameron flick, you may want to put the internet down and grab a book as you don't seem to be ready for it yet.

Windy City Ag said:

---

Quote:

---

Might want to rewatch that movie if you think it's about Iran

---

Well, Iranian Artificial Super Intelligence known as Skynet is handling most of our defense strategy, right?

---

So far it really seems like the youth is not enthusiastic to vote(yet?)across most states with data. Youth skew heavily D.

GEORGIA - 10/14 Update

Recreating a model I ran in 2024 to see *who* is voting and in what kind of volume. This is sorted by what I’m calling “presidential punching power.”

The final column is what percentage of the 2024 presidential vote count each county already has in for… pic.twitter.com/7mg0Nqtejd

— Seth Keshel (@RealSKeshel) October 14, 2026

The message is out to hedge bigtime. Herding is now beginning in Texas toward the R side.

The purpose of the suppression polling is to test whether or not it blunts rural/suburban R turnout.

Within a few days of 10/19 it will become obvious if TX Sen is headed for a 2018… https://t.co/NcKdCEoLzb

— Seth Keshel (@RealSKeshel) October 14, 2026

"Nearly 80% of Arizona voters have an unfavorable opinion of public education in their state, one of the few areas of agreement between Republicans and Democrats in the weeks leading to Election Day. The League of American Workers shared the polling data exclusively with the…

— Steve Cortes (@SteveCortes) October 14, 2026

Wow, what a photo.

flown-the-coop said:

---

Dallas82 said:

---

Grapesoda2525 said:

---

Trump can still land 200 punches a minute. He's tirelessly trekking all over the country changing 1000's of minds per rally.

People are mad about gas prices and trumpflation, but he's bringing them on back. The dems will be cowering on election day.

---

I hope that's satire. The only people at his ever shrinking gatherings are people who were voting R anyway.
Inflation numbers released today topped 3.7%. That's a four month high. Up from 3.3% last month. It was 2.4% before the war. Gas prices were up 9% in September.
Diesel prices, which feed into supply costs for groceries and just about every other product bought in stores, stood at $6.29 a gallon, according to AAA. That figure amounts to an increase of about 66% since the outbreak of the Iran War.
Yeah, he's winning.

---

Trump woke up and hurt your feelings. Sorry about that.

I prefer my grandkids not to be nuclear fissile material.

---

Pretty sure we "obliterated" Irans nuke capability about a year and a half ago. At least that's what Trump and Hegseth said and they wouldn't lie, would they?

Quote:

---

A new poll from the University of Texas at Austin found Democrats with narrow leads in nearly every statewide race after trailing their Republican challengers in the same poll just two months ago a sign of an increasingly competitive midterm election just days from early voting.

U.S. Senate nominee James Talarico and Democratic lieutenant governor candidate Vikki Goodwin each held 3-percentage-point leads over Republicans Ken Paxton and Dan Patrick, respectively.

Nathan Johnson, Gina Hinojosa and Jon Rosenthal had 1-point leads in their races for attorney general, governor and Railroad Commission.

---

Is CNN changing for good in how they report? Lot of negative Democrat news lately.

CNN: Jewish support for Democrats in New York has collapsed

NY Generic Ballot Among Jews
2018: 🔵 Dem +40
2022: 🔵 Dem +49
2026: 🔵 Dem +13 pic.twitter.com/7JNR0hgsf2

— OSZ (@OpenSourceZone) October 14, 2026

Oh absolutely not. Their shift actually started around a week to ten days ago, and reflects the normal trend to shift from 'massive blue wave' to something more defensible by election day (and the week after for places like California that don't believe in counting votes honestly).

Democrats rely on honest polling (conservatives don't participate), and youth voters to put them in the positions widely claimed. It's farcical, and particularly in battleground states. Even Harry Enten @ CNN has been on this, but one can easily find recent clips of him championing DSA Dems as well of course.

15.1% of all votes cast in EIP in Georgia in 2024 were 18-29 year olds. This year 3.9% (cumulative) https://t.co/wcjywlNsTl

— Latinx Adjacent Doctor PhD (@TonerousHyus) October 14, 2026

Hidden GOP vote could ‘easily’ keep the Senate in Republican hands | Nick Givas, The Western Journal

CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said Monday that Republicans have a substantial chance of maintaining their Senate majority if polling numbers are off by only a few points.… https://t.co/vZ0ybSo04u

— Owen Gregorian (@OwenGregorian) October 14, 2026

They know it's coming so the propagandizing is just slowing the pace so they have clips as such to refer back to.

INSANE!

Florida Democrat Angie Nixon now says she will also “lock up" her political opponent if elected to the Senate:

NIXON: "I want her locked up and punished in jail."

CNN: "You want your Republican opponent locked up?”

NIXON: "Yeah, basically…” https://t.co/xR9QoYymbo pic.twitter.com/t2TG5TCR9y

— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) October 14, 2026

I don't think it even ever occurs to Democrats just how much damage they do to themselves when they talk about waging lawfare against the opposition. In a democracy, one party can't outlaw the other party.