Captn_Ag05 said:
That is unweighted. Do you have the weighted sample numbers? But, Trump only getting 1% of the Dem sample tells me their unweighted Dem sample is overly liberal, overly urban, and overly educated/credentialed.
That's one of the main problem with almost all of the media polls, especially the ones (which is almost all of them) that primarily buy data sets from others rather than doing their own actually polling.
They might have a solid balance of factors like age, gender, race, income, etc., but what many of them don't have is a good balance between more educated/less educated and more credentialed/less credentialed.
In fact, if you examine the cross tabs of the media polls some of them don't even itemize these factors at all; which are probably the most telling delineators in an election including Donald Trump.
Some might say they're hiding this information for the purpose of putting out purposely skewed polls, but there's another explanation as well.
The highly educated/credentialed voters are easier (and therefore cheaper) to poll. They are more likely to seek out panels to join, more likely to fill out online surveys, and much more likely to answer the telephone and talk the ear off of the person on the other end of the line.
Therefore, the polling firm (being cheapskates) fill their quota of respondents from each demographic group with an overeducated/over-credentialed sample that is not very representative of the voters as a whole and skews Democrat.