Russia/Ukraine from Another Perspective (Relaunch Part Deux)

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Stat Monitor Repairman
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2:10a, 11/9/24
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nortex97
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In reply to Stat Monitor Repairman • 4:30a, 11/9/24
AG
It's just a reflection of the UFA being out of manpower, imho. They've beens ending drone, medic and ADA operators to the front lines for a month, I imagine their repair/maintenance/depot type folks are paper thin.


Sitrep: Trump's arrival and the war.
Quote:
Europe in particular is in utter shambles as their sunk-cost failure in Ukraine has exposed feeble European leaders as true naked emperors before their seething populaces. Germany continues to completely unspool before our eyes as France's Macron issued a temp-gauging panic statement about the need for Europe to become 'omnivores' in a world full of 'carnivores', lest the decaying continent get left behind for good.

In short, Europe is flailing as it sinks below the tides of historyMacron here belatedly essays to deploy the life raft to no avail. Europe has subordinated itself to the US in such a way as to become mere abject pawns, with no sovereignty of their own, their leaders disposable factotums to be rearranged at whim on the board by the real power players. Macron scrabbles desperately to cling to the status quo, but the train has gone.
Just disgraceful 'leaders.' Anyway, more at the link, mostly with blind speculation as to Trump's plans but we won't know this one until he is sworn in, imho, as he will get into another impeachment saga if he actually attempts to conduct foreign policy while still a private citizen.

In other news from the doomed people of Ukraine:
Quote:
Quote:
"UKRAINE FAILS TO MEET MOBILIZATION PLAN FOR 2024": - MP of the Ukrainian Defense Committee, Solomiya Bobrovskaya (speaking). We are not fulfilling the plan for this year, nor for the month that was set.

We are returning to the situation of spring 2024 - she says. What Ukraine calls mobilization, other countries may call kidnapping of all men. As such, it is running out of men & looking to lower the mobilization age to 18 (from current 25, and before that 27.) So far, Zelensky said he would not do that. But he also got voted in on a campaign of peace, promising to end the civil conflict in Donbass
A Ukrainian officer says losses in retreat are nearly as high as on attackconfirming a much discussed talking point amongst our analyst community.
Quote:
"The trend is clear. Almost no one wants to join the infantry. The death rate is too high... There is no trust in the military leadership. Just in fact. We're retreating. And the army loses as many people in retreat as the army loses in the offensive."
The same officer later says "it's time to start digging fortifications in Kiev".
Sad what Nuland has wrought.


Hopefully Georgians can withstand the onslaught the Ukrainians could not;



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nortex97
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5:07a, 11/11/24
AG
Rutte threatens to expel the US from Nato:

He is a Soros club of Rome idiot (led the charge on Dutch farmers being his most famous act), but I don't buy that one.


WaPo made up some story about a Trump Putin call (Trump knows any such talk will/would be monitored, no point in having one), and little green turd's minions are whining about being blown off:




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OPAG
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9:57a, 11/11/24
AG
This seven minute vid 100% absolutely nails the whole truth behind Ukraine.

"only one thing is important!"
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nortex97
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5:19a, 11/13/24
AG
Interesting target:


Sitrep:
Quote:
Quote:
The United States is considering holding parliamentary and presidential elections in Ukraine in 2025, the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service reported.

The creation of a new pro-American party is being discussed among US-funded Ukrainian activists. The nomination of candidates for the elections will be carried out in agreement with the State Department.
This is precisely what we've been predicting here since last year: that once Zelensky begins to act recalcitrant against ending the war, Washington would have no choice but to begin drumming up 'democratic' Ukrainian elections in order to install a new more popular leader, amenable to Washington's demands. To manufacture victory for this leader would be as easy for Washington as any other routine coup, since all media organs are owned by the West. Zaluzhny would be the obvious choice particularly since I reported several articles ago how he had recently hinted he's no longer concerned about regaining all Ukrainian territory, which is likely his way of signaling to the West that he's the man for the hatchet job.
No one thinking about this in the State Dept right now will really matter by the end of January, so whatever. Glad they are finally thinking about these obvious steps, though.

Pfft:



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PlaneCrashGuy
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In reply to nortex97 • 9:50p, 11/13/24
AG
After years of telling us Ukraine can't hold elections because occupied territory cannot vote, the second the current leadership becomes inconvenient they will suddenly be able to hold elections. The corruption is so obvious its gross.
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nortex97
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5:32a, 11/14/24
AG


DNI will probably have issues with the conduct of this proxy war, and our Ukrainian 'allies.'



Another sitrep on saint Z's pending departure timetable today:



I think he still owns that Tuscan winery/estate and will likely retire there. And after all, maybe he's being fed the equivalent of MSNBC/CNN fake news about the war this whole time:
Quote:
Not only did Economist now roll out some "internal polling" that seemingly didn't exist before, but the big kicker is the predictable insertion of Zaluzhny as new heir to the throne. That's not to mention the suggestive lay out of their preferred outcome:
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But a former colleague of the president says his best move might be to step asideregardless, and keep to his original promise only to serve one term. "Zelensky has only one way out to get out with an intact reputation," this source says. "That is to run elections [without him] and go down in history as the man who united the nation in war." The alternative is to risk being associated with a military collapse or an incomplete peace.
Ah, so a 'dignified bow out' just like the same establishment forces asked of Zelensky's fateful partner-in-crime Joe Biden. Remember, it's either the "easy way" or the "hard way", as Pelosi said; the same stands for Zelensky. Take your free trip to Tel Aviv or we can begin raising the level of 'encouragement'. After all, recall Zaluzhny was directed to step down from his role as general for a long time, and it was only after his direct subordinates began to be assassinated did he heed the warning and do as he was told.
The other excerpt from the article which went viral today was the following:
Quote:
The army is censoring the most negative news to avoid fanning flames back home, he says. A senior military official agrees. Even Mr Zelensky is being shielded from the truth. "It's not even that he's being kept in a warm bath," the source says, using a local idiom to suggest the president was being cocooned by his top officials. "He's being kept in a sauna."
Well, now, would you look at that? So maybe when Zelensky spouts off those ridiculous numbers about Russian losses, he's not exactly the most trustworthy source? As preposterous as it may sound, given the above, it may even be the case that Zelensky actually believes the figures that only 30,000 or so AFU troops have died. He could very well think he's winning the war based on his info-cocoon; scary thought.
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nortex97
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10:13a, 11/15/24
AG
LOL again at the folks who think Trump's administration won't change the direction/support for this dangerous and needless war quickly.


Even the NYT sees it coming:


Looking like another offensive is brewing:


Ukraine needs to cut a deal asap.
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Teslag
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In reply to nortex97 • 10:43a, 11/15/24
AG
I like how the chart starts in November of 2022 and doesn't included Kursk. Charts must be the new zoomed in maps.
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Teslag
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10:51a, 11/15/24
AG
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-war-troops-losses-1985722


Yikes. Having to rely on North Koreans to do their fighting and now cutting their own pay. Tough times in Russia
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nortex97
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In reply to Teslag • 11:19a, 11/15/24
AG
It's a nyt chart so to be fair it could be fake indeed.
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PlaneCrashGuy
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In reply to Teslag • 5:32p, 11/15/24
AG
Teslag said:
I like how the chart starts in November of 2022 and doesn't included Kursk. Charts must be the new zoomed in maps.


The chart could start at any point in time and the meaning of the graph would not change. The rate of Russian gains is increasing as of late. One "tiny village" per month has become one "tiny village" per week. That increase is true of whatever adjective you want to use to describe their gains. Ukraine can't seem to stop the advance. Its moving inch by inch exactly like we told you it would. Before you ask "Why can't Russia take a gajillion per day" or whatever, answer why Ukraine can't stop it.
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Teslag
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In reply to PlaneCrashGuy • 5:58p, 11/15/24
AG
False
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nortex97
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In reply to Teslag • 4:16a, 11/16/24
AG
Teslag said:
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-war-troops-losses-1985722


Yikes. Having to rely on North Koreans to do their fighting and now cutting their own pay. Tough times in Russia
The Russian army has generally been among the best paid, so some of this is unsurprising really.



Much is made of the NoKo troops in some quarters of the internet but I still don't see any real significance. It's just spin/PR on their side. It appears they have no problem continuing to recruit/replace and grow their total armed forces strength both within the theater and outside.




Sigh…

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YouBet
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In reply to nortex97 • 8:43a, 11/16/24
AG
No one should be surprised if Zelenskyys people are lying to him. Remember that we had d bags in Trump's admin publicly bragging about the fact that they were lying to Trump about the number of soldiers we had in the ME to counteract his demands to leave. Not to mention all the other sabotage activities they were doing.

I'm looking at you John Kerry you traitorous POS.
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wannaggie
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9:30a, 11/16/24
I haven't followed any of the Ukraine news for these past few years. As soon as it started, I decided it had all the feel of the same disastrous realpolitik ****e we've watched for decades. So there's no point in getting intellectually or politically exercised about it. The chess match among the globalist power class will proceed, millions of humans will suffer for it, and then enough pawns will be depleted in that area for the power class to turn their efforts to another location where they've got more pawns to activate.

As I have read just a little bit about it in the past few days, it felt a bit familiar, and then I realized what it reminded me of -- the CIA and other deep state factions using an otherwise unimportant regional power to draw in, distract, and drain Russian resources... Hmm.. sounds Qaeda familiar, doesn't it?
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nortex97
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In reply to wannaggie • 9:49a, 11/16/24
AG
Yeah, you are pretty much on-target, imho. And note, even Saint Zelensky, freedom fighter extraordinaire says that with the adults in charge again in the US (or rather, the globalist/neocon/WEF folks out of power), he expects the war to end sooner now.


Though of course he is positioning himself as some sort of 'strong man:'


A return of 'normal' Russian trade and energy flows is essential for Europe's economy:


I've paid attention to the war because I think the orchestrated loss of lives is maddening, especially when we have had leadership that simply didn't even care about our own borders/sovereignty. Again, the beneficiaries are the oligarchs of Russia/China, and the money laundering/politicians/military intelligence complex in the US who play their games. It's just gross.
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YouBet
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In reply to nortex97 • 11:10a, 11/16/24
AG
LOL. How in the world can he state we can't force him to the negotiating table? He exists because of us.
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PlaneCrashGuy
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In reply to YouBet • 12:23p, 11/16/24
AG
You can go back about 170 pages and his tune was "we will retake Crimea"

Z might not fully understand his place, but he's making progress.
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nortex97
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4:22a, 11/18/24
AG
Champions of fascist Kiev forever-war hawks are ecstatic about striking into Russia further with ATACMS (which have been a non-factor for over a year) but meanwhile more decapitating strikes on Ukraine's energy grid are the actual significant military event happening this past week.
Quote:
Bloomberg reports that generation at Ukrainian nuclear facilities was cut back by 40-90%, with only 2 out of 9 total reactors operating at full power:
Quote:
It was said that the major energy terminal in Mukachevo, far western Ukraine, was hit, which couples and transmits European energy to Ukraine. Needless to say, if the hit was effective, it could in large part cut Ukraine off from emergency power transmission from Europe:
Alex Soros, forever-war champion extraordinaire, and opponent of free speech globally, is super excited though!

Quote:
Quote:
The wording in the message, such as "close to adoption," "if approved," and "if received," emphasizes the uncertainty of the situation, without confirming direct permission from the US president.
In the NYT article above, they seem to imply the strikes could be limited to just a narrow band of Kursk, where the purported "North Korean troops" may be active.
Quote:
The weapons are likely to be initially employed against Russian and North Korean troops in defense of Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region of western Russia, the officials said.
There's a lot of things to say about this development.

Firstly: ATACMS have already disappeared from the battlefield, the last usage being recorded something like months ago.

Second: HIMARS have already been used all over Kursk, including on a Russian column some months ago. Both regular HIMARS missiles and ATACMS are fired from the same truckso this new 'authorization' strikes as a little strange. Though the NYT article addresses this:
Quote:
To help the Ukrainians defend Kharkiv, Mr. Biden allowed them to use the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System, or HIMARS, which have a range of about 50 miles, against Russian forces directly across the border. But Mr. Biden did not allow the Ukrainians to use longer-range ATACMS, which have a range of about 190 miles, in defense of Kharkiv.
In other words, more laughable X/bluesky PR.

Forever war, comrades.
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nortex97
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7:17a, 11/18/24
AG




Good thread of Russian advances over the past week.

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nortex97
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6:19a, 11/19/24
AG
LOL.


This is fine, brilliant to gamble on this in the last two months of our demented failed leaders presidency of death and stagflation. I even saw some fresh posts on X about his idiot son being drug addled once more this am.


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GAC06
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In reply to nortex97 • 8:15a, 11/19/24
AG
It must have been a drone strike because an expert here told me ATACMS don't work in Russia. If Ukraine even moves HIMARS from cover they will get instantly destroyed.
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nortex97
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8:30a, 11/19/24
AG
Congratulations to the war hawks running our foreign policy/media from Langley etc.




Super exciting. That ammo depot from NE of Kiev was definitely worth it. I'm sure UFA will be rolling into Sevastopol any minute now. Devastating. Maybe Putin will be toppled. And more 'maidan' revolutions will bring Americans peace and stability in the world. It's all coming together.

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Teslag
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In reply to GAC06 • 8:33a, 11/19/24
AG
GAC06 said:
It must have been a drone strike because an expert here told me ATACMS don't work in Russia. If Ukraine even moves HIMARS from cover they will get instantly destroyed.
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Tom Kazansky 2012
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10:56a, 11/19/24
AG
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Tom Kazansky 2012
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6:03a, 11/21/24
AG


Old but worth another look.
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nortex97
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6:05a, 11/21/24
AG
I think this is the primary imagery that has folks wondering if it was an inert warhead(s) test just to see if UFA AD even reacted.


I'm not an ICBM expert so I really don't have an idea on that but it would seem to me if MIRV's were used from a single missile they wouldn't be spaced out as such (in time), even if targeting basically the same point. Maybe not, I know artillery can be fired consecutively from the same tube and land at the same time based on different charges/trajectory etc.


Kremlinologists surely appreciate this theater:


Yay, war! Escalation is fine, Putin's red lines don't matter and are all talk. Biden and the green goblin have got this.
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zag213004
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In reply to Tom Kazansky 2012 • 6:17a, 11/21/24
AG
Tom Kazansky 2012 said:


Old but worth another look.


Beneficial to Ukraine? You mean total capitulation? And a puppet state?

So Canada executes a full scale invasion from the north east and the Gulf under the guise of there being Nazis in USA that need to be removed. And all Canada wants to do is give the USA something "beneficial".
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TRADUCTOR
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8:52a, 11/21/24
Seems like the Ukraine normal citizens life would change insignificantly if we gave Ukraine to Russia. Most likely the only noticeable difference would be that a clown no longer leads the nation, uh state.
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FCBlitz
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11:10a, 11/21/24
UKR will shot his load of ATACM's as quick as a 14 year old who stole his dad's pile of playboys.

As for those ICBM's, russia literally has 1000's of them and they are just decaying away. Surprised really he hasn't used them before with conventional explosives.


That is why it looks like there are a line of multiple missiles.
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nortex97
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In reply to FCBlitz • 1:03p, 11/21/24
AG
I'm not even sure the ammo depot strike was ATACMS. It might have been just drones and storm shadows.

Meanwhile:

And this is dismissed as 'well, these probably all just don't work and they'd never use them anyway.'

The mental gymnastics about thinking this risk is 'worth it' with a demented POTUS over the last 2 months of his reign of errors are mind-numbing.

War isn't a linear series of predictable steps and fights, ever. That's just a historical truth. And even if you think/assume we have the best weapons and leaders on our side, most great armies/generals in history wind up eventually utterly defeated and disillusioned, whether talking about Hannibal, RE Lee, Rommel, Napoleon, you name it.
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