Russia/Ukraine from Another Perspective (Relaunch Part Deux)

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nortex97
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In reply to PlaneCrashGuy • 5:37a, 1/23/25
AG
And now the NSC as well:

Quote:
During a telephone call on Jan. 22, conducted by Waltz's chief of staff, Brian McCormack, NSC employees were told that they were to leave the office immediately. They were instructed that they could return only at the request of their supervisors, senior directors appointed by the Trump administration, the WP reported.
According to the outlet, about 150 employees remained from the Biden administration, and the departure of such a large number of employees could complicate the administration's work during the transition period.
Dozens of officials sent home on Jan. 22 had been assigned to the NSC from other government agencies, including the Central Intelligence Agency, National Security Agency, the State Department, and the Pentagon.
Those interested in staying with the NSC under Trump were asked to contact the human resources department and told that the new team would review those requests, according to three officials familiar with the matter.
Winning against the Biden war mongers.
Sitrep: Russian advances on 7 key positions:
Quote:
Broader Strategic Observations
Russian advances over the past month highlight a methodical approach characterized by encirclement, resource depletion, and steady territorial gains. While operations in Toretsk and Chasov Yar underscore the challenges of urban combat and logistical constraints, progress in Pokrovsk and Kurakhovo demonstrates the effectiveness of Russia's offensive strategies.
The capture of Kurakhovo and advances toward Pokrovsk and Mirnograd could pave the way for operations extending into Dnepropetrovsk for the first time since 2022, potentially altering the strategic landscape.
As the conflict continues, the effectiveness of Russia's strategy coupled with its ability to manage logistical and operational challenges will play a decisive role. For now, the focus remains on consolidating gains, securing supply lines, and preparing for the next phase of operations.

A laughable thread summarizing Zelensky the Great's assorted insane claims with Lex Fridman in their interview this week (I've read that Lex is going to interview Putin now, but not real sure of that):
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wtmartinaggie
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In reply to nortex97 • 7:46a, 1/23/25
AG
does your graph on russian revenue in rubles account for the 20% devaluation of their currency in the last year?

or the 40% drop since 2022?

honest question.
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nortex97
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In reply to wtmartinaggie • 7:56a, 1/23/25
AG
I think it's currency rate adjusted. There are other analyses besides their own, but global commodities tend to reflect the adjusted rate (rubles:euro etc.) in year-over-year trade. But I dunno really.


(below from the bloomberg piece):
Quote:
The US and its allies have been seeking to stop the Kremlin's war machine by limiting export revenues and imposed more sanctions on Russia's energy industry and banks that service it late last year. That triggered a collapse in the ruble and depressed Russia's foreign trade in December. Exports dropped by 19% last month compared to the previous year, and imports shrank by about 8%, according to central bank data published on Tuesday.

Still, oil and gas income spiked by a third in December from the previous year and increased by 26% for 2024, according to the Finance Ministry, while other sources of revenue posted a similar advance for the full year due to taxes and dividends amid robust economic growth.

"The volume of non-oil and gas revenues in 2024 significantly exceeded estimates in the 2025-2027 budget law, including from the largest tax sources," the Finance Ministry said in a statement.

The increase in revenue allowed the government to spend more than ever, with total expenditure for the month of 7.15 trillion rubles, breaching the previous record set in December 2022.
The bottom line to me is that Russia, nor China are hurting for places to sell/trade their commodities.
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chickencoupe16
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In reply to nortex97 • 11:37a, 1/23/25
AG
nortex97 said:
Can't comment on the validity of the interview translation or the facts stated, but I'm warry of a guy whose pinned comment is this:

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nortex97
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In reply to chickencoupe16 • 11:58a, 1/23/25
AG
Ok, whatever. I haven't seen any disputes as to what all he quoted Zelensky as saying though. Your position seems to be 'attack the messenger' more than anything, imho.

ETA: Tucker's latest with Chamath addresses the…scam war early on.


Still live-streaming on the youtube.
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chickencoupe16
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In reply to nortex97 • 12:53p, 1/23/25
AG
A blind squirrel may find a nut every once in a while but you have consistently posted only the most Russian of views. Your sources are more than dubious and this one is not exception. When you look at his "top 13 doozies" from the interview, most are appear to be mischaracterizations of Zelensky's statements.

After watching 1:38:00 - 42:00, I can confirm that doozie 1 is definitely a mischaracterization. I have started the interview at the beginning and expect to find most of the other 13 are also wrong.
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nortex97
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In reply to chickencoupe16 • 1:18p, 1/23/25
AG
chickencoupe16 said:
A blind squirrel may find a nut every once in a while but you have consistently posted only the most Russian of views. Your sources are more than dubious and this one is not exception. When you look at his "top 13 doozies" from the interview, most are appear to be mischaracterizations of Zelensky's statements.

After watching 1:38:00 - 42:00, I can confirm that doozie 1 is definitely a mischaracterization. I have started the interview at the beginning and expect to find most of the other 13 are also wrong.
LOL, it's on youtube and elsewhere, so you can find the transcripts. I won't try to rebut your precise term of 'doozy,' but recognize that is a good standard for some.

Zelensky's the one who decided to sit down with him, so it's not anyone else' fault who was asked what questions, on tape.
Sorry, not sorry your favorite war is ending soon, and not on Zelensky's preference of tens of thousands of American troops to be stationed in 'Ukraine.' Graft proxy-war there is ending, and yes I am a bit joyous about it and the vindication as to the takes here for the past 2+ years. And I'm not trying to convince you of bias, or anything else, but thank you for joining the thread.

The war has led to a dramatic weakening of American allies and strengthening of China and Russia in particular. I pray that Trump succeeds in ending it.
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PlaneCrashGuy
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In reply to chickencoupe16 • 2:16p, 1/23/25
AG
chickencoupe16 said:
After watching 1:38:00 - 42:00, I can confirm that doozie 1 is definitely a mischaracterization. I have started the interview at the beginning and expect to find most of the other 13 are also wrong.
Zelensky absolutely claimed 3,800 North Korean casualties. What did Zelensky mean when he said "They themselves burn their faces." if you believe the original "doozie" was a mischaracterization.
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nortex97
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4:45a, 1/24/25
AG
Today's reality check updates: Rutte notes the war is going in 'the wrong direction.'

110th "Mechanized" brigade completely enveloped:

Downtown Chazov Yar getting stormed. Are UFA still able to employ M777 systems?

Hungary won't renew Moscow sanctions unless the little goblin of Kiev told to renew gas transit:
Quote:
Hungary will back the extension of EU sanctions against Moscow only if Brussels pushes Ukraine to resume gas transit from Russia to the bloc, Prime Minister Viktor Orban said on Friday.
The Hungarian leader's comments come ahead of an EU vote on whether to prolong sanctions that are due to expire at the end of January. The EU renews sanctions every six months, and the procedure requires unanimity among its 27 member states.
"Hungary lost 19 billion [$20 billion] due to the sanctions, I pulled the handbrake, I asked the European leaders to understand that this cannot continue," Orban said in an interview with the Kossuth radio station when asked about extending the restrictions.
Al Jazeera: Ukrainians sick of the way the state places war burden unequally (I had no idea they were pre-war 8th globally in terms of migrants):
Quote:
The war put the already weak social contract to the test. All of a sudden, a state that had hardly been present in Ukrainians' lives demanded that they sacrifice themselves for its survival.

In the wake of the failure of Russia's initial invasion plan, the surge of unity fuelled a wave of volunteerism. However, as the war ground on, a stark realisation emerged: the state is distributing the burdens and benefits of the war unequally. While some segments of society gain materially or politically, others bear disproportionate sacrifices, fuelling a growing sense of alienation within a large part of the Ukrainian population.
The state has done little to strengthen its relations with citizens in the face of waning war enthusiasm. Instead, government officials have bombarded the population with messaging about self-reliance.
Quote:
According to another July poll, only 29 percent considered it shameful to be a draft dodger.
A consistent pattern can be seen in these surveys: those supporting the continuation or strengthening conscription only constitute about a third of the population; a significant minority evade responding to such questions, reflected in the large number of "hard to say" or "don't know" answers; and the rest openly reject mobilisation.
These attitudes on conscription may seem at odds with results from "victory" polls. The majority in such surveys still indicate that "victory" for Ukraine should mean reclaiming all territories within its 1991 borders and rejecting any concessions to Russia.
But there is really no contradiction here. It is evident that while most Ukrainians would like to see "total victory", they are unwilling to sacrifice their lives for this goal and empathise with others who feel the same. That is why the majority also supports a negotiated peace as soon as possible.
More at the link. Wow.
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nortex97
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9:16a, 1/24/25
AG
Well…yeah.


Again this betrays an intent to negotiate an end, imho, though I am not sure of the context of the statement yet.
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J. Walter Weatherman
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In reply to nortex97 • 9:48a, 1/24/25
nortex97 said:
Well…yeah.


Again this betrays an intent to negotiate an end, imho, though I am not sure of the context of the statement yet.


The context is flattery of Trump and Trump's base, which he is very good at. Doesn't seem much more complicated than that.
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MJ20/20
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In reply to J. Walter Weatherman • 12:21p, 1/24/25
AG
Wait so Putin really isn't a dunk slavic moron about to shake himself to death with parkinson's? Now he's manipulating the POTUS and over half the American voting public through a twitter handle called unusual whales?
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OPAG
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In reply to J. Walter Weatherman • 12:26p, 1/24/25
AG
J. Walter Weatherman said:
nortex97 said:
Well…yeah.


Again this betrays an intent to negotiate an end, imho, though I am not sure of the context of the statement yet.


The context is flattery of Trump and Trump's base, which he is very good at. Doesn't seem much more complicated than that.
The context is absolutely true, flattery or not. LOL
"only one thing is important!"
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J. Walter Weatherman
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In reply to MJ20/20 • 1:20p, 1/24/25
MJ20/20 said:
Wait so Putin really isn't a dunk slavic moron about to shake himself to death with parkinson's? Now he's manipulating the POTUS and over half the American voting public through a twitter handle called unusual whales?


Who said that?
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nortex97
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4:34a, 1/25/25
AG
Excellent Trump: US will not participate in rebuilding Kiev:
Quote:
US President Donald Trump's administration is not interested in taking part in the reconstruction of Ukraine after the conflict is resolved, Bloomberg reported on Friday.

Trump's team has signaled that it doesn't intend to engage directly in rebuilding the country, suggesting that this responsibility would be handled by the private sector, the outlet said, citing a senior diplomat.
The stance marks a significant shift from the policies of Joe Biden's administration, which has spent around $100 billion on financial aid and military assistance to Kiev since the escalation of the Ukraine conflict in 2022, and pledged support with the post-conflict reconstruction.

Kiev has ramped up its privatization efforts to draw in foreign capital as it seeks private investors to support the country's reconstruction. Aleksey Sobolev, Ukraine's first deputy economy minister, outlined a $500 billion reconstruction initiative aimed at bringing both strategic and financial benefits to Western investors.
"It's the private sector that's going to be doing these investments," Sobolev said on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos on Thursday, according to Reuters.

Why? Because USAID is not 'aid' it is the 'agency for international development' and is highly corrupt in Ukraine among other places, as an adjunct/branch of the CIA. It's orchestrated not one, but two color 'maidan' revolutions just in Kiev this century.


What a mess the UFA is. They are transferring ADA and military band members to the infantry now. Recent exchange of bodies was over 10:1 UFA:RUS, for the second month in a row.
Good news, Charles Bausman, a J6 refugee sounds like he will be returning from Russia. Thank you Trump. His substack is excellent.

Putin ready for immediate tele conference with Trump, who seems to be prioritizing meeting face to face.
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PlaneCrashGuy
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7:05p, 1/25/25
AG
It is a shame what this war has done to the general public's perception of war. Many, like this poster, think it should be cheered for or in this case, that it is "not real"

I look forward to this war ending and hope it will happen soon.
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