***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

7,670,042 Views | 47934 Replies | Last: 21 hrs ago by Eliminatus
ABATTBQ11
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B-1 83 said:

When you're depending on North Korean hardware and ammo to shore up your arsenal, you aren't doing well.


Yeah we keep hearing about the millions of rounds Russia is making and how we can't compare, yet they're buying up best Korea's stock.

Makes total sense.
2wealfth Man
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ABATTBQ11 said:

B-1 83 said:

When you're depending on North Korean hardware and ammo to shore up your arsenal, you aren't doing well.


Yeah we keep hearing about the millions of rounds Russia is making and how we can't compare, yet they're buying up best Korea's stock.

Makes total sense.
Russia is running out of labor; not sure they will be able to make anything in quantities if they keep sending folks into the meatgrinder. It's all big faade that is crumbling under the weight of a failed invasion.
Naveronski
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Rossticus said:

If America is forced to really spin up the MIC to a full wartime footing then that could actually backfire on Russia as well.
As someone on the supply chain side of the MIC, we've been onboarding new suppliers for the past couple years, and have a ton of internal capacity as well.

I'd absolutely love to see the quantities we could produce with unlimited money.
Rossticus
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Naveronski said:

Rossticus said:

If America is forced to really spin up the MIC to a full wartime footing then that could actually backfire on Russia as well.
As someone on the supply chain side of the MIC, we've been onboarding new suppliers for the past couple years, and have a ton of internal capacity as well.

I'd absolutely love to see the quantities we could produce with unlimited money.


I hope it never comes down to it but I think people sell US industrial capacity woefully short of what we're still capable of were we forced to exploit said capability.

We can't pivot and move as fast as we used to, but once we're moving….
SamHou
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It's nuts that in one year in WW2, we built 7 fleet aircraft carriers. I wonder how many of our modern carriers we could produce if we were in a war time footing
JFABNRGR
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Interesting comments by American in Ukraine. Meanwhile another refinery in russia hit and Orc ADA shot down their own Helo way behind the front.

“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
benchmark
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Political nuance or policy shift?

Politico: US says Ukraine can hit inside Russia 'anywhere' its forces attack across the border
Quote:

Two U.S. officials, who were granted anonymity to speak candidly about the discussions, maintained that allowing Ukraine to hit inside Russia in response to counterfire from anywhere across the border is not a shift in policy since the Kharkiv decision was made. Originally, the move was characterized only in the context of the ongoing Kharkiv assault, but that did not exclude the possibility of hitting back against other cross-border attacks, said one of the officials.

Still, Sullivan's language is markedly different from what U.S. officials said in May when the new policy was detailed. At the time a senior U.S. official said: "The president recently directed his team to ensure that Ukraine is able to use U.S. weapons for counter-fire purposes in Kharkiv so Ukraine can hit back at Russian forces hitting them or preparing to hit them."
sclaff
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Excellent video. Thanks for posting
2wealfth Man
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This was news to me about Uke Special Forces hitting Russian targets in Syria. Evidently there are training bases for non-Russian "recruits" which were ultimately destined for the "special operation" in Ukraine (as well as other nefarious goings on). Evidently, Russia effectively controls large swaths of Syria. That place needs to be cleaned-out as well.

https://defence-blog.com/ukrainian-special-forces-strike-russian-positions-in-syria/

AgLA06
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I believe the same is happening in parts of Africa.
74OA
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The EU is adapting its rules to fund centralized arms production rather than relying on individual national defense budgets alone. That's good news, but the persistent lack of urgency getting it done is baffling.

"Still, some insiders believe the pace of change will be slow, and there are still differing opinions about what the defense of Ukraine means for Europe. "Things usually only happen fast if there is a super crisis which is not the case right now," said Manica Hauptmann, political head of the Representation of the European Commission in Berlin. "It's super open how these discussions will develop."

DEFENSE

155mm artillery ammo production is a good example. "The scaling up of artillery shell production to help Ukraine defend itself against Russia's invasion equates to "an industrial war," and the time lag to boost output is concerning, the Nammo CEO told Defense News on the sidelines of the round table discussion."

TOP-UP
MaroonStain
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AgLA06 said:

I believe the same is happening in parts of Africa.


Ukraine is attacking RUS assets in other parts of the world. If so....AWESOME...
74OA
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Russian forces have begun employing massive 6,600-pound FAB-3000 M54 bombs turned into glide weapons in Ukraine. This could present a significant new challenge for Ukrainian forces given the amount of destruction power such a weapon could deliver while also helping the launch platform stay further away from Ukrainian air defenses.

TERROR
P.U.T.U
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I am actually surprised they haven't used any FAE/vacuum bombs yet. Russia has used them in Africa several times
74OA
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This is part of the legacy of long Russian dominance that Ukraine is trying to shake off.

"Research has shown that corruption is integral to the way Russia is governed. As Vladimir Gelman has argued, the main characteristic of the Putin system is rent extraction at every level. Formal institutions, therefore, matter only to the extent that they support graft, and who-gets-what is determined informally by the most senior figures in the system. These men and increasingly, their sons and daughters are connected through various cadres. Appreciating this is critical to understanding how Russian governance works. Competence is less important than loyalty, and embezzlement is an entitlement commensurate with rank."

CORRUPTION
USAFAg
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Gangster Nation

12thFan/Websider Since 2003
74OA
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Russia using Sea of Azov as safe haven for its cruise missile ships, glide bombs doing a lot of damage in Ukraine and both sides developing innovative drones, plus other frontline updates.

Today's SITREP.
LMCane
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F-16s should make it harder for the Russkies to deploy those massive glide bombs effectively.

and the Russians are the only reason Bashar Assad still lives in Damascus.
Waffledynamics
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Reports of an air raid on Kyiv right now.
SamHou
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There's a reason why Putin is considered one of the wealthiest men in the world
Waffledynamics
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benchmark
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The gorilla in the closet is what South Korea believes NK will be receiving in return. Given Russia's desperate situation, North Korea was likely promised everything.

Washington Post: Russia and North Korea's military deal formalizes a bustling arms trade
Quote:

Kim similarly is facing increasing economic sanctions and isolation because of his nuclear ambitions. He needs food, fuel, cash and weapons technology all of which Russia can provide.

Although it is unclear what North Korea has received in return so far, there are indications that Russian technology was used in North Korea's recent efforts to launch a spy satellite into space, South Korean parliamentary intelligence committee member Yoo Sang-bum told reporters last year, citing the nation's intelligence agency.
benchmark
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John Marks Dougan is a piece of work. Big player in promoting the early-2022 Russian fake news story about Ukrainian bioweapon labs ... and now his pro-Russian handiwork is showing up in AI chatbots.

Forbes: Top AI Chatbots Spread Russian Propaganda
Quote:

Leading AI chatbots including OpenAI's ChatGPT, Microsoft's Copilot and Google's Gemini are prepared to regurgitate Russian misinformation, says NewsGuard.

The news monitoring service found that, 32% of the time, they spread Russian disinformation narratives created by John Mark Dougan, an American fugitive now operating from Moscow.

The research involved testing ten of the leading AI chatbotsOpenAI's ChatGPT-4, You.com's Smart Assistant, xAI's Grok, Inflection's Pi, Mistral's le Chat, Microsoft's Copilot, Meta AI, Anthropic's Claude, Google's Gemini and Perplexity's answer engine.
John Marks Dougan claims Ukraine developing bioweapons (2022)
Quote:

John Mark Dougan is an increasingly prominent figure in a burgeoning movement of conspiracy theorists who are trying to put meat on the bone of the baseless idea that the Russian invasion of Ukraine was done, at least in part, to destroy U.S-funded biolabs developing deadly pathogens to unleash on the Russian people.
Ag In Ok
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Islamic tension continues to rise in the caucuses.

https://www.foxnews.com/world/russia-opens-terror-probe-attacks-synagogues-orthodox-churches-priest-police-officers-killed
Rossticus
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According to local news in Dagestan (per friend in Russia who just checked for me) two of the attackers are sons of a local government official. This official's profile was immediately deleted from the Yedinaya Rossiya website.

Yedinaya Rossiya (or United Russia) is the current ruling political party in Russia.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Russia

So, a little bit of added intrigue and complexity as opposed to a simple Islamist Terrorist attack, though the official and sons ARE Muslim.
Waffledynamics
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AgLA06
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That's a shame
Rossticus
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AgLA06 said:

That's a shame


Isn't it, though?
lb3
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I can't figure out what value that site has. Are they using it to command Russia's spy satellites?
benchmark
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Waffledynamics
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lb3 said:

I can't figure out what value that site has. Are they using it to command Russia's spy satellites?


Maybe. I did a quick search and found a 2015 article from the Moscow Times with an interesting couple of paragraphs in particular:

Quote:

Without these assets Russia's space program could only communicate with spacecraft as they pass over Russian territory. The only other option was to have NASA patch them into the sprawling U.S. satellite-based tracking and communications network.

But the annexation of Crimea last year has given Russia an opportunity to boost its ability to communicate with its spacecraft and military satellites, and the Defense Ministry has been working to reactivate the tracking and control stations on the peninsula.


https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2015/03/05/crimea-annexation-boosts-russias-deep-space-capabilities-a44525
Ulysses90
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Is the significance of the Crimea location purely it's southern latitude?

edit: Significance with respect to global satellite tracking.
lb3
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Here is the ISS world map in NASA's Mission Control. The yellow circles over Russia are the segment of the sky seen by their ground stations.
Waffledynamics
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Taking the article's word for it shows this:

Quote:

Soviet space officials built a tracking and control facility for these missions on the Crimean Peninsula, where the clear weather and lack of major infrastructure made for less radio interference and better reception.
74OA
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Ulysses90 said:

Is the significance of the Crimea location purely it's southern latitude?
From an earlier link. "Vladimir Putin saw Crimea, linked to the Russian mainland by the Kerch Bridge since 2018, as an unsinkable aircraft-carrier. Its logistics hubs, air bases and the Black Sea Fleet, operating out of Sevastopol, could be used to dominate the south of Ukraine, close off its vital grain exports, and provide a steady flow of men and materiel to push Ukraine out of areas to the north. Mr Putin has invested huge sums in military infrastructure in Crimea, all of it now under threat."
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