Russian mapper Creamy Caprice shows how their daily rate of advance fell off a cliff in October pic.twitter.com/Iw5KsvDKwC

— Preston Stewart (@prestonstew_) November 4, 2026

Brilliant session on #Ukraine F-16 at @DefenceIQ #IFC26. F-16s have scored 4,700 OWA shoot downs mainly with the gun, and in October alone 1,100 shoot downs. "One pilot got a record 8 drones in one sortie using 400 rounds and brought back 100 rounds. A few days ago broke his… pic.twitter.com/6bFR93pF1K

— Gareth Jennings (@GarethJennings3) November 5, 2026

Ukraine has changed tactics for air attacks on Russian energy sites. Appears to be paying off.

"The Ukrainian Armed Forces have finally switched to a tactic of massively striking one oil refinery at a time, rather than several at a time. This is the fourth oil refinery hit in five days. And the third of them (Novokuibyshevsky, Kstovsky, and now Yaroslavsky) is being reduced to literally nothing."

TACTICS

Analysts note that the tactics behind Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil refineries have shifted over the past week.

Instead of carrying out targeted strikes against primary processing units, the entire refinery complex is now coming under fire.

It also looks better. 😂😂😂 pic.twitter.com/E1EOCg3boC

— Jürgen Nauditt 🇩🇪🇺🇦 (@jurgen_nauditt) November 3, 2026

War is forcing Putin to sell off Russia’s gold reserves

In the third quarter of 2026, the Central Bank of Russia sold 18.66 tonnes of gold — more than any other central bank in the world.

According to the World Gold Council, other countries sold significantly smaller amounts.… pic.twitter.com/xPGhpB2hek

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) November 5, 2026

1/ Russian soldiers are reportedly starving to death in a pocket within Russia's Kursk region which has been described as "a second Stalingrad". Thousands are said to have perished, with the unburied bodies and skeletons of Russian soldiers strewn in the streets and woods. ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/jqgeuz7boI

— ChrisO_wiki (@ChrisO_wiki) November 5, 2026

🇺🇦💡‼️ Kyiv on the verge of a total blackout, there may be no more electricity and water: the continued existence of the city's energy facilities is under great question due to intensive strikes by the Russian Federation, these facilities are unrealistic to protect, - Klitschko

— MAKS 26 🇺🇦👀 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) November 5, 2026

"From the Dnipropetrovsk direction, there are fresh reports of deteriorating conditions and consolidation of Ukrainian formations south of the Volchya River. On the eastern flank of the Dnipropetrovsk direction, a threatening situation is developing in the Komar area."

-Rybar pic.twitter.com/6b54ZzlRyq

— Preston Stewart (@prestonstew_) November 5, 2026

For clarification, this is Rybar admitting the Russian MOD is full of *****

Eliminatus said:

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And people still believe Russia is fighting to protect its borders. Damned roving bands of NATO death squads or whatever.

So obliterating Kyiv has a new strategic name to it now. That's neat.

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Must be lots of Nazis and bio labs there according to one poster.

Why fighting infiltrated Russian soldiers is so difficult?

Because there is a lot of them and even a single moron with a rifle is still a dangerous moron. To smoke one out you need at least three guys and a lot of time.

And now imagine that their hideouts are dispersed across…

— Rubizh (@RubizhBrigade) November 5, 2026

Quote:

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Why fighting infiltrated Russian soldiers is so difficult?

Because there is a lot of them and even a single moron with a rifle is still a dangerous moron. To smoke one out you need at least three guys and a lot of time.

And now imagine that their hideouts are dispersed across tens of kilometers and you can see how it becomes a problem.

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The future of warfare is here. And it’s Ukrainian.

russian positions are being stormed by 28 unmanned ground vehicles.

One assault. Zero infantry. pic.twitter.com/hSgKZJfVgM

— UAVoyager🇺🇦 (@CrimeanVoyager) November 5, 2026

Location (48.662697, 37.998328)

Via https://t.co/gNiUOjg5EK pic.twitter.com/Jv2yar5sqH

— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) November 6, 2026

"I'm receiving reports from the front lines: in the Sumy region, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are putting immense pressure, and heavy fighting is taking place for the villages of Loknya and Yunakivka.

The most sensible thing to do now is to leave Yunakivka in the gray zone and… pic.twitter.com/wSHRbLYTny

— Preston Stewart (@prestonstew_) November 6, 2026

Quote:

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"I'm receiving reports from the front lines: in the Sumy region, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are putting immense pressure, and heavy fighting is taking place for the villages of Loknya and Yunakivka.

The most sensible thing to do now is to leave Yunakivka in the gray zone and withdraw to Basivka, towards the forests."

-Russian milblogger Maxim Kalashnikov

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First, Russia knows the NATO infrastructure removal from the Baltic states and Scandinavia is a hard no, so they threw that in there as a possible "concession." But in reality it's a non-concession throwaway. Also, there's no way Ukraine could agree to reductions or limitations…

— Minerva's Owl (@Jim66639044) November 6, 2026

In gratitude for sparing his life, a resident of a Russian border village showed the operator of a Ukrainian FPV drone where to fly, after which the drone struck a vehicle carrying Russian infantry. pic.twitter.com/wxzfQ3AEru

— WarLife (@WarLifeFootage) November 5, 2026

Rossticus said:

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First, Russia knows the NATO infrastructure removal from the Baltic states and Scandinavia is a hard no, so they threw that in there as a possible "concession." But in reality it's a non-concession throwaway. Also, there's no way Ukraine could agree to reductions or limitations…

— Minerva's Owl (@Jim66639044) November 6, 2026

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Why would a peace deal n ed to take until spring of next year?

Sounds like a BS way for Putin/Russia to buy time. The energy strike must be killing their economy.

pagerman @ work said:

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Rossticus said:

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First, Russia knows the NATO infrastructure removal from the Baltic states and Scandinavia is a hard no, so they threw that in there as a possible "concession." But in reality it's a non-concession throwaway. Also, there's no way Ukraine could agree to reductions or limitations…

— Minerva's Owl (@Jim66639044) November 6, 2026

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Why would a peace deal n ed to take until spring of next year?

Sounds like a BS way for Putin/Russia to buy time. The energy strike must be killing their economy.

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Typical deal Putin has no intention of honoring. Give me the thing I need right away (energy strike moratorium) and we will work out the rest of the amorphous details at some later date that I won't commit to at this time. If he wants an energy moratorium, it should come at a heavy price for something Ukraine needs, like stop hitting all civilian targets and pull back all troops at least 10km from the current front line.

pagerman @ work said:

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Rossticus said:

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First, Russia knows the NATO infrastructure removal from the Baltic states and Scandinavia is a hard no, so they threw that in there as a possible "concession." But in reality it's a non-concession throwaway. Also, there's no way Ukraine could agree to reductions or limitations…

— Minerva's Owl (@Jim66639044) November 6, 2026

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Why would a peace deal n ed to take until spring of next year?

Sounds like a BS way for Putin/Russia to buy time. The energy strike must be killing their economy.

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It's an appeal to Trump I am sure for exactly that reason. Russia does not honor agreements. This is fact and inarguable.

Russia isn't losing, but their force disposition, quality, effectiveness, and overall outlook probably have not been lower since the invasion start. Even the bloodbaths of Adiivka and Bakhmut don't match what Russia has suffered in the last two months. Their economy is suffering, morale is low, and their progress on the battlefield has been stopped in all but name. While there is nothing in the moment to indicate that anything in the near future will change those issues they are facing.

Russia is straight up stuck and while Ukraine is still hurting more than they are in general, Russia is catching up. Putin still can't admit it though, so he is very likely seeking time to help get his **** in order IMO. Either that, or he recognizes that Russia is probably at the peak right now of what they can leverage in a peace agreement and every week loses more of that leverage. So it may be genuine? Not giving him the benefit of a doubt on that one though. Not with his history.

If you look at Russia's other requirements as part of this deal, you can see why Russia says that they're willing to concede unoccupied parts of the four claimed oblasts. Their requirements preclude any ability for Ukraine to meaningfully contest them if they come back later on and try to finish the job. Elimination of NATO presence in the Baltics, hamstring Ukrainian military capabilities, prohibit the presence of peacekeepers anywhere that they could get in Russia's way. Yep. This is totally a good faith proposal.

Rossticus said:

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If you look at Russia's other requirements as part of this deal, you can see why Russia says that they're willing to concede unoccupied parts of the four claimed oblasts. Their requirements preclude any ability for Ukraine to meaningfully contest them if they come back later on and try to finish the job. Elimination of NATO presence in the Baltics, hamstring Ukrainian military capabilities, prohibit the presence of peacekeepers anywhere that they could get in Russia's way. Yep. This is totally a good faith proposal.

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Yep. You could summarize the deal in one sentence as "Give me some breathing room to reload while you move any meaningful opposition out of my way."

pagerman @ work said:

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Rossticus said:

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First, Russia knows the NATO infrastructure removal from the Baltic states and Scandinavia is a hard no, so they threw that in there as a possible "concession." But in reality it's a non-concession throwaway. Also, there's no way Ukraine could agree to reductions or limitations…

— Minerva's Owl (@Jim66639044) November 6, 2026

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Why would a peace deal n ed to take until spring of next year?

Sounds like a BS way for Putin/Russia to buy time. The energy strike must be killing their economy.

---

They aren't done overnight.

Look at the Korean war. The peace talks there went on for quite a long time -- I think a couple of years or more.

Looks like we're going to crank that Russian domestic unrest up another notch.

Only a week after the Russian Defense Ministry's low-key announcement that there would be no December salary payments for any military officers not actually in combat, Russians are now figuring out that the payment freezes actually began back in October, even for those at the… https://t.co/Dm8NU1BqF3 pic.twitter.com/GJnZSmYDMk

— Jay in Kyiv (@JayinKyiv) November 7, 2026

Stop paying your military in the middle of an unpopular stalemate war. Doesn't seem like the best plan IMO.

Russians write that Ukraine's Armed Forces have started using Israeli HiSKY satellite terminals for strikes on Russia. The terminal has less bandwidth than Starlink, but it works over all Russian territory. pic.twitter.com/EZlSlNkSm2

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) November 6, 2026

Russia has been increasingly incorporating turbojet engines and mesh radio modems into its long-range strike drones, which is likely allowing Russian forces to more effectively penetrate Ukrainian air defenses and conduct more precise strikes compared to Russia’s Winter 2025-2026… https://t.co/ZN67DllVyT pic.twitter.com/vElXGoDW4Y

— Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) November 8, 2026

Hackers have got into Russias statistic agency Rosstat and found classified data which stated 450,000 Russian soldiers had been killed in the war in Ukraine.

— WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧 (@WarMonitor3) November 7, 2026