***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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Ag97
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8:42p, 11/13/22
AG
They probably are banking on Russia pulling troops from another area to deal with the SF's in their rear. If they don't commit troops to clear them out they continue to harass the flanks and rear. This leaves less troops to to defend where the main assault will be happening.
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Rossticus
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8:44p, 11/13/22
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Rossticus
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8:55p, 11/13/22
Thread:
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1591768061513957379.html

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Waffledynamics
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8:57p, 11/13/22
AG
Well at least they admit it's not theirs.

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Rossticus
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9:27p, 11/13/22
Thread:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1591976877366956033.html


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Rossticus
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9:31p, 11/13/22
Thread:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1591938696282255360.html

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JB!98
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In reply to Rossticus • 9:40p, 11/13/22
AG
Rossticus said:
Thread:

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1591938696282255360.html

The very definition of cannon fodder. I do feel bad for those poor families that are forced to send their children, fathers, and grandfathers off to die for a madman.
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Rossticus
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10:35p, 11/13/22
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Ernest Tucker
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In reply to Rossticus • 11:39p, 11/13/22
AG
Rossticus said:


I swear, back in the day, me and my neighborhood friends stole my dads vhs camera and made a video just like this. I need to go back and find it.
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marcel ledbetter
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4:42a, 11/14/22
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/yurmre/ukrainian_soldiers_have_a_laugh_practicing_their/

I like these guys.
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Red Pear Realty
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7:31a, 11/14/22
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AG
Russia is about to lose some more territory.

Sponsor Message: We Split Commissions. Full Service Agents in Austin, Bryan-College Station, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston and San Antonio. Red Pear Realty
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Waffledynamics
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8:06a, 11/14/22
AG
Quote:
Putin signed a decree allowing military conscription of foreign citizens into the Russian Armed Forces


https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/14-november-putin-signed-a-decree-allowing-military-conscription
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Waffledynamics
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8:09a, 11/14/22
AG
Quote:
The White House: The Director of US Intelligence did not discuss with his Russian counterpart the settlement of the war in Ukraine


https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/14-november-the-white-house-the-director-of-us-intelligence
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FriscoKid
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8:40a, 11/14/22
AG
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lb sand
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In reply to Red Pear Realty • 10:05a, 11/14/22
AG
Loved his line, "Russians using Scooby Doo vans to transport their most vital supplies."
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Red Pear Realty
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In reply to lb sand • 10:19a, 11/14/22
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AG
Yep. I almost spit out my morning tea when I heard that.
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FriscoKid
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10:43a, 11/14/22
AG
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sclaff
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10:57a, 11/14/22
AG

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P.U.T.U
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In reply to sclaff • 11:15a, 11/14/22
AG
It looked like Uke SOF were in RIBs going under artillery fire to get onto the peninsula. From there I imagine they would collect intel and maybe do some probing attacks. Typical RIBs can only fit 8 people and from the videos I saw there may have been about 10 boats so roughly 80 passengers, hardly enough to take a city. It seems Ukraine must have somehow found a way to get a decent amount of troops across another way if they are taking cities already
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Rossticus
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In reply to Waffledynamics • 12:01p, 11/14/22
Waffledynamics said:
Quote:
Putin signed a decree allowing military conscription of foreign citizens into the Russian Armed Forces


https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/14-november-putin-signed-a-decree-allowing-military-conscription


Putin about to have Africa start shipping him cannon fodder for cash.
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ABATTBQ11
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In reply to P.U.T.U • 12:03p, 11/14/22
AG
Or the Russians are running at the first sign of contact
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Rossticus
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12:11p, 11/14/22
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Rossticus
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12:14p, 11/14/22


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Rossticus
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12:16p, 11/14/22





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Rossticus
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12:17p, 11/14/22
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Rossticus
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12:22p, 11/14/22
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txags92
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In reply to Rossticus • 12:24p, 11/14/22
AG
Rossticus said:
I wonder how far a sack of potatos and a bottle of vodka will go in Zambia? Isn't that the going rate for a Mobik?
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MouthBQ98
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In reply to P.U.T.U • 12:25p, 11/14/22
AG
They have plenty of boats, particularly civilian ones, they could have brought up. Even helicopters. With Russians pulling back so fast, their closer air defenses were probably in chaos.

If I was Ukraine, I would push up north somewhere and make a lot of noise, then drive hard in the south to cut off Crimea. Force that logistical disaster in Winter when it will hit fastest and hardest.
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Rossticus
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12:26p, 11/14/22
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74OA
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In reply to Red Pear Realty • 12:29p, 11/14/22
AG
Red Pear Realty said:
Russia is about to lose some more territory.

Well worth watching. There are points to quibble with, but his overall perspective seems right on to me.

"Amateurs study strategy, professional study logistics." General of the Army Omar Bradley
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Rossticus
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12:34p, 11/14/22
One thing that I thing bears discussing and that could prove to be an impediment not only to Ukraine but also to the US if matters escalate in Asia has been the failure to adequately ramp up industrial production to both meet the demand of what Ukraine and Europe are now requesting to purchase but also to meet the incredible burn rate that conventional warfare in the Pacific would involve. Hopefully Biden is held to account for this present failure by the incoming house.
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74OA
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In reply to Rossticus • 12:53p, 11/14/22
AG
Rossticus said:

That spit controls the entrance to Mikolaiv's harbor. Ukraine wants to use that harbor. Controlling the spit also screens the littorals much of the way to Odessa.

MAP
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JFABNRGR
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In reply to Waffledynamics • 1:00p, 11/14/22
AG
Waffledynamics said:
I'm skeptical that the Kinburn Spit activity is actually a sincere operation. I'm a layman, though. Why would Ukraine go to such a small peninsula that would be easy to cut off? Could it be a diversion?
Maybe control the mouth so UKR can get boats from Odessa side of bay unseen up into the Dnipro.
โ€œYou can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.โ€
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
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80sGeorge
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1:08p, 11/14/22
AG
Total layman's guess but would like to hear opinions:

- getting the Kherson forces killed has been said to be a political disaster for Putin so he pulled them out.

- he'll send them east to stop the UKR advances there and possibly try to take back territory

- he'll reinforce defenses at the Crimean border and give up the left side of the river territory
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aezmvp
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In reply to JFABNRGR • 1:11p, 11/14/22
JFABNRGR said:
Waffledynamics said:
I'm skeptical that the Kinburn Spit activity is actually a sincere operation. I'm a layman, though. Why would Ukraine go to such a small peninsula that would be easy to cut off? Could it be a diversion?
Maybe control the mouth so UKR can get boats from Odessa side of bay unseen up into the Dnipro.
You can also stage their UCV sea bombs significantly closer which would put the Russian fleet and shipping more at risk or force them back or be more cautious with those assets.
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