***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

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ABATTBQ11
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In reply to 74OA • 9:58a, 10/30/22
AG
"blyatskrieg"

That's ****ing gold right there
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Waffledynamics
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10:49a, 10/30/22
AG
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Waffledynamics
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10:50a, 10/30/22
AG
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Waffledynamics
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12:09p, 10/30/22
AG
I didn't post this yesterday. I've been busy and can't give the cliff notes, but to be honest, this is another one to actually watch. He goes over numbers of losses, equipment used, etc., but also, the Russian State TV clips are hilarious. They say the West is burning up all of our weapons and production capacity in Ukraine. At one point they randomly have a picture of Marilyn Monroe up in the background for some reason.

Map report at 17:49.

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lb sand
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In reply to 74OA • 2:08p, 10/30/22
AG
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Waffledynamics
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2:57p, 10/30/22
AG
Reported 12 hours ago on LiveUaMap:

Quote:
Russia continues deployment of troops in Belarus, Russian servicemen activity were recorded between Brest and Malorita, - General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine says in the morning report
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/30-october-russia-continues-deployment-of-troops-in-belarus

This is right in the Southeastern corner of Belarus with Ukraine to the South and Poland to the West.
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revvie
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In reply to Waffledynamics • 3:09p, 10/30/22
AG
Waffledynamics said:
Reported 12 hours ago on LiveUaMap:

Quote:
Russia continues deployment of troops in Belarus, Russian servicemen activity were recorded between Brest and Malorita, - General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine says in the morning report
https://liveuamap.com/en/2022/30-october-russia-continues-deployment-of-troops-in-belarus

This is right in the Southeastern corner of Belarus with Ukraine to the South and Poland to the West.
If the orcs are having logistical problems bridging rivers, etc. They are really going to have problems in this area. It seems it will be an area where advances can be funneled into corridors fairly easily.
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Rossticus
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3:11p, 10/30/22
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Rossticus
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3:14p, 10/30/22
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Rossticus
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5:12p, 10/30/22
Your move Putin. Do you have the balls to sink these ships, carrying grain to hungry nations, as the whole world watches?

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lb3
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In reply to Rossticus • 6:08p, 10/30/22
AG
Will they be sailing under a UN flag?
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Waffledynamics
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7:21p, 10/30/22
AG


Some actual humor from mobiks.
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Waffledynamics
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7:22p, 10/30/22
AG
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74OA
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In reply to Rossticus • 7:55p, 10/30/22
AG
Rossticus said:
Your move Putin. Do you have the balls to sink these ships, carrying grain to hungry nations, as the whole world watches?

Not long after the grain ships depart Ukrainian ports, they will enter the coastal waters of Romania, Bulgaria and Turkey. All NATO nations.
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Ag In Ok
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In reply to 74OA • 8:49p, 10/30/22
AG
Would the UN, or really those concerned with at least a few frigates +, would defend the port as well? I would think so.
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ATX_AG_08
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In reply to Waffledynamics • 8:56p, 10/30/22
AG
That is morbidly hysterical.

Some of the replies.


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ATX_AG_08
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9:04p, 10/30/22
AG
That's nuts. They wreck out bad. Fatalities certain



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Rossticus
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12:04a, 10/31/22
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Rossticus
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12:09a, 10/31/22
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Waffledynamics
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6:40a, 10/31/22
AG
Russia launched another massive missile strike on Ukraine. There are several notes on LiveUaMap. Of course, infrastructure was hit in several regions, include Kyiv, Kharkiv, Kryvyi Rih, Zaporizhzhia and more. Debris from one shot down missile landed in Moldova.
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benchmark
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6:50a, 10/31/22
AG
Detailed forecast of what to expect from Putin through Spring.

ISW: RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, OCTOBER 30
Quote:
Putin is thus setting conditions to continue waging conventional war for the foreseeable future rather than preparing to try to end the war by escalation or by making for some "off-ramp." He could always change his mind, to be sure. But Ukraine and the West should be operating on the assumption that Ukraine will continue to have many months in which to regain control of strategically vital terrain, for which it will also continue to require continued large-scale Western support.

On the battlefield, Ukrainian forces conducted further offensive operations in northeastern Ukraine, and Russian forces continued to set conditions for a withdrawal from Kherson. Those developments are summarized briefly and will be covered in more detail tomorrow.
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sclaff
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7:44a, 10/31/22
AG
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Waffledynamics
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8:14a, 10/31/22
AG
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Waffledynamics
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8:19a, 10/31/22
AG
Ukraine still holds Bakhmut.

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Waffledynamics
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8:20a, 10/31/22
AG
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Waffledynamics
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8:22a, 10/31/22
AG
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MouthBQ98
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9:00a, 10/31/22
AG
I can't believe Russia is going so all-in. NATO has a lot of stored reserve equipment that it actually has maintained and also can see they probably won't actually need due to the cautious overestimation of the capabilities of Russia and its few remaining close allies.

That older gear can be fed into the fight and replaced with equipment planned for the next war instead of the cold war, and while this modernization cycle will have a cost, it will be less than the constant cost of countering a belligerent and more capable Russia into the near future. This foolish war has set Russia back in a huge way for a long time, such that it is a probably long term savings in force size for NATO.

China is of course the other issue but not so directlya threat to most of NATO militarily, but rather as a source of economic problems.
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LMCane
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In reply to 74OA • 9:09a, 10/31/22
74OA said:

how many of those idiots are crushed from the BTR flipping over on them?

Vanya must have been the pride of the "Bialystok 2 week driving school with no actual driving"
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Ag In Ok
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In reply to LMCane • 9:10a, 10/31/22
AG
I chalked that one up to the crew being concussed - based on some of the back and forth from those in the vehicle not being aware or able to hear. Guess the driver really got his bell rung.
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MouthBQ98
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11:08a, 10/31/22
AG
They ride on top of the vehicles due to mine and ATHW threats. You are much more likely to survive being thrown off the top by a blast than inside.
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74OA
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11:39a, 10/31/22
AG
Interesting discussion of the Russian navy's failure to learn from its mistakes. RIGID
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74OA
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In reply to MouthBQ98 • 12:38p, 10/31/22
AG
MouthBQ98 said:
I can't believe Russia is going so all-in. NATO has a lot of stored reserve equipment that it actually has maintained and also can see they probably won't actually need due to the cautious overestimation of the capabilities of Russia and its few remaining close allies.

That older gear can be fed into the fight and replaced with equipment planned for the next war instead of the cold war, and while this modernization cycle will have a cost, it will be less than the constant cost of countering a belligerent and more capable Russia into the near future. This foolish war has set Russia back in a huge way for a long time, such that it is a probably long term savings in force size for NATO.
Russia isn't all-in, Putin is.

He knows that after so badly damaging Russia's military, economy and international standing, winning is his only chance of survival--both physically and for his legacy as the architect of Russia's resurgence.

For the moment, Russia is just being towed along in the czar's wake.
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Rossticus
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12:42p, 10/31/22


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Rossticus
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12:51p, 10/31/22


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Rossticus
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12:54p, 10/31/22

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